Part of: Magic vs. Bulls

Spread: Magic (-15.5)

12 smart money signals detected, totaling $357,197.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Profitable serial timer cluster

A proven profitable serial late-betting wallet joined a 5-wallet linked cluster buying Bulls one minute before resolution, a strong signal despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor has made 11 last-minute bets across 10 markets and is up $51k overall.
  • Five wallets bet the same side for $37.2k total, and 3 of them share a funder.
  • They bought Bulls at 52¢ one minute before resolution, suggesting a small but time-sensitive edge.

$2,335 on Bulls | Wallet win rate: 55%

Profitable serial timer cluster

A highly profitable serial last-minute bettor with nearly $922k P&L joined a coordinated 5-wallet Bulls buy cluster in the final minute before resolution, making this a strong live-sports signal despite the wallet’s modest raw win rate.

  • This wallet has a pattern of late live bets and is up $921k overall across 1,217 resolved trades.
  • Placed less than 1 minute before resolution, which is exactly where this bettor has shown an edge across 31 markets.
  • Five wallets piled into Bulls together for $37k, with linked funding behind part of the cluster.

$19,205 on Bulls | Wallet win rate: 51%

Linked late-game sports cluster

A linked 5-wallet cluster piled into Bulls one minute before live resolution, and this wallet has a large proven sample with solid profits, making the move worth following despite the market already moving.

  • Five wallets all bought Bulls together for $37.2k, and 3 of them share a funder.
  • This wallet has 4,729 resolved bets and is up $117k lifetime, which adds credibility to the signal.
  • The buy came 1 minute before resolution at 52¢, suggesting a strong late-game read in a live sports market.

$1,557 on Bulls | Wallet win rate: 59%

Linked serial timers on Bulls

Five coordinated wallets, including linked funders and at least one highly profitable serial last-minute trader, piled $37k into Bulls seconds before resolution in a low-liquidity spread market.

  • Five wallets put $37k on Bulls in the final minute, and 3 of them share a funder.
  • The biggest wallet has made 61 near-resolution bets across 31 markets and is up $922k overall.
  • They bought Bulls around 48-52¢ in a market with only $6.7k liquidity, showing strong conviction into the close.

$37,155 on Bulls

Linked late-game sports bettor

A profitable serial sports trader in a 5-wallet funded cluster bought Bulls against the spread just 4.6 minutes before resolution, adding credible late-game conviction despite the small ticket size.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 61% wins across 2,981 resolved bets and about $13.9k profit.
  • Five wallets funded by the same source have put in $25.4k total, which signals coordinated conviction rather than a one-off bet.
  • The buy came 4.6 minutes before resolution at 49¢, suggesting a live-game edge on a near coin-flip spread market.

$1,231 on Bulls | Wallet win rate: 61%

83% win-rate bettor

A proven sharp sports bettor with an 83% win rate bought Magic -15.5 during an extreme pregame volume surge, making this a credible follow signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 83% of their trades and is up $70k across 617 resolved bets
  • They bought during a 3,407x surge in market activity, suggesting strong pregame conviction
  • Entry at 53¢ is close to the current 52¢ ask, so the copy price has not run away

$2,342 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 83%

New whale into Magic

A repeatedly flagged newer wallet just put $256k into Magic -15.5 at 52¢ during an extreme pre-game volume surge, a meaningful conviction signal even without an elite hit rate.

  • A newer wallet put $256k on one side in just 2 trades, showing very strong conviction
  • Market activity exploded to 3,407x its normal level right before the game, with this bettor part of the surge
  • This wallet is only about 30 days old but has already traded over $8.2M and is up about $428k

$256,342 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 56%

Sharp 3-wallet NBA cluster

Three wallets piled $26.5k into Magic -15.5 at 50¢ in seconds, led by two highly profitable high-win-rate bettors and backed by a major pre-game volume spike.

  • Three wallets bought Magic -15.5 within seconds for $26.5k total, showing clear one-sided conviction.
  • The biggest bettors have strong records: one wins 90% of resolved bets and is up $1.07M, another wins 73% and is up $1.66M.
  • They entered at 50¢ during a 292x volume spike, suggesting sharp money saw the spread as mispriced before tipoff.

$26,540 on Magic

91% win-rate sharp bettor

A proven sharp sports trader with a 91% win rate and nearly $850k profit is buying Magic -15.5 at 53¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite only modest size.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $850k across 419 bets
  • They trade heavily across 671 markets and 566 events, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • They bought Magic -15.5 at 53¢, a near-even price that implies they see the spread as better than a coin flip

$1,510 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 91%

Perfect-record sharp bettor

A proven high-volume sports bettor with a perfect 85-for-85 resolved record just bought Magic -15.5 at 52¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite only one trade.

  • This bettor has won 85 of 85 resolved markets and is up about $1.47M.
  • They have traded 148 markets across 121 events for roughly $2.63M total, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit.
  • Bought Magic -15.5 at 52¢, a near coin-flip price that suggests they see clear value in a 16+ point win.

$4,041 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xbddf...c684 Outcome 71901926, $501,865 (95% win rate)
  2. 0x1bc0...4429 Outcome 71901926, $7,878 (84% win rate)
  3. 0x1117...3532 Outcome 71901926, $5,656 (61% win rate)
  4. 0xf2b9...c30a Outcome 71901926, $970
  5. 0x9438...3d6a Outcome 71901926, $746 (83% win rate)
  6. 0x64db...325b Outcome 71901926, $410
  7. 0x19f8...98f9 Outcome 71901926, $201 (93% win rate)
  8. 0x0b87...9414 Outcome 71901926, $102
  9. 0xd4ac...5e19 Outcome 71901926, $100 (71% win rate)
  10. 0x05d3...c06a Outcome 71901926, $82

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Magic (-15.5)

ResolvedMagic vs. Bulls$357,197 tracked12 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 10 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Magic" if the Magic win the game by 16 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Bulls". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Bulls". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

ORL
45-36
United Center
CHI
31-50
Draft Kings
Spread: ORL -16.5O/U: 246.5ML: -1350/+800
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Magic (-15.5)

32d ago

$2,335 on Bulls at 52¢

Spread: Magic (-15.5)

32d ago

$19,205 on Bulls at 50¢

Spread: Magic (-15.5)

32d ago

$1,557 on Bulls at 52¢

Spread: Magic (-15.5)

32d ago

$37,155 on Bulls at 50¢

Spread: Magic (-15.5)

32d ago

$1,231 on Bulls at 49¢

Spread: Magic (-15.5)

32d ago

$2,342 on Magic at 53¢

Spread: Magic (-15.5)

32d ago

$256,342 on Magic at 52¢

Spread: Magic (-15.5)

32d ago

$26,540 on Magic at 50¢

Spread: Magic (-15.5)

32d ago

$1,510 on Magic at 53¢

Spread: Magic (-15.5)

32d ago

$4,041 on Magic at 52¢

Spread: Magic (-15.5)

32d ago

$1,079 on Magic at 51¢

Spread: Magic (-15.5)

32d ago

$3,860 on Bulls at 49¢

Related Theses