Part of: LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,532.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

New wallet caught 50¢ move

Brand-new wallet bought Invictus Gaming handicap at 50¢ and the market rapidly moved to 100%, suggesting well-timed information-driven flow despite no track record.

  • A brand-new wallet put $1.5K on Invictus Gaming at 50¢, minutes before the market moved to 100¢.
  • The trade coincided with a fast 33-point price jump in under 4 minutes.
  • The market is near resolution and now prices Invictus Gaming as effectively locked.

$1,542 on Invictus Gaming | Wallet win rate: 100%

92% winner backs BLG

A highly profitable sports/esports bettor with a 92% historical win rate placed a large $8.8k buy on Bilibili Gaming in a relatively quiet handicap market.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up about $2.3M lifetime.
  • They put $8.8k on Bilibili Gaming at 63¢, over 5x the market’s recent 24h volume baseline.
  • The market has moved up 13.5 points over the week, supporting the same direction as this sharp buy.

$8,820 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable serial esports bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with meaningful lifetime profit bought Invictus Gaming at 39¢ in a thin LoL handicap market.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 919 resolved bets and about $300k in lifetime profit.
  • They specialize in cross-market event betting, with activity across 41 events and $73k flagged by this pattern.
  • The $1.17k buy is large for this market, making up most of the $1.72k daily volume.

$1,170 on Invictus Gaming | Wallet win rate: 56%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2307...3934 Outcome 20216752, $17,049 (54% win rate)
  2. 0x56c9...0d9e Outcome 52388800, $14,000 (92% win rate)
  3. 0xb8cb...8f46 Outcome 20216752, $5,000 (56% win rate)
  4. 0x507e...beae Outcome 52388800, $4,464 (50% win rate)
  5. 0x39fd...5a3f Outcome 52388800, $3,891
  6. 0x8e8c...65dd Outcome 52388800, $3,695 (51% win rate)
  7. 0x60cd...93f5 Outcome 52388800, $1,563 (72% win rate)
  8. 0x48b8...4b69 Outcome 52388800, $1,500 (59% win rate)
  9. 0xbde6...e8b5 Outcome 52388800, $1,022 (50% win rate)
  10. 0x1316...48a4 Outcome 52388800, $1,000 (61% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)

ResolvedLoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$11,532 tracked3 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between Invictus Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 12 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming wins 2 or more games than Invictus Gaming in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Bilibili Gaming
63¢
52¢
41¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)

19h ago

$1,542 on Invictus Gaming at 50¢

Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)

20h ago

$8,820 on Bilibili Gaming at 63¢

Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)

22h ago

$1,170 on Invictus Gaming at 39¢

Related Theses