What does the De Minaur vs Alcaraz prediction market cover?

It predicts which player advances from their Erste Bank Open match: Alex de Minaur or Carlos Alcaraz.

When is the De Minaur vs Alcaraz match scheduled?

The match is listed as scheduled for November 1, 2026, at 8:00 AM ET.

What are the current Polymarket odds for De Minaur vs Alcaraz?

Current prices are not included in the supplied market metadata. Check the live market page for the latest odds.

When does the De Minaur vs Alcaraz market resolve?

It resolves to the player who advances. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or has no determined winner by November 15, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, the market follows its stated fallback resolution rules.

What does smart money activity show for this match?

PolySpotter tracks $2,411 in smart money and one signal; the recent alert reports a proven bettor adding to Alcaraz.

Part of: Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz

Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz

This Polymarket market covers whether Alex de Minaur or Carlos Alcaraz advances from their scheduled Erste Bank Open match on November 1, 2026. Current odds are not included in the supplied market data; PolySpotter tracks $2,411 in smart money, with one signal showing a proven bettor adding to Alcaraz. The market resolves based on who advances, with a stated deadline of November 15 if no winner is determined sooner.

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Carlos Alcaraz in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Alex de Minaur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,113.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable serial trader follows volume spike

A highly profitable serial trader bought Carlos Alcaraz amid a sharp pre-event volume spike, though the entry is already near the market price.

This trader has won 64% of more than 84,000 resolved bets and earned about $65.6M.
The $4,272 Carlos Alcaraz buy came during a 64.8× pre-event volume spike.
The entry was 80¢, matching current odds, so the market shows little immediate price discount.

$4,272 on Carlos Alcaraz | Wallet win rate: 64%

99% winner adding to Alcaraz position

A bettor with an exceptional 99% record is adding $7,000 to an existing Carlos Alcaraz position, backed by activity across 233 events.

This bettor has won 322 of 324 resolved trades and is up $404,274.
They added $7,000 to an existing Alcaraz position at 82¢, showing increased conviction.

$7,000 on Carlos Alcaraz | Wallet win rate: 99%

Proven 95% winner backs Alcaraz

A highly profitable bettor with 3,908 resolved positions and a strong record is backing Alcaraz at 82¢.

This bettor has won 95% of 3,908 resolved positions and is up over $2 million.
They are putting $1,430 on Alcaraz at 82¢, consistent with their long-running cross-market activity.
Their average winning price is 60¢, well below their 95% win rate.

$1,430 on Carlos Alcaraz | Wallet win rate: 95%

Proven bettor adding to Alcaraz

A profitable bettor with an 83% record and extensive cross-market activity added substantially to an existing Alcaraz position, with the trade representing 72% of 24-hour volume.

This bettor has won 83% of 451 resolved bets and is up about $166,751.
The $2,411 buy adds to an existing Alcaraz position and accounts for 72% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
The wallet has traded across 154 events, making this part of a broad, experienced betting record.

$2,411 on Carlos Alcaraz | Wallet win rate: 83%