Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $86,566.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Coordinated Liquid handicap buying

A major pre-event volume surge and roughly $68,000 of coordinated Liquid exposure make this a notable directional trade despite mixed wallet track records.

Three wallets accumulated about $68,000 of Liquid exposure, including a $32,800 buy at 41¢.
Trading volume spiked 134.8 times above its historical average ahead of the match.
The largest bettor is adding to an existing Liquid position while the market has fallen to 38%, signaling continued conviction.

$70,604 on Liquid

98% winner leads Vitality cluster

Three wallets added $54,175 to Vitality, including a highly profitable 98% win-rate bettor, alongside an extreme pre-event volume spike.

A bettor with a 98% win rate and $394,000 profit is buying Vitality at 63¢.
Three wallets added $54,175 to Vitality, with all three already holding positions and increasing their exposure.
Trading volume surged to 236 times its historical average before the esports match.

$4,310 on Vitality

Proven bettor backs Liquid underdog

A proven bettor with a 77% win rate made a sizable fresh contrarian move from Vitality toward Liquid, with the market already moving in that direction.

This bettor wins 77% of 121 resolved trades and is up $13,821 lifetime.
A $5,146 sell of Vitality at 62¢ is equivalent to buying Liquid around 38¢.
Vitality has fallen 7.5 percentage points over the past day, reinforcing the Liquid thesis.

$5,146 on Liquid | Wallet win rate: 76%

Sharp serial esports bettor buys Vitality

A proven esports bettor with an 83% win rate and substantial positive edge is making a fresh $1,605 purchase of Vitality at 63%.

This bettor wins 83% of 1,092 resolved trades and is up $905,903.
The wallet has historically beaten its average entry odds by 28 percentage points.
A fresh $1,605 position backs Vitality at 63% despite the market falling 7.5% over the past day.

$1,605 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 86%

89% win-rate serial sports bettor

A highly proven sports bettor with an 89% win rate and substantial lifetime profit is buying Vitality at 65¢.

This bettor has won 89% of 836 resolved trades and is up $260,095 lifetime.
They consistently outperform their average entry odds across 66 events and 72 markets.
The fresh $1,200 Vitality position was entered at 65¢, near the current market price.

$1,200 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 90%

95% win-rate bettor adds to Vitality

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 95% win rate is adding to an existing Vitality position at 67 cents.

This bettor has won 95% of 93 resolved positions and earned $355,300 in profit.
The wallet trades across 80 events and 86 markets, indicating a broad, repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
The $1,274 purchase adds to an existing $3,072 Vitality position at the same 67¢ entry price.

$1,274 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 95%

95% win-rate serial sharp

A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $2,427 purchase of Vitality at 68%.

This bettor has won 95% of 750 resolved positions and is up $356,223 lifetime.
They are making a fresh $2,427 bet on Vitality at 68%, rather than merely managing an existing position.
The wallet has traded across 76 events, suggesting a sustained and unusually strong edge rather than a one-off result.

$2,427 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

0xf0b6...2fef — Outcome 28460647, $61,292 (98% win rate)
0xea7e...f207 — Outcome 28460647, $16,163 (91% win rate)
0x6b97...8d30 — Outcome 28460647, $7,047 (86% win rate)
0x7645...3117 — Outcome 28460647, $5,000 (51% win rate)
0x17cd...7423 — Outcome 28460647, $3,569 (95% win rate)
0x6046...87f8 — Outcome 28460647, $3,191 (63% win rate)
0xd86e...45ce — Outcome 28460647, $3,072 (95% win rate)
0x5513...1b1d — Outcome 28460647, $3,000
0xc463...9a2f — Outcome 28460647, $2,934 (55% win rate)
0x1d16...212e — Outcome 28460647, $2,780 (91% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 1 related market

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)

Resolved$86,566 tracked7 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 32 match between Liquid and Vitality in the BLAST Bounty Qualifier, initially scheduled for July 24 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality wins 2 or more maps than Liquid in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Liquid". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.