Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,064.
Categories: Up or Down, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Crypto, Bitcoin, 5M
Notable Trades
Profitable serial timer
A highly profitable serial timer placed another large near-resolution bet on a short-window BTC market, dominating thin recent flow despite the market’s generally small size.
- This wallet has made 26 near-resolution bets across 25 markets and is up $41k overall.
- The bet was placed 8.8 minutes before expiry, a pattern this trader repeats with an 11% edge over market odds.
- This $1.1k buy was 4.3x the market’s recent volume, showing real conviction in a thin window.
$1,064 on Down | Wallet win rate: 54%
Top Holders
- 0x7da0...6be2 — Down, $2,200
- 0xcdbd...bd9e — Down, $942
- 0xe907...cff6 — Up, $828 (43% win rate)
- 0x6d70...e909 — Down, $500
- 0xd216...eead — Down, $500
- 0xc19b...7baa — Down, $464
- 0x6591...b999 — Down, $414
- 0x6e68...2d32 — Down, $383
- 0x5a9b...8c74 — Down, $374
- 0x19e6...f74b — Down, $351 (87% win rate)
