Part of: San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners
This Polymarket market covers the May 15 MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Seattle Mariners, resolving to the team that wins the completed game. PolySpotter is tracking $1,007 in smart money with 1 signal, and recent alerts show sharp activity heavily backing the Padres. The market is scheduled to resolve after the game, with postponements staying open until completion and cancellations or ties resolving 50-50.
In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for May 15 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $38,026.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
78% cross-market sharp
Sharp-wallet override: a profitable 78% winner with extensive cross-market history bought Seattle despite the trade being modest in a liquid MLB market.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $102K lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 45 events and $1.67M in flagged activity.
- They bought Seattle at 55¢, backing the current slight favorite.
$1,007 on Seattle Mariners | Wallet win rate: 78%
80% MLB sharp backs Padres
Sharp MLB bettor with an 80% record over 227 resolved bets is effectively buying Padres at 46¢ against Seattle.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved bets and is up $11.1K lifetime.
- The trade is effectively a buy on Padres at 46¢ after selling Mariners at 54¢.
- Their historical wins came at 60¢ average odds, suggesting a strong edge versus market prices.
$6,499 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 80%
93% sharp backs Padres
Sharp MLB bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and $929k profit bought $10k of Padres, with corroborating cross-market history and linked-wallet activity.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved positions and is up $929k lifetime.
- They have traded 151 related events with the same 93% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- A linked-wallet cluster has $40k total exposure here, adding conviction beyond this $10k buy.
$10,000 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 93%
Sharp cluster backing Padres
Three wallets, including two highly profitable sharp bettors, are all backing Padres amid a major pre-game volume spike.
- Two top wallets in this cluster win 93%+ of resolved bets and are up over $2.5M combined.
- Three wallets put $14.5K on Padres, including a Mariners sell that converts to the same Padres view.
- Volume spiked 151x before the game, with two linked wallets also betting the same direction.
$14,520 on San Diego Padres
93% winner buying Padres
Sharp high-volume sports bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and nearly $929k profit is buying Padres at 44¢, with added support from a linked-wallet cluster.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved positions and is up about $929k lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 144 events with over $3.4M in tracked volume.
- A linked wallet cluster has $12k total on this market, adding conviction to the Padres side.
$6,000 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 93%
Top Holders
- 0xbd14...d62a — San Diego Padres, $35,483 (93% win rate)
- 0xd48a...6e90 — San Diego Padres, $13,562 (67% win rate)
- 0x6d3c...d294 — Seattle Mariners, $9,000 (51% win rate)
- 0x21f3...35e3 — Seattle Mariners, $8,296 (74% win rate)
- 0x359c...3272 — Seattle Mariners, $5,650 (73% win rate)
- 0x3625...1187 — San Diego Padres, $5,621 (98% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — Seattle Mariners, $4,077
- 0x5adf...a5e7 — Seattle Mariners, $3,000 (45% win rate)
- 0x4379...2e16 — Seattle Mariners, $3,000 (69% win rate)
- 0xd81e...e3d0 — Seattle Mariners, $2,446 (93% win rate)
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