Part of: Raiders vs. Patriots
Raiders vs. Patriots
In the upcoming NFL football game between Raiders and Patriots, scheduled for October 11 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Raiders" if Raiders win the game. This market will resolve to "Patriots" if Patriots win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $285,133.
Categories: Sports, NFL (All), Games
Notable Trades
Repeat new-wallet Raiders buyer
A two-day-old wallet has repeatedly made substantial bets, adding to its Raiders position during a sharp pre-event volume spike, though it has no resolved track record and the price has since fallen.
- This 2-day-old wallet has made four flagged bets totaling $37,666 and is adding to its Raiders position.
- The trade coincided with a 575× pre-event volume spike, but Raiders have since fallen from 38¢ to 32¢ and the wallet has no resolved positions shown.
$1,646 on Raiders | Wallet win rate: 79%
Proven sharp, contested Raiders position
A proven bettor with an 81% win rate and strong historical returns is among three wallets buying Raiders, though a much larger Patriots cluster makes the market contested.
- One Raiders buyer has won 81% of 455 resolved positions and earned about $592K on nearly $2.9M invested.
- Three wallets bought Raiders for about $7K total at 38¢, but the price has since fallen to 28¢.
- The signal is contested: a separate five-wallet cluster bought $149K of Patriots.
$6,994 on Raiders
Five-wallet Patriots buying cluster
Five wallets bought Patriots for $149,345 amid a 203.5x volume spike, and this trader added $126,000 to an existing position despite a poor historical record.
- Five wallets bought Patriots, totaling $149,345 in coordinated same-direction trades.
- The buying coincided with a 203.5x spike in market volume; this wallet added $126,000 to its existing position.
- The trader entered at 63¢, and the current market price is around 72¢, though its historical record is weak at 44% wins and roughly $6.9M in losses.
$126,000 on Patriots | Wallet win rate: 45%
Repeat new-wallet Raiders buyer
A two-day-old wallet has repeatedly made substantial bets, adding to its Raiders position during a sharp pre-event volume spike, though it has no resolved track record and the price has since fallen.
- This 2-day-old wallet has made four flagged bets totaling $37,666 and is adding to its Raiders position.
- The trade coincided with a 575× pre-event volume spike, but Raiders have since fallen from 38¢ to 32¢ and the wallet has no resolved positions shown.
$2,854 on Raiders | Wallet win rate: 79%
Profitable serial trader adds to Raiders
A profitable serial cross-market trader is adding to an existing Raiders position, alongside an unusually large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor is up $141,908 across more than $7 million invested, with 64% of resolved bets won.
- They added $2,000 to an existing Raiders position at 38¢ as the market showed a 555× volume spike versus its historical average.
$3,000 on Raiders | Wallet win rate: 63%
Four-wallet Patriots buying surge
Four wallets placed $142,640 on the Patriots amid a 605x volume spike, including a large add to an existing position and several profitable traders.
- Four wallets bought $142,640 of Patriots shares, including one bettor adding to an existing $400,000 position.
- The trades coincided with a 605x spike in volume versus the historical average.
- One participating bettor is up $142,535 with a 95% record across 42 resolved bets; another is up $55.6M across more than 72,000 bets.
$142,640 on Patriots
Profitable serial trader adds to Raiders
A profitable serial cross-market trader is adding to an existing Raiders position, alongside an unusually large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor is up $141,908 across more than $7 million invested, with 64% of resolved bets won.
- They added $2,000 to an existing Raiders position at 38¢ as the market showed a 555× volume spike versus its historical average.
$2,000 on Raiders | Wallet win rate: 63%
Top Holders
- 0xf031...c80c — Raiders, $299,875 (89% win rate)
- 0xb3cf...0ebd — Raiders, $238,929 (81% win rate)
- 0x684b...8409 — Raiders, $20,000 (92% win rate)
- 0x7a88...41cc — Raiders, $20,000 (66% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Raiders, $14,849 (64% win rate)
- 0xdaef...54e9 — Raiders, $13,741 (68% win rate)
- 0xf93f...f94b — Raiders, $10,522 (83% win rate)
- 0x226b...cad6 — Raiders, $10,000 (74% win rate)
- 0x32a7...a84b — Raiders, $5,963
- 0xdd5e...9040 — Raiders, $5,601 (86% win rate)
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