Part of: LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
This prediction market covers the Game 1 winner between Weibo Gaming and LGD Gaming in the LPL Play-In, resolving to the team that wins the opening League of Legends map. PolySpotter is tracking $5,526 in smart money and 1 signal on this market, including coordinated esports buying and notable activity around Weibo. The market is set to resolve on May 24, 2026 at 17:00 UTC, or based on the completed Game 1 result if a winner is determined.
This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and LGD Gaming in the LPL Play-In, initially scheduled for May 24 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win Game 1 against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 1 against Weibo Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,857.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial mover
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought LGD at 42¢ ahead of a major move to 61¢, with a strong lifetime P&L despite only moderate win rate.
- This bettor is up $267K lifetime across 94 resolved bets.
- They bought LGD at 42¢ before the price jumped to 61¢.
- This wallet has traded 40 markets across 25 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market approach.
$5,526 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 60%
Undefeated funded esports cluster
Surface: an undefeated profitable wallet from a repeatedly seen funded cluster bought Weibo at 71¢ ahead of a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor is 12-for-12 on resolved bets and up $5.6K lifetime.
- Six wallets share the same funder, suggesting coordinated conviction behind this side.
- They bought Weibo at 71¢ before the market moved to 81¢.
$1,595 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 100%
Unbeaten bettor riding Weibo
Sharp wallet override: a 10-0 profitable bettor bought Weibo at 71¢ before the market moved to 81¢ amid a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 10 of 10 resolved trades and is up $2,938 lifetime.
- They bought Weibo at 71¢ before the market moved to 81¢.
- Pre-match volume spiked 49x, suggesting broader momentum behind the same side.
$3,800 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 100%
8-wallet coordinated esports buy
Strong Weibo buy signal from 8 wallets moving together, including linked clusters and multiple wallets with perfect resolved records.
- 8 wallets bought $13.9K of Weibo in the same direction, nearly matching the market’s full liquidity.
- Several linked wallet groups are participating, suggesting one or more coordinated bettors are deploying capital together.
- Two wallets have perfect 10+ bet records, including one up $5.6K on 12 resolved trades.
$13,886 on Weibo Gaming
Sharp clustered esports bettor
Surface: this is a proven sharp wallet with 92% resolved win rate, positive P&L, and repeat clustered activity buying Weibo at 80¢.
- This bettor has won 11 of 12 resolved bets and is up about $10.1K lifetime.
- The wallet has been flagged repeatedly and is part of a 3-wallet funded cluster.
- Entry at 80¢ matches the market favorite, suggesting a high-confidence esports position rather than a long-shot punt.
$1,051 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0xe022...cf77 — Weibo Gaming, $13,545 (92% win rate)
- 0x52ec...a6f3 — LGD Gaming, $13,429 (74% win rate)
- 0x2eaa...7d1a — LGD Gaming, $12,442 (100% win rate)
- 0xba8c...e77d — LGD Gaming, $10,512 (90% win rate)
- 0xafd4...7e61 — LGD Gaming, $10,000 (64% win rate)
- 0x6491...c1d0 — Weibo Gaming, $8,700 (100% win rate)
- 0x3837...c6b0 — Weibo Gaming, $8,243 (100% win rate)
- 0xec92...6b59 — Weibo Gaming, $5,555
- 0xe169...4653 — Weibo Gaming, $5,378 (76% win rate)
- 0x624e...1c87 — Weibo Gaming, $5,352 (100% win rate)
Related Theses
EDG wins in four
Covers 4 related markets
LGD starts strong, Weibo rebounds
Covers 3 related markets
Weibo wins series 3-1
Covers 4 related markets
LNG wins, WE takes games
Covers 3 related markets
