Part of: Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
This prediction market covers the September 19 MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays. It resolves to the winning team; a cancellation without a makeup game or a tie results in a 50-50 resolution. PolySpotter is tracking $2,104 in smart-money activity and one signal, including recent positions on both teams.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,017.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Large bettor ahead of volume surge
A large Red Sox bet at 40¢ coincided with a 493x historical volume spike and the price rose to 50¢, though the trader's broad track record is not clearly above market expectations.
- A $2,098 Red Sox bet at 40¢ preceded a move to 50¢, a meaningful 10-point gain.
- The market saw a 493x spike versus its historical trading average, with just four trades driving the alert.
- This wallet has 21,795 resolved bets and $2.13M in profit, though its 61% win rate is not clearly superior to its 62¢ average winning entry price.
$2,104 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 61%
Large bettor ahead of volume surge
A large Red Sox bet at 40¢ coincided with a 493x historical volume spike and the price rose to 50¢, though the trader's broad track record is not clearly above market expectations.
- A $2,098 Red Sox bet at 40¢ preceded a move to 50¢, a meaningful 10-point gain.
- The market saw a 493x spike versus its historical trading average, with just four trades driving the alert.
- This wallet has 21,795 resolved bets and $2.13M in profit, though its 61% win rate is not clearly superior to its 62¢ average winning entry price.
$2,098 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 61%
Serial bettor scaling into Boston
A profitable serial cross-market bettor added to an existing Red Sox position during a 493x historical volume spike.
- This bettor has won 65% of 2,524 resolved trades and is up $166,837 lifetime.
- The $2,203 purchase added to an existing Boston position as market activity surged to 493 times its historical average.
- The trade entered at 42¢ while Boston is now priced around 50%, indicating the position has already moved in its favor.
$2,203 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 65%
94% winner adds to Red Sox position
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial existing Red Sox position is adding at 42 cents.
- This bettor has won 94% of 32 resolved positions and is up $392,141.
- They are adding $4,103 to an existing $9,828 Red Sox position at 42 cents.
- The 55-event track record shows consistent cross-market activity rather than a one-off bet.
$4,103 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 94%
95% win-rate MLB bettor backs Tampa Bay
A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate and $5.36M in P&L placed an unusually large Rays position at market odds.
- This bettor has won 95% of 687 resolved positions and is up $5.36 million.
- The $8,510 Rays bet was more than twice the flagged 24-hour trading volume, showing concentrated conviction.
- The entry price was 56¢, implying the bettor sees Tampa Bay as meaningfully undervalued despite the market already favoring them.
$8,510 on Tampa Bay Rays | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 24559605, $53,180 (64% win rate)
- 0xb939...da70 — Outcome 24559605, $9,828 (94% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 24559605, $8,768 (58% win rate)
- 0xfb07...e2cc — Outcome 24559605, $5,000
- 0x03f4...7e44 — Outcome 24559605, $4,400 (66% win rate)
- 0xf8fd...876f — Outcome 24559605, $1,764 (91% win rate)
- 0xa24e...1be8 — Outcome 24559605, $1,453 (71% win rate)
- 0x4951...3038 — Outcome 24559605, $1,345 (54% win rate)
- 0xaaca...f5d5 — Outcome 24559605, $1,140 (28% win rate)
- 0x86fb...5976 — Outcome 24559605, $1,036
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