Part of: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $278,368.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

A very high-volume profitable sports bettor is taking the Under, backed by an unusually large pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has 5,888 resolved trades, wins 55% of them, and is up about $190K lifetime.
  • They sold Over at 37¢, equivalent to buying Under at 63¢ on a 7.5-run total.
  • Market volume is running nearly 59x above its historical average before the game.

$3,329 on Under | Wallet win rate: 55%

Last-second $149k Under bet

A profitable high-volume wallet put $149k on Under in the final seconds before resolution, alongside a 193x volume spike and immediate price move from 55¢ to 60¢.

  • This bettor put $149k on Under in the final 3 minutes, including a large buy just 12 seconds before resolution.
  • The wallet is profitable overall, up $249k across $12.6M of prior Polymarket volume.
  • Market volume spiked 193x above normal and Under moved from 55¢ to 60¢ after the buys.

$148,630 on Under | Wallet win rate: 72%

New whale on late Under

A 20-hour-old repeat large bettor put $19.7k on Under minutes before market close, alongside a major pregame volume spike and immediate price move in their favor.

  • A brand-new wallet has already been flagged 5 times, with $43.7k in large bets.
  • They put $19.7k on Under at 54¢ just minutes before the game market closed.
  • The market moved toward them to 57¢, and volume spiked 184x above normal.

$19,700 on Under

Profitable last-minute sports whale

A profitable high-volume sports bettor put $93k on Under minutes before resolution, alongside a major volume spike and a long cross-market betting history.

  • This bettor is up $249k lifetime and has traded $12.6M across resolved markets.
  • They put $93k on Under just 1.8 minutes before resolution, mostly around 55¢.
  • Market volume spiked 184x as the bet landed, and Under has already moved to 57¢.

$93,173 on Under | Wallet win rate: 72%

Elite sports bettor on Under

Sharp sports bettor with an 86% win rate and over $2M lifetime profit bought Under 7.5 at 54¢.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $2.1M lifetime.
  • They have a long sports track record: 403 resolved positions with strong results at near-even odds.
  • This is part of a large cross-market betting history across 276 events, suggesting a repeatable edge.

$4,266 on Under | Wallet win rate: 86%

Profitable whales buying Over

Four wallets bought $9.3k of Over, led by two highly profitable serial sports bettors with 69–73% win rates and multi-million-dollar lifetime profits.

  • Two lead bettors have strong records: one wins 73% and is up $9.6M, another wins 69% and is up $3.0M.
  • Four wallets bought $9.3k of Over together, creating a clear one-sided move.
  • Market volume is running 36.7x above normal before the game, suggesting fresh attention on this total.

$9,270 on Over

Top Holders

  1. 0x9495...9a27 Outcome 20192555, $294,206 (64% win rate)
  2. 0x16bb...8492 Outcome 20192555, $27,830 (91% win rate)
  3. 0x4337...8882 Outcome 20192555, $18,888 (75% win rate)
  4. 0x27f7...44b0 Outcome 20192555, $7,677 (88% win rate)
  5. 0x9c76...c926 Outcome 20192555, $7,500 (89% win rate)
  6. 0x3856...14a9 Outcome 20192555, $7,250
  7. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 20192555, $6,452 (72% win rate)
  8. 0x359c...3272 Outcome 20192555, $5,478 (50% win rate)
  9. 0x8688...9d8c Outcome 20192555, $4,545 (54% win rate)
  10. 0x21b7...c861 Outcome 20192555, $2,712 (38% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

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Covers 2 related markets

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Covers 2 related markets

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Covers 1 related market

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5

ResolvedPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$278,368 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for May 17 at 1:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Philadelphia Phillies and Pittsburgh Pirates combine to score 8 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 8, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

PHI
6
24-23
Final
PIT
0
24-23
PHI +108PIT -131O/U 7.5
Venue
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
Attendance
37,820
Price History — “Over
74¢
59¢
43¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5

5d ago

$3,329 on Under at 63¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5

5d ago

$148,630 on Under at 55¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5

5d ago

$19,700 on Under at 54¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5

5d ago

$93,173 on Under at 55¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5

5d ago

$4,266 on Under at 54¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5

5d ago

$9,270 on Over at 39¢

Related Theses