Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

This prediction market asks whether the official CME settlement price for front-month NYMEX crude oil (CL) futures will reach at least $200 on any trading day by June 30, 2026. It resolves to Yes if the active-month contract settles at $200 or higher before the final trading day of June 2026; otherwise it resolves to No. PolySpotter is currently tracking $24,010 in smart money activity across 4 signals, including several recent high-conviction oil-related alerts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $24,010.

Categories: Commodities, NYMEX Crude Oil Futures, Oil

Notable Trades

80% win-rate oil thesis

A profitable 80% win-rate wallet is building a consistent cross-market oil thesis, buying the heavily favored No side in a large, liquid crude price market.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up about $117k lifetime
  • They have bet $13.3k across 3 related oil markets, suggesting a coordinated view rather than a one-off trade
  • Buying No at 90¢ means following a high-probability stance in a deep market with tight spreads

$3,540 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

New whale buying long shot

A very new wallet has repeatedly made large bets and just put $13.35k into the long-shot Yes side of a macro market by selling No at 89¢, signaling concentrated conviction despite no track record yet.

  • This new wallet has already been flagged 4 times for large bets, with $22.7k in total flagged activity.
  • These trades effectively buy Yes at 11¢, a cheap entry for a high-upside macro bet.
  • The bettor put $13.35k to work in a liquid market, which looks like fresh conviction rather than routine rebalancing.

$13,350 on Yes

91% win-rate oil bettor

A bettor with a 91% win rate is taking a directional view across related oil markets, and this trade effectively buys a low-priced tail outcome at 11¢.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $151k lifetime
  • The trade is effectively a BUY on Yes at 11¢, a cheap tail bet on a sharp move in crude oil
  • They are betting across 2 related oil markets, which suggests a broader thesis rather than a one-off punt

$3,560 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

91% win-rate oil bettor

A bettor with a 91% win rate is taking a directional cross-market view on oil despite only a modest composite score, making this a notable sharp-trader signal.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $151k lifetime
  • They are adding a directional view across 2 related oil markets, which suggests a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet
  • Selling No at 89¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 11¢, a cheap entry if they think the market is underpricing a big oil spike

$3,560 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf041...dde5 Yes, $244,541 (86% win rate)
  2. 0x93fb...3e4a Yes, $165,147 (35% win rate)
  3. 0x4047...7293 No, $86,387 (53% win rate)
  4. 0xbfb3...4b43 No, $83,800
  5. 0x5007...edda Yes, $59,281
  6. 0x6127...d746 No, $59,246
  7. 0xf467...935f No, $53,721
  8. 0x88c4...129a No, $46,993 (86% win rate)
  9. 0x4bbe...2cf3 No, $42,136 (78% win rate)
  10. 0x3ced...011a Yes, $32,700

Related Theses

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

81d$24,010 tracked4 signalsCommoditiesHide From NewNYMEX Crude Oil FuturesOil
Yes
8¢
No
93¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

Price History — “No
95¢
91¢
87¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

4d ago

$3,540 on No at 90¢

90¢93¢3¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

4d ago

$13,350 on Yes at 11¢

11¢8¢3¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

5d ago

$3,560 on Yes at 11¢

11¢8¢3¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

5d ago

$3,560 on Yes at 11¢

11¢8¢3¢

Related Theses

Will Oil Hit $200 by June 2026? Polymarket Odds | PolySpotter