Part of: Oilers vs. Sharks
Oilers vs. Sharks
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $106,707.
Categories: Sports, NHL, Games, Hockey
Notable Trades
Proven bettor caught the move
A proven, active cross-market sports trader bought Oilers before a sharp move higher, suggesting momentum-following conviction rather than routine whale flow.
- This wallet has 73 resolved bets, wins 62% of them, and is up about $19k overall.
- They bought $8.8k of Oilers at 74¢, and the market moved up to 83¢ soon after.
- The price was already breaking higher fast, so this looks like a bettor pressing a strong view with size.
$8,846 on Oilers | Wallet win rate: 58%
79% winner buys dip
A profitable cross-market bettor with a 79% win rate flipped into Sharks after closing an Oilers position, making a fresh contrarian bet against a sharp one-day move.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up about $302k overall.
- They trade across 31 events and 32 markets, which points to a repeatable process rather than a one-off bet.
- They closed an Oilers position and then bought Sharks at 35¢ after a fast price drop, showing a fresh contrarian view.
$1,211 on Sharks | Wallet win rate: 79%
79% win-rate contrarian
A profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 79% win rate just put nearly $22k on Sharks at 35¢, making this a credible sharp contrarian bet worth tracking.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up about $301k overall
- They have bet across 30 events and 31 markets, suggesting a repeatable process rather than a one-off punt
- Bought Sharks at 35¢ while the market sits around 34%, a clear underdog position backed by a strong track record
$21,840 on Sharks | Wallet win rate: 79%
97% win-rate sharp
A proven sharp bettor with a 97% win rate and $700k profit is buying Oilers near even odds, making this a strong copy-trade despite the modest ticket size.
- This bettor wins 97% of their trades and is up about $700k across 270 resolved positions
- They trade heavily across markets — 709 markets over 687 events — and still keep that elite hit rate
- Bought Oilers at 50¢ near current price, signaling they likely see the true odds above a coin flip
$1,000 on Oilers | Wallet win rate: 97%
6-wallet Sharks cluster
A 6-wallet cluster put $36k behind Sharks around 51¢, including one elite 98% win-rate trader and a very active new wallet, making the coordinated flow worth following despite the liquid market.
- Six wallets lined up on Sharks for $36k total, with most of the money hitting at 51¢ in a tight window.
- One of the bettors wins 98% of resolved trades and is up about $959k across 251 settled positions.
- A new 3-day-old wallet has already been flagged 16 times with $67k in large bets, suggesting strong early conviction.
$36,393 on Sharks
Sharp 4-wallet Oilers cluster
A 4-wallet cluster piled into Oilers around 49-50¢, led by multiple high-volume bettors with extraordinary 93-97% win rates and seven-figure profits, making this coordinated sports buy worth following despite the market being liquid.
- Two proven bettors in this cluster win 93-97% of their trades and are up about $1.39M combined.
- Four wallets bought Oilers within minutes of each other for nearly $9k total, showing coordinated conviction.
- They entered at 49-50¢ while Oilers had drifted lower, suggesting they see the game as better than a coin flip.
$8,953 on Oilers
Repeat new-wallet whale
A very new wallet has repeatedly put meaningful size into Polymarket and just made another $4.1k Sharks buy amid a sharp pre-game volume pickup, suggesting conviction even though the track record is still unproven.
- This wallet is less than 3 days old and has already triggered 15 large-bet alerts totaling about $64.9k
- They just bought Sharks for $4.1k at 51¢, a near coin-flip price that leaves room if they have a real hockey edge
- Market volume is running about 19.5x normal, so this bet is landing during a real pre-game pickup in activity
$4,082 on Sharks | Wallet win rate: 76%
Profitable sports grinder
A highly profitable high-volume sports trader with nearly 3,000 resolved bets bought Sharks at 49¢, making this a modest but still followable sharp-money signal despite only one detection trigger.
- This bettor has won 67% of 2,951 resolved trades and is up $10.9M lifetime
- They put nearly $12.9k on Sharks at 49¢, a meaningful bet even in a liquid market
- They trade heavily across 240 events and 423 markets, suggesting a repeatable process rather than a one-off punt
$12,867 on Sharks | Wallet win rate: 67%
84% win-rate sharp bettor
A proven sharp sports trader with an 84% win rate and nearly $467k profit just placed an $11.5k bet on Sharks at 47¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the liquid market.
- This bettor wins 84% of their trades and is up $466.6k across 696 resolved positions
- They trade heavily across 215 markets and 185 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
- They bought Sharks at 47¢ while the market now prices Sharks around 46%, a clear live entry on the same side
$11,515 on Sharks | Wallet win rate: 84%
Top Holders
- 0x37c1...c53a — Outcome 95954076, $67,587 (67% win rate)
- 0x1341...0853 — Outcome 95954076, $31,468 (87% win rate)
- 0x3625...1187 — Outcome 95954076, $9,804 (98% win rate)
- 0x6551...e043 — Outcome 95954076, $8,005 (100% win rate)
- 0x9671...3a70 — Outcome 95954076, $7,000
- 0xffd0...93fc — Outcome 95954076, $5,000 (55% win rate)
- 0x82b7...cc32 — Outcome 95954076, $4,590
- 0x2586...c893 — Outcome 95954076, $4,500 (84% win rate)
- 0x0052...4b24 — Outcome 95954076, $3,192
- 0xf45d...8db7 — Outcome 95954076, $1,919
Related Theses
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