What does this Predict.fun FDV market predict?

It predicts whether Predict.fun’s governance token will have a fully diluted valuation greater than $300 million one day after launch.

How is Predict.fun’s FDV calculated for this market?

FDV is calculated by multiplying the total token supply by the token price. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable for the launch to count.

When does the Predict.fun $300M FDV market resolve?

The market resolves based on the token’s FDV at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after launch. The listed resolution date is January 1, 2028, though the key trigger is the token launch timing.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking?

PolySpotter currently tracks $1,540 in smart money on this market across 1 signal, including a recent alert that a 90% winner was buying NO.

Where can I follow Predict.fun prediction market odds?

You can follow this PolySpotter market page for live odds, smart money signals, and updates on whether traders expect Predict.fun’s FDV to exceed $300 million after launch.

Part of: Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

This prediction market asks whether Predict.fun’s governance token will have a fully diluted valuation above $300 million at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after launch. FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price, and the token must be publicly transferable and tradable to count as launched. PolySpotter tracks live market pricing plus $1,540 in smart money activity, including a notable signal from a 90% winner buying NO.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,972.

Categories: Crypto, Predict.fun, FDV, Pre-Market, fdv

Notable Trades

Profitable cross-market crypto bettor

Profitable wallet is taking a cross-market No position on a thin Predict.fun launch valuation market, with $26.6k positioned across related markets.

This wallet is up $168k lifetime despite a low hit rate, suggesting it takes selective higher-upside positions.
The bettor has put $26.6k across 4 related Predict.fun markets, pointing to a broader launch-valuation thesis.
Selling Yes at 77¢ is equivalent to buying No at 23¢, a contrarian bet against the market’s 78% Yes pricing.

$1,540 on No | Wallet win rate: 38%

Profitable cross-market crypto bettor

Profitable wallet is taking a cross-market No position on a thin Predict.fun launch valuation market, with $26.6k positioned across related markets.

This wallet is up $168k lifetime despite a low hit rate, suggesting it takes selective higher-upside positions.
The bettor has put $26.6k across 4 related Predict.fun markets, pointing to a broader launch-valuation thesis.
Selling Yes at 77¢ is equivalent to buying No at 23¢, a contrarian bet against the market’s 78% Yes pricing.

$2,384 on No | Wallet win rate: 38%

90% winner buying NO

Sharp 90% winner is taking the No side with $13k on a quiet Predict.fun FDV market, alongside broader cross-market positioning.

This bettor has won 9 of 10 resolved trades and is up $33.8k lifetime.
They sold $13k of Yes, effectively betting No after the market drifted down 6.5% this week.
This wallet is active across 4 related markets with $29.5k positioned, suggesting a broader thesis.

$13,037 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

Profitable cross-market crypto bettor

Profitable wallet is building a $31.6k cross-market thesis on Predict.fun launch valuation, with an 88% resolved-bet record despite a small sample.

This bettor has won 7 of 8 resolved bets and is up $38k.
They have put $31.6k across 4 related markets, suggesting a broader launch-valuation thesis.
This buy at 72¢ follows a 5-point daily move with a tight 2¢ spread.

$2,452 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%

Repeat new-wallet whale

A 5-day-old wallet has already made 13 large bets totaling $22.6k and is adding another $1.6k Yes position here, a strong early-conviction pattern worth watching despite no resolved track record yet.

This 5-day-old wallet has already triggered 13 large-bet alerts totaling $22.6k
They bought Yes at 54¢, showing fresh conviction rather than routine profit-taking
The market is active but not crowded, so a repeat bettor sizing in this quickly stands out

$1,558 on Yes