Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-10?

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $52,899.

Notable Trades

Last-second live sports cluster

Three wallets piled into No in the final seconds of a live match, including one high-volume bettor with a 71% win rate, making this a strong late-resolution directional signal despite the market's deep liquidity.

Three wallets all hit No within the final minute, totaling $5.8k in the same direction.
One of the wallets wins 71% of its bets across 1,007 resolved markets and is up about $79k.
They bought No around 30-31¢, implying they thought Roma's true win odds were far below the market price.

$5,783 on No

Proven sports bettor early

A high-volume serial cross-market sports bettor with a 70% win rate bought Yes at 71¢ just before a sharp move to 84%, suggesting a timely edge worth following.

This bettor has won 775 of 1,110 resolved trades and is up about $79k overall.
They bought Yes at 71¢ before the market jumped to 84%, catching a 13-point move.
This wallet has bet across 251 markets in 228 events, so this looks like a repeatable process rather than a one-off punt.

$1,014 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%

Profitable new live-sports timer

A 5-day-old wallet with early profits and a perfect 6-for-6 record made another large last-second live sports buy just before resolution, and the market moved sharply in its favor.

This 5-day-old wallet is 6 for 6 on resolved bets and already up $9.8k
They bought $3.6k of Yes just 13 seconds before resolution at 71¢, and the market is now 84¢
This is their 8th flagged large bet, which suggests a repeat pattern rather than a one-off punt

$3,573 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

76% win-rate sports bettor

A proven 76% win-rate trader with activity across 54 events is making a fresh $6.3k bet, which is notable even though the market itself is liquid and the signal is only moderate.

This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades across 58 markets and has traded 54 separate events
They just put $6.3k into Yes at 71¢, showing real size rather than a tiny follow-on bet
The market is deep and liquid, so this looks more like a deliberate opinion than a thin-market punt

$6,284 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

$1M sports grinder buys No

Profitable high-volume sports trader with over $1.0M P&L bought No at 28¢ during a 34x pre-match volume spike, making this a plausible edge-backed fade worth watching.

This bettor has 409 resolved trades, wins 56% of them, and is up $1.1M overall
They bought No at 28¢ during a 34x surge in market activity, suggesting stronger-than-usual conviction
The market is liquid, so a $6.1k bet likely reflects a real view rather than a random punt

$6,062 on No | Wallet win rate: 52%

96% win-rate sports bettor

A proven sharp sports trader with a 96% win rate made a $24.8k buy into a high-volume match market during a major pre-event volume surge.

This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up about $258k across 49 settled positions
They have bet nearly $979k across 81 sports events, so this looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off swing
They bought $24.8k of Yes at 74¢ as volume ran 64.9x above normal, showing strong conviction into kickoff

$24,804 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

98% winner leads 4-wallet fade

A 4-wallet cluster all bought No within 2 minutes, led by a bettor with a 98% win rate over 254 resolved markets and nearly $1.0M in profit, making this coordinated sports fade worth surfacing despite the market being liquid.

One wallet wins 98% of its bets over 254 resolved markets and is up about $967k lifetime.
Four wallets all bought No within 2 minutes, putting $5.4k behind the same side at 27¢.
The lead wallet also trades across hundreds of related markets, suggesting a repeatable event-driven edge rather than a one-off punt.

$5,379 on No

Top Holders

0x62ca...1760 — Outcome 28520603, $100,000 (96% win rate)
0x37e0...024e — Outcome 28520603, $26,152 (62% win rate)
0x1117...3532 — Outcome 28520603, $10,000 (58% win rate)
0xe998...b7f0 — Outcome 28520603, $7,794 (88% win rate)
0x9f9e...4c57 — Outcome 28520603, $6,547 (80% win rate)
0x627e...f59f — Outcome 28520603, $6,131 (100% win rate)
0xd38f...0f83 — Outcome 28520603, $4,606 (100% win rate)
0x1bc8...2f68 — Outcome 28520603, $4,508 (92% win rate)
0x282f...e110 — Outcome 28520603, $3,744 (100% win rate)
0x7fc7...969b — Outcome 28520603, $3,000

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 4 related markets

Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-10?

Resolved$52,899 tracked7 signalsSportsGamesSoccersea

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 10, 2026 If AS Roma wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.