Part of: Bank of Japan Decision in April?

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,743.

Categories: Japan, World, Global Rates, Economic Policy, Economy, interest rates

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor fading spike

A proven 81% win-rate bettor sold Yes at 88¢ into a violent repricing, which translates to buying No at 12¢ after a 50-point move in a major macro market.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $46k overall
  • They sold Yes at 88¢ after the market jumped about 50 points in a day, equivalent to buying No at 12¢
  • The move came in a major Bank of Japan market with $20.7k of 24h volume, so fading this spike is worth watching

$2,743 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 10548625, $85,756
  2. 0x6974...6256 Outcome 10548625, $53,959
  3. 0xbab6...50a2 Outcome 10548625, $9,481 (69% win rate)
  4. 0xf58c...d588 Outcome 10548625, $3,316
  5. 0x9f9e...4c57 Outcome 10548625, $1,611 (80% win rate)
  6. 0x6a17...c14d Outcome 32006431, $1,120
  7. 0xfdc3...2a11 Outcome 10548625, $1,000
  8. 0x792f...a740 Outcome 10548625, $983
  9. 0x5576...622f Outcome 10548625, $773
  10. 0x0a6d...1d0a Outcome 10548625, $478

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

ResolvedBank of Japan Decision in April?$2,743 tracked1 signalJapanWorldGlobal RatesEconomic PolicyEconomyinterest rates

The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for April is scheduled to be released on April 28, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's April 2026 meeting. If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Notable Trades

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

43d ago

$2,743 on No at 12¢

Related Theses