This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $873k lifetime. They have traded 91 related events with $1.27M in volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge. Entry at 60¢ on No goes against the recent move toward Yes, implying a contrarian view.

Part of: CD Tolima vs. AD Cali

Will AD Cali win on 2026-05-01?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,789.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

84% sharp buying NO

Proven profitable wallet with an 84% win rate and extensive cross-market history is taking a fresh $2.7k position on No despite recent Yes momentum.

This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $873k lifetime.
They have traded 91 related events with $1.27M in volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Entry at 60¢ on No goes against the recent move toward Yes, implying a contrarian view.

$2,667 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%

Profitable serial bettor backs underdog

A profitable high-volume sports bettor made a meaningful underdog bet in a relatively thin market, though the signal is moderate rather than exceptional.

This bettor has 1,359 resolved trades, wins 61% of them, and is up about $41.9k lifetime.
The $1.4k position is meaningful for a quiet market with only $6.7k total volume.
Selling No at 68¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 32¢, a bet that the 31% side is undervalued.

$1,411 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 61%

Thin-market sharp bettor

A highly active cross-market bettor with 1,325 resolved trades made a large buy in a very thin soccer market, suggesting real conviction despite only a middling historical edge.

This bettor has 1,325 resolved trades and is up about $44.9k overall
They put $1,710 into a market with just $3,000 of 24-hour volume, taking 57% of the day's action
They bought No at 57¢, and the market has already moved to 50¢, giving a better entry than the trader got

$1,710 on No | Wallet win rate: 61%

Top Holders

0x71c0...13b5 — Outcome 11092952, $3,000 (59% win rate)
0x5213...6a35 — Outcome 11092952, $750 (83% win rate)
0xeaac...d71d — Outcome 11092952, $500
0xe062...4907 — Outcome 11092952, $240
0x1ce8...fc49 — Outcome 11092952, $192
0x7053...25e4 — Outcome 11092952, $125 (92% win rate)
0x54b2...0f1e — Outcome 11092952, $122 (79% win rate)
0xddb6...b9b3 — Outcome 11092952, $85
0xd8fa...3b36 — Outcome 11092952, $46
0x23bc...5487 — Outcome 11092952, $41

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Will AD Cali win on 2026-05-01?

ResolvedCD Tolima vs. AD Cali$5,789 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesSoccer

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 1, 2026 If AD Cali wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.