Part of: Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner
This Polymarket market predicts the Map 1 winner between TheMongolz and Monte in their Counter-Strike Round 4 match at IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, scheduled for June 14 at 8:00 AM ET. It resolves to the team that wins Map 1, with smart money activity currently tracked at $1,778 across 1 signal and recent alerts showing sharp interest around Monte and underdog positioning.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between TheMongolz and Monte in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 14 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win Map 1 against Monte. This market will resolve to "Monte" if Monte win Map 1 against TheMongolz. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $40,290.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
92% win-rate serial sharp
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate and $2.66M profit bought $9k of Monte despite already short odds.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.66M lifetime.
- They have traded across 537 events and 713 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports edge.
- A 23x pre-event volume spike adds support that money is flowing into this matchup.
$1,778 on Monte | Wallet win rate: 92%
Sharp serial esports bettor
A highly profitable sharp esports bettor bought Monte, with corroborating one-sided wallet flow and a major price move in the same direction.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $3.9M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with 957 markets and $7.9M traded.
- Four wallets bought Monte the same way, helping drive a 39-point move.
$1,239 on Monte | Wallet win rate: 78%
Serial bettors backing underdog
Three wallets, including two high-volume profitable serial bettors, are all taking the same underdog side in a live Counter-Strike map market.
- Three wallets all backed TheMongolz, taking the underdog side with $4.4K in combined exposure.
- Two of the bettors are profitable high-volume traders, with over $296K combined lifetime profit.
- The market is liquid, but this is a clear one-sided live esports push at roughly 26¢ average entry.
$4,363 on TheMongolz
83% winner backs favorite
Sharp esports bettor with an 83% win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Monte despite a slight move against the entry.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $8.2K lifetime.
- They bought Monte at 85¢ in a high-volume esports market, showing clear favorite-side conviction.
- Market volume is running 23x above normal ahead of the match, adding momentum to the signal.
$1,157 on Monte | Wallet win rate: 83%
92% win-rate serial sharp
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate and $2.66M profit bought $9k of Monte despite already short odds.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.66M lifetime.
- They have traded across 537 events and 713 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports edge.
- A 23x pre-event volume spike adds support that money is flowing into this matchup.
$9,004 on Monte | Wallet win rate: 92%
94% winner backing favorite
Surfacing because a proven profitable wallet with a 94% resolved-bet win rate bought Monte despite only a modest composite score.
- This bettor has won 15 of 16 resolved bets and is up $4,576 lifetime.
- They put $4,756 on Monte at 82¢, a meaningful position from a wallet with a strong track record.
- Market volume is surging before the match, with activity running 23x above the recent average.
$4,756 on Monte | Wallet win rate: 94%
Profitable serial esports bettor
A highly experienced, profitable cross-market bettor is taking a small underdog position amid a sharp pre-event volume spike, though the edge signal is modest.
- This bettor has made 8,342 resolved trades and is up $183K lifetime.
- They are buying the 20¢ underdog during a 23x pre-event volume spike.
- The position is small versus market liquidity, so this is more of a watchable sharp signal than a whale bet.
$1,349 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 56%
Sharp serial esports bettor
A highly profitable sharp esports bettor bought Monte, with corroborating one-sided wallet flow and a major price move in the same direction.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $3.9M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with 957 markets and $7.9M traded.
- Four wallets bought Monte the same way, helping drive a 39-point move.
$2,164 on Monte | Wallet win rate: 78%
8-wallet one-sided flow
High-conviction one-sided flow and major pre-event volume spike make this worth watching, though this specific wallet has a weak track record and the price has moved against the entry.
- 8 wallets bought TheMongolz the same way, totaling $44.5k in coordinated flow.
- Volume spiked nearly 597x versus the recent average before the match.
- This wallet paid around 62¢, while the market is now 26¢, so the thesis is available much cheaper now.
$2,526 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 46%
9-wallet sharp Monte push
High-scoring one-sided Monte cluster with sharp profitable wallets, major price impact, and current odds below several sharp entries.
- Two standout bettors are up $2.7M and $3.9M lifetime, including one who wins 92% of resolved bets.
- Nine wallets bought the same side for about $12.0k, pushing Monte up 27 percentage points.
- Monte is now around 62¢, below several cluster entries as high as 86¢.
$11,955 on Monte
Top Holders
- 0xc44f...d49f — TheMongolz, $33,924 (74% win rate)
- 0x880b...c98b — Monte, $20,556 (69% win rate)
- 0x14f1...4a46 — Monte, $19,177 (98% win rate)
- 0x1341...0853 — Monte, $14,997 (87% win rate)
- 0x87da...53d1 — TheMongolz, $13,224 (73% win rate)
- 0xa8a1...2974 — TheMongolz, $13,103 (36% win rate)
- 0x9fe1...4d7f — TheMongolz, $12,766 (58% win rate)
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — Monte, $12,000 (78% win rate)
- 0xadfa...324e — Monte, $12,000 (53% win rate)
- 0x5c3a...020b — Monte, $10,501 (58% win rate)
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