Part of: Eurovision 2026: Top 10

Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

This prediction market asks whether Romania will finish Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest-scoring countries. It resolves based on the official Eurovision results, with an expected resolution around May 16, 2026, or earlier to “No” if Romania is eliminated and can no longer place top 10. PolySpotter is tracking $4,479 in smart money activity across 2 signals, including recent bearish activity from a profitable Eurovision specialist fading Yes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,995.

Categories: Music, Eurovision, Awards, Culture

Notable Trades

Profitable cross-market seller

A highly profitable cross-market Eurovision bettor sold Romania Yes after previously holding it, effectively moving to No despite a strong long-run record across 823 resolved bets.

  • This bettor has 823 resolved bets, wins 68%, and is up about $170K lifetime.
  • They are active across 4 Eurovision markets with over $15K deployed, suggesting a broader event thesis.
  • Selling Yes at 63¢ after a prior long position effectively backs No at 37¢ while the market now shows Yes around 49¢.

$1,634 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%

Profitable Eurovision specialist fading Yes

Sharp profitable wallet with a large resolved track record is exiting Romania Yes across Eurovision markets, effectively favoring No despite modest signal strength.

  • This bettor has 823 resolved trades, wins 68%, and is up $170K lifetime.
  • They are active across 4 Eurovision markets with $15K in related positioning.
  • Selling Yes at 63–65¢ effectively backs No around 35–37¢.

$2,844 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%

Profitable cross-market bettor

Profitable high-volume wallet bought $3.5k of Yes while building a broader Eurovision position across 4 related markets, with price momentum supporting the move.

  • This bettor has 823 resolved trades, wins 68% of them, and is up $171K lifetime.
  • They are positioning across 4 Eurovision markets with $16K total exposure, suggesting a broader event thesis.
  • This $3.5K buy was nearly half of the market’s 24h volume, and Yes is already up 17% this week.

$3,517 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 68%

Top Holders

  1. 0xb886...81b3 Yes, $14,233 (59% win rate)
  2. 0x168a...da29 No, $5,710
  3. 0x18ea...f348 No, $4,246
  4. 0x6db9...4ab5 No, $2,414 (82% win rate)
  5. 0x41f0...3eeb No, $2,373
  6. 0x51fd...4272 No, $2,251
  7. 0xc825...6696 Yes, $1,612
  8. 0x8b80...936c Yes, $1,559
  9. 0xf802...d91d Yes, $1,500
  10. 0x22d3...5e3a No, $1,400

Related Theses

Greece Romania outperform Eurovision 2026

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Georgia out, Moldova Serbia advance

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Greece wins Eurovision over Denmark

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Bulgaria and Albania advance

Covers 2 related markets

Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

ResolvedEurovision 2026: Top 10$7,995 tracked3 signalsMusicEurovisionAwardsCulture
Yes
81¢
No
19¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Price History — “Yes
83¢
70¢
57¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

2d ago

$1,634 on No at 37¢

37¢19¢18¢

Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

2d ago

$2,844 on No at 36¢

36¢19¢17¢

Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

2d ago

$3,517 on Yes at 74¢

74¢81¢7¢

Related Theses