Part of: Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays

This prediction market covers the September 19 MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays. It resolves to the winning team; a cancellation without a makeup game or a tie results in a 50-50 resolution. PolySpotter is tracking $2,104 in smart-money activity and one signal, including recent positions on both teams.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,017.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Large bettor ahead of volume surge

A large Red Sox bet at 40¢ coincided with a 493x historical volume spike and the price rose to 50¢, though the trader's broad track record is not clearly above market expectations.

  • A $2,098 Red Sox bet at 40¢ preceded a move to 50¢, a meaningful 10-point gain.
  • The market saw a 493x spike versus its historical trading average, with just four trades driving the alert.
  • This wallet has 21,795 resolved bets and $2.13M in profit, though its 61% win rate is not clearly superior to its 62¢ average winning entry price.

$2,104 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 61%

Serial bettor scaling into Boston

A profitable serial cross-market bettor added to an existing Red Sox position during a 493x historical volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 65% of 2,524 resolved trades and is up $166,837 lifetime.
  • The $2,203 purchase added to an existing Boston position as market activity surged to 493 times its historical average.
  • The trade entered at 42¢ while Boston is now priced around 50%, indicating the position has already moved in its favor.

$2,203 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 65%

Large bettor ahead of volume surge

A large Red Sox bet at 40¢ coincided with a 493x historical volume spike and the price rose to 50¢, though the trader's broad track record is not clearly above market expectations.

  • A $2,098 Red Sox bet at 40¢ preceded a move to 50¢, a meaningful 10-point gain.
  • The market saw a 493x spike versus its historical trading average, with just four trades driving the alert.
  • This wallet has 21,795 resolved bets and $2.13M in profit, though its 61% win rate is not clearly superior to its 62¢ average winning entry price.

$2,098 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 61%

94% winner adds to Red Sox position

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial existing Red Sox position is adding at 42 cents.

  • This bettor has won 94% of 32 resolved positions and is up $392,141.
  • They are adding $4,103 to an existing $9,828 Red Sox position at 42 cents.
  • The 55-event track record shows consistent cross-market activity rather than a one-off bet.

$4,103 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 94%

95% win-rate MLB bettor backs Tampa Bay

A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate and $5.36M in P&L placed an unusually large Rays position at market odds.

  • This bettor has won 95% of 687 resolved positions and is up $5.36 million.
  • The $8,510 Rays bet was more than twice the flagged 24-hour trading volume, showing concentrated conviction.
  • The entry price was 56¢, implying the bettor sees Tampa Bay as meaningfully undervalued despite the market already favoring them.

$8,510 on Tampa Bay Rays | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 24559605, $53,180 (64% win rate)
  2. 0xb939...da70 Outcome 24559605, $9,828 (94% win rate)
  3. 0x2c33...0563 Outcome 24559605, $8,768 (58% win rate)
  4. 0xfb07...e2cc Outcome 24559605, $5,000
  5. 0x03f4...7e44 Outcome 24559605, $4,400 (66% win rate)
  6. 0xf8fd...876f Outcome 24559605, $1,764 (91% win rate)
  7. 0xa24e...1be8 Outcome 24559605, $1,453 (71% win rate)
  8. 0x4951...3038 Outcome 24559605, $1,345 (54% win rate)
  9. 0xaaca...f5d5 Outcome 24559605, $1,140 (28% win rate)
  10. 0x86fb...5976 Outcome 24559605, $1,036

Related Theses

Dodgers beat Braves in high-scoring game

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Marlins win, runs stay low

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Yankees win in a high-scoring game

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Tigers win a high-scoring game

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Brewers win in a high-scoring game

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Diamondbacks win in a low-scoring game

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Tigers win a low-scoring game

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Panthers keep it close

Covers 3 related markets

Rays win, total not eight

Covers 3 related markets

Cubs dominate a low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays

3dBoston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays$19,017 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for September 19 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

BOS
1
84-71
Final
TB
2
94-60
BOS +125TB -151O/U 7.5
Venue
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg
Attendance
27,402
Price History — “Tampa Bay Rays
102¢
75¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays

3d ago

$2,104 on Boston Red Sox at 40¢

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays

3d ago

$2,203 on Boston Red Sox at 42¢

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays

3d ago

$2,098 on Boston Red Sox at 40¢

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays

3d ago

$4,103 on Boston Red Sox at 42¢

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays

3d ago

$8,510 on Tampa Bay Rays at 56¢

Related Theses

Dodgers beat Braves in high-scoring game
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlant…Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlant…Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlant…
Marlins win, runs stay low
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Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati R…Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati R…Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati R…
Yankees win in a high-scoring game
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Will there be a run scored in …Seattle Mariners vs. New York …Seattle Mariners vs. New York …
Tigers win a high-scoring game
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Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroi…Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroi…Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroi…
Brewers win in a high-scoring game
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Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…
Diamondbacks win in a low-scoring game
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Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Di…Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Di…Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (…
Tigers win a low-scoring game
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Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-…Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland G…Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland G…
Panthers keep it close
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Spread: Bears (-4.5)Spread: Bears (-2.5)Spread: Bears (-3.5)
Rays win, total not eight
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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red …Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red …Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red …
Cubs dominate a low-scoring game
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Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cu…Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cu…