Part of: Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $22,658.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

92% win-rate bettor fade

A highly successful serial cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate sold Falcons at 88¢, which translates to a copyable buy on Team Spirit around 12¢ in this binary market.

  • This bettor wins 92% of 1,344 resolved markets and has traded nearly $987k across 258 events
  • They sold Team Falcons at 88¢, which is equivalent to buying Team Spirit at 12¢ in this binary market
  • The trade beat the current market by 8 points, with Falcons now down to 80%

$1,760 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 91%

87% win-rate esports bettor

A highly profitable cross-market sports bettor with an 87% win rate bought Team Falcons at 64¢ during an unusual surge in market activity, making this a credible sharp-money signal.

  • This bettor wins 87% of their resolved trades and is up about $863k lifetime
  • They have traded 101 markets across 40 events, which points to a repeatable betting edge rather than a one-off punt
  • They bought Team Falcons at 64¢ while this market was seeing a 327x volume spike, suggesting sharp money was moving in

$1,978 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 97%

Sharp trio backing Falcons

Three wallets piled $14k into Team Falcons in a short window, including two bettors with 87% win rates, during a 70x pre-match volume spike.

  • Two of the three wallets win 87% of their bets, and one is up $862,686 lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought $14k of Team Falcons within 16 minutes, showing coordinated conviction.
  • They entered at 63¢ while the market was seeing a 70x surge in activity before the match.

$14,035 on Team Falcons

87% win-rate esports bettor

A small but notable esports buy from a wallet with an unusually strong early record: 87% wins across 15 resolved bets with strong edge over implied odds.

  • This bettor wins 87% of their resolved trades and is up about $12.5k on $29.0k invested
  • They bought Team Falcons at 63¢ even though their past wins came at average odds near 41¢, suggesting they still see value here
  • This is a fresh buy from a proven wallet in a reasonably liquid match market, so the signal is the bettor’s track record rather than market impact

$1,181 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 89%

78% win-rate esports bettor

A proven profitable sports-style bettor with a 78% win rate and broad cross-market history just put a sizeable $3.7k buy into Team Falcons at 64¢.

  • This bettor wins 78% of their trades and is up $88k across 183 resolved bets
  • They have bet 25 events and 28 related markets, which points to a repeatable process rather than a one-off punt
  • They bought Team Falcons at 64¢ with $3.7k, a meaningful position in a market with only $6.4k of 24h volume

$3,704 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 53%

Top Holders

  1. 0xec92...6b59 Outcome 81640448, $48,079 (84% win rate)
  2. 0x3833...33d1 Outcome 81640448, $21,061 (98% win rate)
  3. 0x93bc...8ca3 Outcome 81640448, $10,235 (79% win rate)
  4. 0x0dcf...c556 Outcome 81640448, $8,054 (94% win rate)
  5. 0x4574...273d Outcome 81640448, $5,976 (92% win rate)
  6. 0x5d34...7c8c Outcome 81640448, $3,000 (83% win rate)
  7. 0x60c3...5947 Outcome 81640448, $2,731 (100% win rate)
  8. 0xbfee...ed1f Outcome 81640448, $1,570
  9. 0xaa90...6b3a Outcome 81640448, $1,458
  10. 0xc5df...be7c Outcome 81640448, $1,219 (58% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

ResolvedDota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs$22,658 tracked5 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket round 1 match between Team Falcons and Team Spirit in the PGL Wallachia Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 24 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Team Spirit. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win the match against Team Falcons. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

39d ago

$1,760 on Team Spirit at 12¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

39d ago

$1,978 on Team Falcons at 64¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

39d ago

$14,035 on Team Falcons at 63¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

39d ago

$1,181 on Team Falcons at 63¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

40d ago

$3,704 on Team Falcons at 64¢

Related Theses