Part of: "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?

This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,600.

Categories: Movies, Culture, Box Office, Spider-Man

Notable Trades

Experienced bettor adds to No

An experienced bettor added substantially to an existing No position in a thin market, coinciding with a sharp downward price move and a broader two-market thesis.

  • This bettor has won 88% of 74 resolved trades and is adding to an existing No position rather than making a casual entry.
  • The $1,469 purchase was nearly as large as the market's $1,694 liquidity, helping drive No from 34¢ to 41¢.
  • The wallet is also positioned across two Spider-Man markets, suggesting a broader view on the film's box-office outcome.

$1,131 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

Experienced bettor adds to No

An experienced bettor added substantially to an existing No position in a thin market, coinciding with a sharp downward price move and a broader two-market thesis.

  • This bettor has won 88% of 74 resolved trades and is adding to an existing No position rather than making a casual entry.
  • The $1,469 purchase was nearly as large as the market's $1,694 liquidity, helping drive No from 34¢ to 41¢.
  • The wallet is also positioned across two Spider-Man markets, suggesting a broader view on the film's box-office outcome.

$1,469 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

Related Theses

Spider-Man gross lands in $950–960m range

Covers 2 related markets

NYC sees 20–34 West Nile cases

Covers 1 related market

Hormuz traffic stays elevated

Covers 3 related markets

Spider-Man grosses between $800M–$900M

Covers 2 related markets

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?$2,600 tracked2 signalsMoviesCultureBox OfficeSpider-Man
Yes
0¢
No
100¢

This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Notable Trades

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?

2026-09-18 22:11 UTC

$1,131 on No at 34¢

34¢→100¢↑66¢

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?

2026-09-16 04:29 UTC

$1,469 on No at 34¢

34¢→100¢↑66¢

Related Theses