Part of: LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winner

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,953.

Categories: Games, Esports, Sports, league of legends

Notable Trades

Pre-event Dignitas cluster

A major pre-event volume spike and three-wallet Dignitas cluster create a meaningful directional signal, though the individual trader appears to be profit-taking rather than demonstrating strong personal edge.

  • Three wallets are buying Dignitas, with nearly $5,000 in one-sided flow.
  • Trading surged to 738 times its historical average before the match.
  • The individual trader has a 56% win rate and was likely taking profits on an existing Shopify Rebellion position.

$1,034 on Dignitas | Wallet win rate: 56%

Three-wallet Dignitas conviction

A concentrated three-wallet Dignitas position and an extreme pre-event volume spike signal meaningful directional conviction despite the lead trader's only moderate historical win rate.

  • Three wallets bought Dignitas for nearly $4,931 as the market saw a 737x historical volume spike.
  • The featured bettor entered Dignitas at 33¢ while the market now prices it at 24%, implying a substantial perceived edge.
  • This trader has 2,941 resolved bets and $822,130 in lifetime profit, though the 57% win rate is only moderately compelling.

$2,100 on Dignitas | Wallet win rate: 57%

Three-wallet Dignitas conviction

A concentrated three-wallet Dignitas position and an extreme pre-event volume spike signal meaningful directional conviction despite the lead trader's only moderate historical win rate.

  • Three wallets bought Dignitas for nearly $4,931 as the market saw a 737x historical volume spike.
  • The featured bettor entered Dignitas at 33¢ while the market now prices it at 24%, implying a substantial perceived edge.
  • This trader has 2,941 resolved bets and $822,130 in lifetime profit, though the 57% win rate is only moderately compelling.

$1,424 on Dignitas | Wallet win rate: 57%

Pre-event Dignitas cluster

A major pre-event volume spike and three-wallet Dignitas cluster create a meaningful directional signal, though the individual trader appears to be profit-taking rather than demonstrating strong personal edge.

  • Three wallets are buying Dignitas, with nearly $5,000 in one-sided flow.
  • Trading surged to 738 times its historical average before the match.
  • The individual trader has a 56% win rate and was likely taking profits on an existing Shopify Rebellion position.

$2,277 on Dignitas | Wallet win rate: 56%

Four-wallet Shopify buying cluster

Coordinated Shopify buying, a major volume spike, and a profitable serial trader adding at 58¢ make this a meaningful directional signal despite the trader already holding both outcomes.

  • Four wallets bought Shopify Rebellion, totaling $5,279 in coordinated one-sided flow.
  • Trading volume was 660 times its historical average, while Shopify’s price rose 22%.
  • This trader is up $265,630 across 65 resolved bets and added Shopify at 58¢.

$1,060 on Shopify Rebellion | Wallet win rate: 65%

Four-wallet Dignitas buying cluster

Four established wallets deployed $6.1K toward Dignitas amid a 660x volume spike, creating a notable contrarian esports signal despite mixed market flow.

  • Four wallets bought $3.8K of Dignitas, mostly adding to existing positions, while the market prices Dignitas at just 34%.
  • The market saw a 660x spike versus its historical trading volume, alongside a sharp 21.7-point move in Shopify Rebellion’s price.
  • The wallets are consistently profitable over thousands of bets, though their 52–57% win rates indicate moderate rather than exceptional evidence of skill.

$6,101 on Dignitas

Sharp bettor leads five-wallet push

Five wallets added $6,379 to Shopify Rebellion, including a highly profitable 91% bettor and another trader with substantial lifetime profits, while the market moved 12.5% higher.

  • A bettor with a 91% win rate across 117 resolved trades, averaging 62% entry odds, is adding to Shopify Rebellion.
  • Five wallets placed $6,379 in coordinated BUY orders, with the market rising 12.5% over one day.
  • Several wallets already held Shopify Rebellion and increased their positions, signaling sustained conviction rather than a one-off wager.

$6,959 on Shopify Rebellion

Top Holders

  1. 0xf201...527e Outcome 90482986, $16,166 (70% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 90482986, $10,686 (65% win rate)
  3. 0xb1b8...9d1f Outcome 90482986, $5,000 (38% win rate)
  4. 0x3471...f17e Outcome 90482986, $3,567 (52% win rate)
  5. 0x2d39...6053 Outcome 90482986, $3,432 (54% win rate)
  6. 0x62c6...ab7b Outcome 90482986, $2,907 (72% win rate)
  7. 0xec98...afcd Outcome 90482986, $2,813 (54% win rate)
  8. 0x8935...7daa Outcome 90482986, $2,020
  9. 0x37ca...f644 Outcome 90482986, $1,793 (93% win rate)
  10. 0xcfad...fa05 Outcome 90482986, $1,500

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LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winner

ResolvedLoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season$20,953 tracked7 signalsGamesEsportsSportsleague of legends

This market refers to the LoL match between Shopify Rebellion and Dignitas in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 15 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win Game 2 against Dignitas. This market will resolve to "Dignitas" if Dignitas win Game 2 against Shopify Rebellion. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winner

8d ago

$1,034 on Dignitas at 19¢

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winner

8d ago

$2,100 on Dignitas at 33¢

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winner

8d ago

$1,424 on Dignitas at 33¢

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winner

8d ago

$2,277 on Dignitas at 19¢

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winner

8d ago

$1,060 on Shopify Rebellion at 58¢

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winner

8d ago

$6,101 on Dignitas at 37¢

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winner

8d ago

$6,959 on Shopify Rebellion at 62¢

Related Theses