Three wallets are all fading the 1-1 score, totaling $7.3K in the same direction. One new wallet has now triggered 16 large-bet alerts with $102K flagged overall. The trade is against a 38.5-point one-day price surge, so this looks like a contrarian No position.

Part of: Brazil vs. Japan - Exact Score

Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Japan?

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $83,942.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Sharp trader backed NO

Sharp 79% lifetime bettor with strong cross-market history sold YES at 72¢, effectively backing NO at 28¢ before the outcome collapsed.

This bettor wins 79% of resolved bets and is up $42k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $494k deployed across 112 events.
Selling YES at 72¢ was equivalent to backing NO at 28¢ before YES later fell to 0¢.

$1,441 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%

Three-wallet NO fade

A small three-wallet group is fading the 1-1 score after a major price run, backed by repeat new-wallet activity and cross-market positioning, though the wallet track records are mixed.

Three wallets are all fading the 1-1 score, totaling $7.3K in the same direction.
One new wallet has now triggered 16 large-bet alerts with $102K flagged overall.
The trade is against a 38.5-point one-day price surge, so this looks like a contrarian No position.

$7,295 on No

Proven sharp fading exact score

Sharp sports bettor with a 78% long-term win rate and $263k profit put $27k on No in an exact-score market.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $263k lifetime.
They placed a concentrated $27k bet on No at 87¢, fading the Brazil 1-1 Japan exact score.
This wallet is a serial cross-market trader with activity across 157 events and a strong track record.

$1,034 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

New whale backing 1-1

A 12-day-old wallet with repeated large flagged bets and early profit is putting $8k into a specific Brazil-Japan 1-1 scoreline before the match.

This new wallet has already had 11 large-bet flags totaling $77k in just 12 days.
It is up $6.2k so far on $35.4k invested, though its resolved track record is still very small.
The bettor is taking a concentrated $8k shot on Yes at roughly 12¢–14¢.

$8,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 29%

Proven sharp fading exact score

Sharp sports bettor with a 78% long-term win rate and $263k profit put $27k on No in an exact-score market.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $263k lifetime.
They placed a concentrated $27k bet on No at 87¢, fading the Brazil 1-1 Japan exact score.
This wallet is a serial cross-market trader with activity across 157 events and a strong track record.

$27,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

89% winner joins linked cluster

Strong cluster on a niche exact-score market led by a highly profitable 89% winner with a large historical edge.

A bettor who wins 89% of resolved positions and is up $1.53M bought this outcome at 13¢.
Three wallets put $7.5K on the same exact score, with two wallets sharing a funder.
This is a long-shot 1-1 score bet, so entry at 13¢ implies a high-conviction view on a ~7.7x payout.

$7,483 on Yes

Sharp serial bettor buying NO

A highly profitable 78% lifetime bettor with extensive cross-market sports activity bought nearly $29k of No at 87¢.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $263k lifetime.
They put nearly $29k on No, adding conviction at an 87¢ entry.
This wallet has traded 188 markets across 156 events with the same 78% hit rate.

$28,988 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

89% winner buying longshot

Highly profitable sharp wallet with an 89% win rate and $1.5M lifetime profit bought Brazil 1-1 Japan at 13¢.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $1.5M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $3.5M deployed across 277 events.
Entry at 13¢ implies a high-upside exact-score bet from a proven sharp.

$2,700 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 83412327, $86,059
0x9106...afcb — Outcome 95950310, $22,270 (70% win rate)
0x3561...f1b7 — Outcome 95950310, $21,836
0xde0a...f102 — Outcome 95950310, $15,027 (67% win rate)
0x16a4...66ad — Outcome 95950310, $5,705 (78% win rate)
0x1d60...453d — Outcome 95950310, $3,571 (71% win rate)
0xbcfb...efc0 — Outcome 95950310, $3,571 (38% win rate)
0x4f1d...8de2 — Outcome 95950310, $2,403 (76% win rate)
0x7572...ab0f — Outcome 95950310, $2,338 (43% win rate)
0x5952...db2f — Outcome 95950310, $1,485 (86% win rate)

Related Theses

Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Japan?

ResolvedBrazil vs. Japan - Exact Score$83,942 tracked8 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Brazil and Japan, scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Brazil vs. Japan match originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.