Part of: Brazil vs. Japan - More Markets

Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $82,171.

Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

Elite bettors aligned on Brazil

A high-scoring one-sided Brazil cluster includes multiple elite profitable wallets with 85–94% historical win rates and large lifetime gains.

  • Three proven bettors are buying Brazil, including one with a 94% record and $1.76M lifetime profit.
  • Five wallets put $17.2K on the same side, mostly equivalent to buying Brazil at 28¢.
  • Several of these wallets are serial cross-market sports traders with strong records across hundreds of past markets.

$27,745 on Brazil

New profitable repeat bettor

A new repeat bettor with early profits is making another $3k Brazil spread bet, though the track record is still very small.

  • This new wallet is already up $1.5K and has won its first 2 resolved bets.
  • It has now triggered 3 large-bet alerts, with $6.9K total flagged across positions.
  • The bettor is buying Brazil at 30¢, implying a roughly 3.3x payout if Brazil win by 2+ goals.

$3,084 on Brazil | Wallet win rate: 100%

76% winner flips to Japan

Proven high-volume sharp with 76% win rate and $1.8M lifetime profit is buying Japan after cross-market activity across the same event.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.8M lifetime.
  • They have been active across 7 markets in this event, with $167K in related positioning.
  • Buying Japan at 70¢ suggests confidence Brazil will not win by 2+ goals.

$1,750 on Japan | Wallet win rate: 76%

76% winner joins cluster

A highly profitable 76% lifetime bettor joined a $28k three-wallet move buying Japan at 70¢, with strong serial cross-market history despite some mixed wallet quality.

  • A bettor who wins 76% of resolved trades is up $1.8M lifetime and added to Japan at 70¢.
  • Three wallets bought the same side for about $28k, showing coordinated conviction before kickoff.
  • The sharp wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 250 events, suggesting this is part of a broader event thesis.

$27,964 on Japan

New wallet in Brazil cluster

A brand-new repeat bettor joined a 3-wallet one-sided cluster buying Brazil -1.5, creating a strong coordinated-flow signal despite the market being liquid.

  • Three wallets bought the same side, putting $13.5k on Brazil to win by 2+ goals.
  • This wallet is only 1.5 days old but has already been flagged 3 times for larger bets.
  • Entry at 31¢ implies a roughly 3.2x payout if Brazil covers the spread.

$1,520 on Brazil | Wallet win rate: 100%

Serial sports bettor buying Brazil

Serial cross-market sports bettor with a 77% resolved win rate placed a $10k Brazil -1.5 bet at 31¢, though lifetime P&L is slightly negative.

  • This bettor has won 77% of 30 resolved trades, beating average market odds by 22 points.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 28 events with over $600k total deployed.
  • A $10k entry at 31¢ suggests they see Brazil -1.5 as meaningfully underpriced.

$10,000 on Brazil | Wallet win rate: 82%

Serial bettor with 76% wins

Sharp serial cross-market trader with a 76% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought $8.5k of Brazil -1.5 at 30¢.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $13.7k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 30 events and 44 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
  • The $8.5k buy at 30¢ is a clear underdog-spread position on Brazil winning by 2+ goals.

$8,508 on Brazil | Wallet win rate: 76%

Sharp sports bettor on Brazil

Sharp sports bettor with a 77% historical win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying Brazil -1.5 at 30¢.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $22.6k lifetime.
  • Their historical edge is strong: 58 wins on 75 resolved trades at roughly 50¢ average odds.
  • Entry at 30¢ implies a high-upside Brazil cover bet despite a liquid market.

$1,601 on Brazil | Wallet win rate: 77%

Top Holders

  1. 0xdb85...152f Outcome 12268637, $45,897 (78% win rate)
  2. 0x35e2...9dcb Outcome 12268637, $32,258 (82% win rate)
  3. 0xb10b...0b04 Outcome 12268637, $15,554 (85% win rate)
  4. 0x198f...c419 Outcome 12268637, $14,777 (48% win rate)
  5. 0x8a3c...4474 Outcome 12268637, $10,278 (100% win rate)
  6. 0x839e...0d3c Outcome 12268637, $10,000 (97% win rate)
  7. 0xf070...ac55 Outcome 12268637, $9,537 (94% win rate)
  8. 0xf055...02b5 Outcome 12268637, $9,408 (46% win rate)
  9. 0x2061...8ec9 Outcome 12268637, $7,777 (26% win rate)
  10. 0xf93f...f94b Outcome 12268637, $7,407 (72% win rate)

Related Theses

Goals, not Germany by two

Covers 5 related markets

Mexico and Ecuador draw

Covers 3 related markets

Iran keeps Belgium low-scoring

Covers 7 related markets

Japan covers in three-goal game

Covers 6 related markets

Argentina wins low scoring match

Covers 5 related markets

Türkiye vs US match canceled

Covers 3 related markets

Bosnia wins low-scoring match

Covers 3 related markets

Morocco wins low scoring

Covers 7 related markets

Türkiye wins two nil

Covers 5 related markets

Three goals, Sweden covers

Covers 6 related markets

Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

ResolvedBrazil vs. Japan - More Markets$82,171 tracked8 signalsSportsFIFA World CupGamesSoccer

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 29 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Brazil" if Brazil win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Japan". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Japan
102¢
85¢
67¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

2d ago

$27,745 on Brazil at 28¢

Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

2d ago

$3,084 on Brazil at 30¢

Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

2d ago

$1,750 on Japan at 70¢

Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

2d ago

$27,964 on Japan at 70¢

Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

2d ago

$1,520 on Brazil at 31¢

Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

2d ago

$10,000 on Brazil at 31¢

Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

3d ago

$8,508 on Brazil at 30¢

Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

3d ago

$1,601 on Brazil at 30¢

Related Theses

Goals, not Germany by two
Wallet_0x160bf trades 5 related markets
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5
Mexico and Ecuador draw
Wallet_0x160bf trades 3 related markets
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in…Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30…Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Iran keeps Belgium low-scoring
Wallet_0x160bf trades 7 related markets
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Team…Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5
Japan covers in three-goal game
Wallet_0x160bf trades 6 related markets
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5
Argentina wins low scoring match
Wallet_0x160bf trades 5 related markets
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5
Türkiye vs US match canceled
Wallet_0x160bf trades 3 related markets
Will Türkiye vs. United States…Will United States win on 2026…Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25…
Bosnia wins low-scoring match
Wallet_0xf298d trades 3 related markets
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qat…Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina…Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qat…
Morocco wins low scoring
Wallet_0x160bf trades 7 related markets
Spread: Morocco (-3.5)Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 1.5Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5
Türkiye wins two nil
Wallet_0x160bf trades 5 related markets
Türkiye vs. United States: 1st…Spread: United States (-2.5)Spread: United States (-1.5)
Three goals, Sweden covers
Wallet_0x160bf trades 6 related markets
France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5France vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5