Part of: LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $30,417.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

5-wallet sharp cluster

Five wallets piled into Natus Vincere for $21.7k amid a 103x pre-match volume spike, and the cluster includes one exceptionally sharp wallet with a 95% win rate plus another strong serial cross-market bettor.

  • Five wallets bought the same side for $21.7k, a strong one-way signal before the match starts.
  • One wallet wins 95% of resolved bets and is up $340k, buying here around 49-50¢.
  • Market volume is running 103x normal, so this looks like informed pre-event positioning rather than random flow.

$21,671 on Natus Vincere

Repeat new-wallet whale

A very new wallet has already placed 12 sizable flagged bets and is profitable, suggesting repeat high-conviction activity worth watching despite the limited resolved history.

  • This wallet is less than 2 days old but has already triggered 12 large-bet alerts totaling about $59k
  • It already has 5 open positions and is up $786 so far, which is notable for such a new account
  • Bought Natus Vincere at 49¢, a near-even price in a fairly liquid market after a 13-point 1-day drop

$2,923 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 67%

New profitable repeat whale

A very new wallet has repeatedly placed large bets across multiple markets and is already profitable, making this fresh $2.9k buy on Navi worth tracking despite the limited resolved history.

  • This wallet is under 2 days old but has already triggered 11 large-bet alerts totaling $56k
  • It already has 5 open positions and is up $786, which is unusual for a brand-new account
  • Bought Navi -1.5 at 49¢ in a liquid market after a 13-point drop, suggesting conviction near even odds

$2,909 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 67%

85% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly profitable sharp bettor with an 85% win rate and strong edge is taking Natus Vincere at essentially even odds, making this a credible copy-trade despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 85% of their trades across 679 resolved markets and is up $193k lifetime
  • They bought Natus Vincere at 51¢, close to even odds, suggesting they see meaningful value rather than chasing an expensive favorite
  • The market is reasonably liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, so this looks like a deliberate sharp entry rather than noise in a thin book

$1,599 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 86%

86% win-rate sharp bettor

A proven high-volume bettor with an 86% win rate and $4.3M profit is taking Shifters +1.5 at 48¢, which stands out despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor wins 86% of 1,802 resolved trades and is up $4.3M lifetime
  • They trade across 239 related markets in 165 events, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • They bought Shifters +1.5 at 48¢ in a near-even market, giving a clear followable entry

$1,315 on Shifters | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

  1. 0x8725...eb10 Outcome 35909305, $6,538 (80% win rate)
  2. 0xf7c2...9b8d Outcome 35909305, $4,534 (95% win rate)
  3. 0xec54...e8c1 Outcome 35909305, $3,733 (67% win rate)
  4. 0x1ab6...078e Outcome 35909305, $3,135 (86% win rate)
  5. 0xbf3b...0375 Outcome 35909305, $2,850 (85% win rate)
  6. 0x4a5e...8fd0 Outcome 35909305, $1,970 (59% win rate)
  7. 0xcbb5...5ed9 Outcome 35909305, $1,401 (88% win rate)
  8. 0x1c98...186d Outcome 35909305, $1,182 (95% win rate)
  9. 0xf2f9...db30 Outcome 35909305, $1,000 (36% win rate)
  10. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 35909305, $969

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)

ResolvedLoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$30,417 tracked5 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between Shifters and Natus Vincere in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 26 at 10:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere wins 2 or more games than Shifters in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Shifters". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)

16d ago

$21,671 on Natus Vincere at 50¢

Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)

16d ago

$2,923 on Natus Vincere at 49¢

Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)

16d ago

$2,909 on Natus Vincere at 49¢

Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)

16d ago

$1,599 on Natus Vincere at 51¢

Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)

16d ago

$1,315 on Shifters at 48¢

Related Theses