Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier
This prediction market covers the Roland Garros ATP match between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Daniel Altmaier, scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 31, 2026; PolySpotter is currently tracking $1,000 in smart money and 1 signal on this market.
34 smart money signals detected, totaling $185,507.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable 75% bettor
Profitable 75% bettor with 72 resolved bets bought Felix Auger-Aliassime, and the current price is below their 80¢ entry.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $8.9K lifetime.
- They bought Felix at 80¢ after previously closing a cheaper Felix position around 45¢.
- Felix is now around 64¢, below this sharp bettor’s entry price.
$1,000 on Felix Auger-Aliassime | Wallet win rate: 75%
Proven tennis whale buying
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 71% win rate and $12.7M lifetime profit is buying Daniel Altmaier alongside one-sided wallet flow and a sharp price move.
- This bettor has won 71% of 8,937 resolved bets and is up $12.7M lifetime.
- Four wallets are all buying Daniel Altmaier, totaling about $17.5K in the same direction.
- Altmaier’s price has jumped 35 percentage points, and this trader is still buying at 76¢.
$2,392 on Daniel Altmaier | Wallet win rate: 71%
Sharp joins Daniel flow
Surface despite the wallet exiting a prior Felix position because the bettor has a strong 72-bet track record and is part of a broader five-wallet move toward Daniel Altmaier.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved bets and is up $8.9K lifetime.
- Five wallets are all positioned toward Daniel Altmaier, totaling $22.8K on the same side.
- The Felix price has already moved down about 20 points, suggesting the broader flow is moving the market.
$1,115 on Daniel Altmaier | Wallet win rate: 75%
86% sharp fading favorite
Sharp wallet with an 86% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history is effectively buying Daniel Altmaier against Felix Auger-Aliassime.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $52,487 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $480k deployed across 167 events.
- Selling Felix at 65¢ is equivalent to buying Daniel Altmaier at 35¢.
$4,285 on Daniel Altmaier | Wallet win rate: 85%
90% serial sports winner
Sharp 90% winner and serial cross-market tennis bettor bought Felix despite the market moving sharply against him afterward.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $12,747 lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 32 events, 35 markets, and $128,335 traded.
- Their 68¢ Felix buy is now around 52¢, so the market is offering a cheaper entry than the sharp paid.
$1,088 on Felix Auger-Aliassime | Wallet win rate: 91%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 70% lifetime win rate and $256k profit bought Felix, though the market has moved sharply against the entry since then.
- This bettor has won 70% of 28,344 resolved trades and is up $256k lifetime.
- They have traded across 359 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process rather than a one-off bet.
- The market has moved against their 64¢ entry to 46¢, so this is higher risk but now available cheaper than their fill.
$1,880 on Felix Auger-Aliassime | Wallet win rate: 70%
86% winner backing Felix
Sharp wallet override: bettor has an 86% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L, making the Felix buy worth surfacing despite the price moving against the entry.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $10,234 lifetime.
- They bought Felix at 58¢, while the market is now around 46¢, offering a cheaper entry than the sharp paid.
- Their past bets beat implied odds by about 30 points, suggesting real edge rather than lucky favorites.
$1,421 on Felix Auger-Aliassime | Wallet win rate: 88%
93% win-rate tennis sharp
Elite profitable sports bettor with a 93% win rate bought Daniel Altmaier at 49%, and the market has already moved to 55%.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $1.65M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 109 events with a 93% hit rate.
- Bought Daniel Altmaier at 49¢ before the market moved to 55¢.
$4,889 on Daniel Altmaier | Wallet win rate: 92%
78% serial sports sharp
Sharp, highly profitable wallet with a 78% long-run win rate is buying Felix despite a major price drop, supported by a strong serial cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up about $139k lifetime.
- They have traded across 116 events with the same 78% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- They bought Felix at 48¢ after a sharp price drop, implying they see value against the market move.
$2,801 on Felix Auger-Aliassime | Wallet win rate: 78%
95% win tennis bettor
Surfaced because a highly profitable sports bettor with a 95% record bought Felix despite the market moving sharply against him.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $132k lifetime.
- They bought Felix at 48¢ after a sharp 30-point daily drop, suggesting a contrarian read on the match.
- Entry at 48¢ implies nearly a 2x payout if Felix advances.
$2,043 on Felix Auger-Aliassime | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0x9ac2...be3d — Outcome 87822493, $475,471 (80% win rate)
- 0x84cb...28ad — Outcome 87822493, $40,025 (99% win rate)
- 0x03f8...d85a — Outcome 87822493, $32,597 (95% win rate)
- 0x336b...1233 — Outcome 87822493, $19,568 (45% win rate)
- 0xcd65...ee96 — Outcome 87822493, $17,410 (92% win rate)
- 0xd123...d341 — Outcome 87822493, $13,832 (70% win rate)
- 0xf284...b9f9 — Outcome 87822493, $12,995 (92% win rate)
- 0x92b5...fec6 — Outcome 87822493, $9,060 (63% win rate)
- 0x66b1...340f — Outcome 87822493, $5,652 (79% win rate)
- 0x59f4...c1f1 — Outcome 87822493, $5,466 (43% win rate)
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