Part of: Canadian Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Liam Draxl

Canadian Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Liam Draxl

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $39,067.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Linked wallets backing Daniel

Three linked wallets deployed over $12,000 toward Daniel Merida Aguilar amid a 31x volume spike and a sharp move in Daniel's odds, though their individual records are weak and one trade appears to be a position rotation.

  • Three wallets, including two sharing a funder, moved more than $12,000 toward Daniel Merida Aguilar.
  • The market saw a 31x volume spike, while Daniel's price rose roughly 22% during the move.
  • The wallets lack strong proven track records, so the coordinated flow is more compelling than the bettors themselves.

$12,418 on Daniel Merida Aguilar

Three-wallet Draxl buying cluster

A three-wallet Liam Draxl cluster and 31x volume spike support a meaningful coordinated sports-market move, despite the trader's only moderate historical edge.

  • Three wallets bought Liam Draxl in the same window, totaling $5,751.
  • Trading volume surged to 31 times its recent average, alongside a major price move.
  • This bettor added to an existing $5,200 Liam Draxl position at 47¢; the market now lists Draxl at 68%.

$1,410 on Liam Draxl | Wallet win rate: 66%

Five-wallet Draxl buying cluster

A five-wallet $21.6K push toward Liam Draxl includes a highly profitable 91% bettor and coincided with a sharp move from roughly 47¢ to 60¢, though linked money is also backing the opponent.

  • Five wallets committed $21,566 to Liam Draxl, with most entries near 47¢ before the outcome rose to about 60¢.
  • One participating bettor wins 91% of 183 resolved bets and is up $350,472 overall.
  • The signal is not one-sided: three linked wallets also bought Daniel Merida Aguilar, adding meaningful uncertainty.

$25,238 on Liam Draxl

Top Holders

  1. 0x927c...6633 Outcome 38446209, $13,650 (91% win rate)
  2. 0xcadf...faea Outcome 38446209, $4,000 (100% win rate)
  3. 0xf83b...44a2 Outcome 38446209, $3,442 (85% win rate)
  4. 0x076d...8d4c Outcome 38446209, $3,388 (65% win rate)
  5. 0xed2d...9af1 Outcome 38446209, $3,305 (100% win rate)
  6. 0x2e3b...dcc2 Outcome 38446209, $3,077 (88% win rate)
  7. 0x6729...f17d Outcome 38446209, $2,000 (90% win rate)
  8. 0xd3d2...fe85 Outcome 38446209, $1,830 (74% win rate)
  9. 0xacf8...e791 Outcome 38446209, $1,657 (71% win rate)
  10. 0x3ebc...063e Outcome 38446209, $1,500 (94% win rate)

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Canadian Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Liam Draxl

ResolvedCanadian Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Liam Draxl$39,067 tracked3 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Liam Draxl in the Canadian Open, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Liam Draxl. This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Canadian Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Liam Draxl

19d ago

$12,418 on Daniel Merida Aguilar at 34¢

Canadian Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Liam Draxl

19d ago

$1,410 on Liam Draxl at 47¢

Canadian Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Liam Draxl

19d ago

$25,238 on Liam Draxl at 51¢

Related Theses