Part of: Thunder vs. Mavericks

Spread: Thunder (-4.5)

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 28 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Thunder" if the Thunder win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $33,391.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Six-wallet Mavericks buying cluster

Six-wallet Mavericks buying, a sharp pre-event volume spike, and substantial same-event positioning make this coordinated sports flow worth following despite the featured wallet's modest record relative to its average entry odds.

  • Six wallets bought Mavericks for a combined $18,096, pointing to coordinated conviction.
  • Trading volume spiked 12.5× its historical average, alongside $42,414 of positioning across 11 markets in the same event.
  • This wallet bought Mavericks around 41–47¢; the outcome is now priced at 60¢, though its 55% win rate at a 58¢ average win price is not strong proof of an edge.

$2,809 on Mavericks | Wallet win rate: 55%

Proven 92% bettor backs Mavericks

A highly profitable bettor with a 92% record made a $17.5K Mavericks bet amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 429 of 464 resolved positions and is up $3.2 million.
  • They put $17,537 on Mavericks at 47¢ as market volume spiked to 35.9 times its historical average.
  • The Mavericks price has since risen to 52¢, moving in the bettor’s direction.

$17,537 on Mavericks | Wallet win rate: 92%

Proven 81% winner backs Mavericks

A highly profitable bettor with 432 resolved positions and an 81% win rate is buying Mavericks at 47¢.

  • This bettor has won 349 of 432 resolved positions and is up $197,215.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader active across 102 events, now buying Mavericks at 47¢.

$1,044 on Mavericks | Wallet win rate: 81%

Three-wallet Mavericks cluster

Three wallets bought Mavericks for about $10.4k amid a sharp volume spike and substantial cross-market activity around the event.

  • Three wallets put about $10,375 on Mavericks at 45–48¢.
  • Trading volume spiked 66×, alongside $109,330 in activity across five markets for the event.
  • One participating bettor has won 70% of 470 resolved bets, though their average winning price was 75¢.

$12,001 on Mavericks

Top Holders

  1. 0x1f3a...895d — Thunder, $45,891 (72% win rate)
  2. 0x4df3...788f — Thunder, $3,348 (71% win rate)
  3. 0x689f...259c — Thunder, $1,100 (45% win rate)
  4. 0x5b62...d87f — Thunder, $1,000 (81% win rate)
  5. 0xc5b0...180d — Thunder, $831 (96% win rate)
  6. 0x9c76...c926 — Thunder, $500 (92% win rate)
  7. 0x187b...8848 — Thunder, $364
  8. 0x885f...8ed9 — Thunder, $359 (93% win rate)
  9. 0xdc8a...e0c6 — Thunder, $139 (95% win rate)
  10. 0x9b97...6084 — Thunder, $100 (83% win rate)

Related Theses

Spurs upset the Knicks

Covers 3 related markets

Baylor wins high-scoring shootout

Covers 4 related markets

Colts win narrowly in shootout

Covers 4 related markets

Broncos win a high-scoring game

Covers 4 related markets

Saints win in a shootout

Covers 8 related markets

Florida State wins, total 60–61

Covers 3 related markets

Western Kentucky covers in low-scoring win

Covers 3 related markets

Mavericks win a low-scoring game

Covers 4 related markets

Panthers cover in a moderate-scoring game

Covers 8 related markets

Timberwolves win big, game goes over

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Thunder (-4.5)

Thunder vs. Mavericks$33,391 tracked4 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball
Thunder
0¢
Mavericks
100¢

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 28 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Thunder" if the Thunder win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

OKC
96
4-1
Final
American Airlines Center
DAL
120
3-2
Draft Kings
Spread: OKC -4.5O/U: 227.5ML: -192/+160
Win Prob
—
Poly: 0¢
Last Play
—
Price History — “Mavericks”
78¢
60¢
43¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Thunder (-4.5)

2026-10-29 02:21 UTC

$2,809 on Mavericks at 44¢

44¢→100¢↑56¢

Spread: Thunder (-4.5)

2026-10-29 01:57 UTC

$17,537 on Mavericks at 47¢

47¢→100¢↑53¢

Spread: Thunder (-4.5)

2026-10-29 01:57 UTC

$1,044 on Mavericks at 47¢

47¢→100¢↑53¢

Spread: Thunder (-4.5)

2026-10-29 00:03 UTC

$12,001 on Mavericks at 48¢

48¢→100¢↑52¢

Related Theses