Part of: Uruguay vs. Spain - More Markets
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
20 smart money signals detected, totaling $290,299.
Categories: Games, Sports, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
$129k Uruguay cluster
Large coordinated one-sided flow on Uruguay with a $129k four-wallet cluster and 39x pre-game volume spike, though wallet track records are mixed.
- Four wallets bought the Uruguay side together, totaling $129k.
- The buying came during a 39x pre-game volume spike, and the position has moved from about 63¢ to 66¢.
- This is mainly a strong flow signal rather than a proven sharp-wallet signal, since several wallets have negative lifetime P&L.
$128,790 on Uruguay
Perfect-record sports sharp
A proven sports bettor with a perfect 35/35 resolved record and extensive cross-market history placed a $33.8k bet on Uruguay against the Spain -1.5 spread during a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 35 of 35 resolved positions and is up $22.5k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 50 events with a perfect resolved record.
- The $33.8k Uruguay bet came during a 58.7x pre-event volume spike.
$33,763 on Uruguay | Wallet win rate: 100%
Proven sharp flips Spain
Surface because a highly profitable, high-volume bettor with a 76% win rate and $1.83M lifetime profit is buying Spain despite recent market weakness.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved bets and is up $1.83M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.25M tracked across 224 events.
- They previously closed a Uruguay position and are now buying Spain at 31¢.
$2,307 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 76%
Elite sports bettor on spread
Sharp sports wallet with an 88% long-term win record and $3.3M profit bought Uruguay +1.5 despite a modest trade size in a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $3.3M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader with activity across 1,013 events and $9.7M traded.
- Buying Uruguay at 69¢ backs Spain not winning by 2+ goals.
$7,176 on Uruguay | Wallet win rate: 88%
87% sharp buying Spain
A highly profitable sports bettor with an 87% record and $2.1M lifetime profit is buying Spain -1.5 amid one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $2.1M lifetime.
- They have traded 709 events with the same strong record, making this a proven cross-market sports bettor.
- Four wallets are buying Spain the same way, with volume spiking 37.6x before the match.
$4,526 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 88%
96% winner buying Spain
Highly profitable 96% win-rate wallet bought Spain -1.5 alongside one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 47 of 49 resolved positions and is profitable lifetime.
- Four wallets are all buying Spain the same way, totaling about $9.6K.
- Market volume spiked 37.6x before the match, suggesting fresh attention on this side.
$2,500 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 97%
88% sharp on Uruguay
Elite 88% win-rate sports wallet with $3.3M lifetime profit bought $12.4k of Uruguay, alongside one-sided flow and a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.3M lifetime.
- They bought $12.4k of Uruguay around 66¢, adding conviction against Spain covering -1.5.
- Three wallets are buying the same side for $20.3k total as volume runs 16x above normal.
$12,374 on Uruguay | Wallet win rate: 88%
83% cross-market bettor
High-scoring alert from an 83% win-rate serial cross-market sports bettor buying Spain -1.5 at 35¢ amid a pre-event volume spike, despite modest size versus market liquidity.
- This bettor has won 15 of 18 resolved positions, often buying around 42¢ odds.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 35 events with over $500K in related volume.
- Entry at 35¢ implies a near 3x payout if Spain win by 2+ goals.
$6,000 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 85%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A massively active, profitable cross-market trader is buying Uruguay +1.5 into a pre-game volume spike, though the individual bet is modest relative to market liquidity.
- This bettor is up $4.2M across 48,653 settled bets.
- They bought Uruguay +1.5 at 66¢ as pre-game volume ran 19x above normal.
- The market is liquid, but the trader’s long profitable record makes the direction worth tracking.
$2,066 on Uruguay | Wallet win rate: 55%
88% winner buying Spain
Sharp 88% win-rate bettor with a long cross-market track record is buying Spain -1.5 alongside one-sided flow into the same outcome.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved positions across 211 markets and is profitable lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 44 events, with the same 88% hit rate on cross-market bets.
- Three wallets bought Spain in the same window, adding $5.9K of one-sided support.
$3,000 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0xe549...2d54 — Outcome 40579820, $150,000 (98% win rate)
- 0x032e...2a9e — Outcome 40579820, $104,654 (71% win rate)
- 0xdd88...dadb — Outcome 40579820, $81,583 (70% win rate)
- 0x9340...ae1d — Outcome 40579820, $56,194 (40% win rate)
- 0x62ca...1760 — Outcome 40579820, $45,734 (95% win rate)
- 0xc974...b33b — Outcome 40579820, $37,960 (88% win rate)
- 0x10a6...4d8b — Outcome 40579820, $30,303 (73% win rate)
- 0xb0a2...353a — Outcome 40579820, $17,143 (85% win rate)
- 0x4517...f700 — Outcome 40579820, $17,000 (47% win rate)
- 0xdb85...152f — Outcome 40579820, $14,706 (78% win rate)
Related Theses
Cabo Verde keeps high-scoring match close
Covers 3 related markets
Spain Argentina or England wins
Covers 3 related markets
