Part of: Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $30,876.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
99% win-rate serial bettor
A highly successful serial cross-market bettor added $2,500 to an existing Cezar Cretu position despite the market later falling sharply, making this a notable but currently underwater conviction trade.
- This bettor has won 99% of 415 resolved trades and is up $57,083 overall.
- They added $2,500 to an existing Cezar Cretu position at 61¢ during an 802x volume spike.
- The market has since fallen to about 42¢, so the position is underwater and the signal carries meaningful downside risk.
$3,526 on Cezar Cretu | Wallet win rate: 99%
Sharp bettor leads three-wallet Niels push
Three wallets committed $17,355 to Niels McDonald, led by a highly profitable bettor with an 85% win rate, while two wallets added to existing positions.
- The leading bettor wins 85% of 397 resolved trades and is up $1.8 million lifetime.
- Three wallets bought Niels McDonald for $17,355, with two adding to existing positions.
- The cluster’s average entry was about 49¢, implying meaningful upside if Niels’ current 58% estimate holds.
$17,355 on Niels McDonald
99% win-rate serial bettor
A highly successful serial cross-market bettor added $2,500 to an existing Cezar Cretu position despite the market later falling sharply, making this a notable but currently underwater conviction trade.
- This bettor has won 99% of 415 resolved trades and is up $57,083 overall.
- They added $2,500 to an existing Cezar Cretu position at 61¢ during an 802x volume spike.
- The market has since fallen to about 42¢, so the position is underwater and the signal carries meaningful downside risk.
$2,500 on Cezar Cretu | Wallet win rate: 99%
Sharp bettor adds to Cretu
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 90% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $6,094 to an already concentrated Cretu position in a thin market.
- This bettor wins 90% of 176 resolved positions and is up $429,260 lifetime.
- They added $6,094 to an existing Cezar Cretu position, bringing their investment to over $16,700.
- The new bet was more than 1,000% of the reported 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in a thin market.
$6,094 on Cezar Cretu | Wallet win rate: 90%
Sharp bettor scaling into Niels McDonald
A proven bettor with an 85% win rate and substantial edge is adding to a concentrated Niels McDonald position in a thin market.
- This bettor has won 85% of 20 resolved trades while entering at an average price of 48%.
- They added $1,400 to Niels McDonald at 48%, bringing their existing position to roughly $4,331 in a market with only $512 of 24-hour volume.
- The 48¢ entry implies the bettor sees meaningful value despite Niels McDonald currently trading near 46¢.
$1,400 on Niels McDonald | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0xd599...bf55 — Outcome 70542589, $35,078 (73% win rate)
- 0xf377...4159 — Outcome 70542589, $22,000 (84% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 70542589, $15,686 (65% win rate)
- 0x86b1...c094 — Outcome 70542589, $3,100 (37% win rate)
- 0x86a0...cd11 — Outcome 70542589, $2,931 (85% win rate)
- 0x6485...a265 — Outcome 70542589, $2,235 (61% win rate)
- 0x568b...4727 — Outcome 70542589, $1,740 (72% win rate)
- 0xeaac...d71d — Outcome 70542589, $1,548 (82% win rate)
- 0x5213...6a35 — Outcome 70542589, $1,429 (74% win rate)
- 0x0a08...081c — Outcome 70542589, $1,402
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