Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

36 smart money signals detected, totaling $304,630.

Categories: Sports, Golf, PGA TOUR, The Masters, invitational, augusta

Notable Trades

Serial sports trader caught surge

A high-volume serial cross-market sports trader bought Rory Yes at 82¢ just before a sharp move to 96%, making this a notable momentum-following bet despite only moderate standalone edge.

  • This wallet has made 1,265 resolved bets with a 68% win rate across 562 events
  • They bought at 82¢ and the market quickly moved to 96%, a 14-point gain after entry
  • The market saw a 17.5x volume spike, suggesting broader money piled in behind the same move

$1,829 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 68%

89% winner buying Rory

A proven sharp bettor with an 89% win rate and $42.5M profit sold No in a surging Rory Masters market, equivalent to buying Yes around 67¢.

  • This bettor wins 89% of 785 resolved trades and is up $42.5M lifetime
  • They effectively bought Rory Yes at 67¢ by selling No at 33¢
  • The market is already ripping higher, up 29 points in 1 day on $2.4M of 24h volume

$4,708 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%

15-wallet Rory momentum cluster

A 15-wallet coordinated push is piling into Rory Yes during a major volume and price breakout, making this a notable momentum trade despite this wallet’s weak standalone edge.

  • 15 wallets bought the same side for $261.6k total, with 6 of them linked to the same funder
  • The market is seeing a 23.5x volume spike and Rory’s price is up 16.3 points, showing strong momentum behind the move
  • This wallet’s own record is ordinary at 56% wins and negative lifetime P&L, so the signal comes from the cluster rather than the individual bettor

$4,872 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 56%

85% winner joins 15-wallet surge

A highly profitable cross-market bettor with an 85% win rate just opened a fresh $27k Yes position alongside a 15-wallet, partly linked cluster during a sharp volume and price surge.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved markets and is up about $1.04M lifetime.
  • 15 wallets put in about $262k on the same side, with 6 of them linked to the same funder.
  • The market is seeing heavy momentum, with volume running 23.5x normal and the price up 16 points while this wallet bought at 71¢.

$27,142 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

15-wallet Rory buying wave

A profitable bettor with a solid edge re-entered Rory YES as part of a 15-wallet one-sided linked cluster during a major volume and price surge.

  • 15 wallets piled into Rory YES for $261.6k, and 6 of them trace back to the same funder.
  • This wallet wins 78% of resolved bets and has made $14.2k profit, suggesting the flow is worth tracking.
  • The market is already moving hard, with 24h volume at $2.35M and Rory up 30.5 points in a day.

$1,784 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

89% winner joins NO cluster

A proven sharp bettor with an 89% win rate bought Rory 'No' alongside three other wallets during a one-sided surge, and the market moved hard in that direction after entry.

  • This bettor wins 89% of 785 resolved trades and is up $42.5M lifetime.
  • Four wallets bought the same side for $49k total, pointing to strong shared conviction.
  • They bought No at 40¢ and the market is now 30¢ on No, so that entry already looks favorable.

$15,447 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

89% win-rate bettor

A highly profitable sharp wallet with an 89% win rate joined a 6-wallet one-sided move to buy No on Rory at 47¢ as the market was moving quickly.

  • This bettor wins 89% of their trades across 785 resolved positions and is up $42.5M lifetime.
  • Six wallets piled into No for a combined $40.9k, pointing to a shared view against Rory at current odds.
  • They bought No at 47¢ while that side was jumping fast, implying they saw clear value before the move fully repriced.

$11,103 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

Profitable cross-market golf bettor

A highly profitable high-volume trader with over 1,000 resolved bets just made a fresh $4.6k buy on Rory 'No' after broad cross-market activity, which is notable despite only moderate signal strength.

  • This bettor has won 680 of 1,044 resolved trades and is up $1.08M lifetime
  • They just put $4.6k into Rory 'No' at 84¢, a clear downside bet on a star player
  • The market is liquid, so this looks more like a sharp opinion than a random whale splash

$4,609 on No | Wallet win rate: 65%

89% win-rate sharp buyer

A proven sharp wallet with an exceptional 89% win rate bought Rory at 21¢ after a sharp selloff, suggesting value-buying by a bettor with a strong long-term edge.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $42.5M lifetime across 785 positions
  • They bought at 21¢ right after a fast 11.5-point drop, suggesting they saw the selloff as overdone
  • Entry was below the current 23¢ market price, giving a clear copy level near the sharp wallet’s fill

$1,113 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%

99% win-rate golf sharp

A highly profitable sharp bettor with a 99% win rate bought No after a fast move in a liquid Masters market, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 99% of resolved trades and is up about $140k on $320k invested
  • They trade heavily across 200 markets and 178 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • They bought No at 65¢ after a quick 10-point move, still near the current 64-65¢ market

$1,532 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

  1. 0xdb27...c56e Outcome 11072152, $1,080,807 (90% win rate)
  2. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 11072152, $831,166
  3. 0x5c3a...020b Outcome 11072152, $127,728 (56% win rate)
  4. 0x15a6...bf5d Outcome 11072152, $107,620 (71% win rate)
  5. 0xfa21...1438 Outcome 11072152, $105,707 (85% win rate)
  6. 0x613b...823a Outcome 11072152, $57,992 (60% win rate)
  7. 0x781c...db68 Outcome 11072152, $45,260
  8. 0x661d...4dc6 Outcome 11072152, $42,902
  9. 0xad2b...f091 Outcome 11072152, $39,144 (100% win rate)
  10. 0x5375...aeea Outcome 47650382, $37,699 (37% win rate)

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Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Resolved$304,630 tracked36 signalsSportsGolfPGA TOURThe Mastersinvitationalaugusta

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

1d ago

$1,829 on Yes at 82¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

1d ago

$4,708 on Yes at 67¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

1d ago

$4,872 on Yes at 73¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

1d ago

$27,142 on Yes at 71¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

1d ago

$1,784 on Yes at 72¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

1d ago

$15,447 on No at 40¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

1d ago

$11,103 on No at 47¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

1d ago

$4,609 on No at 84¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

1d ago

$1,113 on Yes at 21¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

1d ago

$1,532 on No at 65¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

1d ago

$3,000 on Yes at 36¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

1d ago

$5,000 on Yes at 36¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

2d ago

$2,760 on Yes at 36¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

2d ago

$5,004 on Yes at 36¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

2d ago

$3,850 on No at 65¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

2d ago

$1,233 on No at 64¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

2d ago

$1,590 on No at 60¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

1d ago

$31,229 on No at 19¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

1d ago

$24,412 on No at 7¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

1d ago

$5,245 on Yes at 23¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

2d ago

$3,660 on Yes at 55¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

2d ago

$1,860 on No at 31¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

2d ago

$2,542 on Yes at 70¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

2d ago

$1,200 on No at 30¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

3d ago

$2,144 on No at 32¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

3d ago

$1,282 on No at 32¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

3d ago

$2,000 on No at 32¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

3d ago

$1,417 on Yes at 71¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

3d ago

$3,613 on Yes at 70¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

3d ago

$4,996 on Yes at 71¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

3d ago

$4,725 on No at 31¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

3d ago

$23,714 on Yes at 70¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

3d ago

$5,270 on No at 31¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

1d ago

$79,244 on Yes at 63¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

3d ago

$2,500 on Yes at 63¢

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

5d ago

$7,000 on Yes at 7¢

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