Part of: Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Joel Schwaerzler vs Ilya Ivashka
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Joel Schwaerzler vs Ilya Ivashka
This tennis prediction market covers the Grodzisk Mazowiecki match between Joel Schwaerzler and Ilya Ivashka, scheduled for August 7, 2026, at 5:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with resolution scheduled for August 14, 2026; the market has tracked $296,286 in smart money and recent signals on both players.
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $561,196.
Categories: Sports, Games, Tennis
Notable Trades
Whale scaling into Schwaerzler
A profitable high-volume bettor is adding $121,535 to an already $400,762-long position amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the wallet lacks a strong win-rate edge.
- This bettor is adding $121,535 to an existing $400,762 position on Schwaerzler.
- The trades drove nearly all recent market activity, alongside a 6,474x historical volume spike.
- The wallet is up $2.08M lifetime, though its 48% win rate makes this weaker than a proven sharp-bettor signal.
$296,286 on Joel Schwaerzler | Wallet win rate: 48%
98% winner adds to tennis position
A highly successful serial cross-market bettor added $3,400 to an existing tennis position despite a 1,435x volume spike, making this a notable conviction trade.
- This bettor has won 98% of 94 resolved bets and is up $34,553.
- They added $3,400 to Joel Schwaerzler at 81¢ despite already holding $4,175 in the same outcome.
- The market saw a 1,435x historical volume spike, although the current price has since fallen to roughly 72%.
- copy_action
$3,400 on Joel Schwaerzler | Wallet win rate: 98%
Whale scaling into Schwaerzler
A profitable high-volume bettor is adding $121,535 to an already $400,762-long position amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the wallet lacks a strong win-rate edge.
- This bettor is adding $121,535 to an existing $400,762 position on Schwaerzler.
- The trades drove nearly all recent market activity, alongside a 6,474x historical volume spike.
- The wallet is up $2.08M lifetime, though its 48% win rate makes this weaker than a proven sharp-bettor signal.
$131,390 on Joel Schwaerzler | Wallet win rate: 48%
96% winner scaling into Schwaerzler
A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial implied-odds edge is adding to an existing position amid an extreme volume spike.
- This bettor wins 96% of 117 resolved trades, entering at average odds near 51% and earning a substantial edge.
- They are adding $1,273 to an existing Schwaerzler position at 81%, showing continued conviction on the 81% favorite.
- The market saw a 6,474x spike versus its historical trading activity, reinforcing that this is an unusually active setup.
$1,273 on Joel Schwaerzler | Wallet win rate: 96%
Whale scaling into Schwaerzler
A profitable high-volume bettor is adding $121,535 to an already $400,762-long position amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the wallet lacks a strong win-rate edge.
- This bettor is adding $121,535 to an existing $400,762 position on Schwaerzler.
- The trades drove nearly all recent market activity, alongside a 6,474x historical volume spike.
- The wallet is up $2.08M lifetime, though its 48% win rate makes this weaker than a proven sharp-bettor signal.
$121,535 on Joel Schwaerzler | Wallet win rate: 48%
Perfect-record bettor adds to Schwaerzler
A proven 100% win-rate bettor with substantial edge is adding to an existing Joel Schwaerzler position at 39¢ despite the market favoring Ivashka.
- This bettor has won all 32 resolved positions, with a 42-point edge over average implied odds.
- They are adding $2,000 to an existing $5,128 Schwaerzler position at 39¢, while the market currently prices him at just 38%.
- The wallet has traded across 30 events and 34 markets with a perfect recorded win rate.
$3,795 on Joel Schwaerzler | Wallet win rate: 97%
Sharp bettor rotates into Ivashka
A highly profitable bettor sold a large Schwaerzler position after a sharp repricing, but the trade appears partly to be profit-taking while holding Ivashka.
- This bettor wins 94% of trades and is up $18,678 across 32 resolved positions.
- The $1,517 sale followed Schwaerzler’s move from roughly 47% to 74%, while the wallet already holds Ivashka at 22¢.
- The position shift favors Ivashka near 26¢, though the Schwaerzler sale may partly reflect profit-taking rather than a fresh contrarian bet.
$1,517 on Ilya Ivashka | Wallet win rate: 92%
Perfect-record bettor adds to Schwaerzler
A proven 100% win-rate bettor with substantial edge is adding to an existing Joel Schwaerzler position at 39¢ despite the market favoring Ivashka.
- This bettor has won all 32 resolved positions, with a 42-point edge over average implied odds.
- They are adding $2,000 to an existing $5,128 Schwaerzler position at 39¢, while the market currently prices him at just 38%.
- The wallet has traded across 30 events and 34 markets with a perfect recorded win rate.
$2,000 on Joel Schwaerzler | Wallet win rate: 97%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 74714227, $302,937 (63% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 74714227, $300,279 (58% win rate)
- 0x18bb...e5cd — Outcome 74714227, $20,705 (67% win rate)
- 0x6982...a165 — Outcome 74714227, $20,240 (99% win rate)
- 0xf9d6...730a — Outcome 74714227, $9,995 (85% win rate)
- 0xbc72...c9d0 — Outcome 74714227, $8,861 (97% win rate)
- 0x54ba...04e4 — Outcome 74714227, $6,077 (79% win rate)
- 0xd928...705f — Outcome 74714227, $4,759 (78% win rate)
- 0x9d94...017d — Outcome 74714227, $2,500
- 0x36b4...d723 — Outcome 74714227, $2,100
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