Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?
This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will reach $75,000 at any point in April, using Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle high prices as the resolution source. The market resolves to Yes if any final 1-minute candle during April shows a high at or above $75,000; otherwise it resolves to No. It is scheduled to resolve on May 1, 2026, after the month closes.
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $37,154.
Categories: Bitcoin, Monthly, Hit Price, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring
Notable Trades
New whale buying BTC breakout
A 2-day-old wallet is repeatedly making sizable directional bets and just added a $2.3k Bitcoin breakout position in a fast-moving market, which is notable despite the signal coming mainly from new-wallet behavior.
- This 2-day-old wallet has already been flagged 3 times and put $12.4k to work across 5 positions
- The trade was effectively a buy on Yes at 89¢, backing Bitcoin to hit $75k this month
- The market is active and moving fast, up 39 points in a day, so this bettor is leaning into strong momentum
$2,326 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable BTC event specialist
A high-volume cross-market specialist with 845 resolved bets and $261k profit is buying into a strong Bitcoin breakout across this event complex.
- This bettor has 845 resolved bets, a 58% win rate, and is up $261k overall.
- They have traded 81 markets across 41 related events, including 6 markets in this same Bitcoin event for $160k total.
- Bought Yes at 87¢ and the market has already moved to 92¢ after a 40.5-point jump in the last day.
$16,497 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%
Cross-market BTC contrarian
This wallet is running a sizable cross-market Bitcoin thesis and just bought NO at 14¢ despite a sharp recent rally and heavy volume, making it a notable contrarian setup worth tracking.
- This wallet has put $174.6k across 4 related Bitcoin markets and is up $215.7k overall
- They bought No at 14¢ while this market has surged 35 points in a day, a clear contrarian stance
- Volume is running 120.7x normal, so this bet is landing during a major repricing move
$5,256 on No | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable BTC event specialist
A highly active cross-market trader with 844 resolved bets and $256.8k profit is buying Yes across six related Bitcoin price-target markets as this market is breaking higher.
- This bettor has 844 resolved bets, wins 58% of them, and is up $256.8k lifetime.
- They put $78.2k across 6 Bitcoin target markets in the same event, showing a clear event-wide thesis.
- This market has jumped 18 points in 1 day, and they bought Yes at 71¢ before the price moved to 72-73¢.
$1,849 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%
95% win-rate sharp bettor
A wallet with an exceptional long-term track record bought No at 47¢ in a liquid BTC target market after a sharp 1-day move, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite modest size.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades with 394 bets tracked and is up $53k.
- They bought No at 47¢, implying they think Bitcoin staying below $75k in April is mispriced.
- The market dropped 17 points in a day, and this sharp wallet is still taking the No side rather than chasing Yes momentum.
$1,367 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%
9-wallet funded cluster
A profitable new wallet from a 9-wallet funded cluster is buying No at 44¢ in a liquid BTC target market, suggesting coordinated conviction rather than random flow.
- This new wallet is 6 for 6 on resolved bets and up $702, a strong early track record.
- Nine wallets share the same funder, which points to one actor spreading bets across multiple accounts.
- They bought No at 44¢ while the market prices it at 42%, showing conviction against the recent rally.
$969 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
78% winner buying No
A high-volume, historically profitable cross-market trader with a 78% win rate is taking a fresh bearish view here by effectively buying No at 28¢, which is notable even in a liquid BTC market.
- This bettor has won 78% of 1,035 resolved markets and is up $316k lifetime.
- The trade effectively buys No at 28¢, a cheap bearish position against a market that has already surged 39 points in a week.
- This is part of a 35-event, 81-market pattern from the same trader, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge rather than a one-off bet.
$6,618 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%
Profitable serial crypto trader
A high-volume serial crypto-event trader with 618 resolved bets and $171k profit is building a broad same-event position, including buying Yes at 71¢ before this market jumped to 74¢.
- This bettor has 618 resolved bets, a 59% win rate, and $171k in profit.
- They have traded 6 markets in this same Bitcoin event for $57k total, showing a broad thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- They bought Yes at 71¢ and the market is already up to 74¢ after a 41.5-point weekly run.
$2,271 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%
Top Holders
- 0x57e7...bc87 — Outcome 89331146, $92,807 (100% win rate)
- 0xf7a1...9dce — Outcome 89331146, $80,760 (55% win rate)
- 0x7f9c...95d1 — Outcome 89331146, $47,189
- 0xd4aa...d40c — Outcome 89331146, $36,426
- 0xa838...15cb — Outcome 89331146, $18,561
- 0x8028...6117 — Outcome 89331146, $13,692
- 0x7d93...5727 — Outcome 89331146, $11,137
- 0x1db2...1244 — Outcome 89331146, $9,861
- 0x1396...0a30 — Outcome 89331146, $9,438
- 0x40de...450a — Outcome 89331146, $8,535
