Part of: France vs. England - More Markets

France vs. England: O/U 5.5

This prediction market covers whether France and England will combine for 6 or more goals in their FIFA World Cup match on July 18 at 5:00 PM ET. “Over” wins if the total is 6+ goals, while “Under” wins if the match finishes with 5 or fewer goals; the market is scheduled to resolve after the game on July 18, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $26,800 in smart money and 1 smart money signal on this market.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $30,594.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Sharp serial bettor sizing up

A high-volume serial sports bettor with a strong long-term record is adding a large Under position at 88¢ on a relatively quiet total-goals market.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades across 2,070 bets and is up $221k lifetime.
  • They bought $26.8k of Under at 88¢, a large favorite bet that dwarfed recent market activity.
  • This is an add-on to an existing Under position, signaling continued conviction rather than a one-off trade.

$26,800 on Under | Wallet win rate: 76%

New profitable favorite bettor

A young repeat large bettor with early profits is adding to an Under position in a relatively quiet sports market, though the edge is tempered by a short record mostly on heavy favorites.

  • This 8-day-old wallet has already made 9 positions and is up $1,398 so far.
  • The bettor is adding to an Under position with $3,794 at 89¢, a large trade relative to this market’s $5,503 daily volume.
  • Their 7-0 record is promising, but most wins came on heavy favorites around 92¢.

$3,794 on Under | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xd849...6ac7 Under, $100,360 (75% win rate)
  2. 0x204f...5e14 Over, $86,684 (54% win rate)
  3. 0x2117...5c26 Under, $45,392 (43% win rate)
  4. 0x00c8...9ccd Under, $30,570 (76% win rate)
  5. 0xf142...57e7 Over, $16,358
  6. 0xa80e...6aa1 Over, $15,000 (53% win rate)
  7. 0xb272...5030 Over, $14,736 (41% win rate)
  8. 0x7ea5...de7b Over, $9,031 (61% win rate)
  9. 0xd6cf...d3f0 Under, $8,960 (66% win rate)
  10. 0x4ed4...e181 Over, $8,654 (47% win rate)

Related Theses

Both score, under four goals

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Morocco leads at halftime

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Netherlands Sweden stay under

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Argentina Austria go over

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Shnaider beats Samsonova at Wimbledon

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Brazil wins on June 24

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France finishes third in World Cup

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United States beats Senegal

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England will win on July 18

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Bitcoin stays below $64K

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France vs. England: O/U 5.5

ResolvedFrance vs. England - More Markets$30,594 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and England, scheduled for July 18 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if France and England combine to score 6 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 6, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

England
ENG
6
World Cup
Full Time
France
FRA
4
FRA 200/1ENG 1/12
Venue
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida
Attendance
64,478
Price History — “Under
90¢
88¢
85¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

France vs. England: O/U 5.5

1d ago

$26,800 on Under at 88¢

France vs. England: O/U 5.5

2d ago

$3,794 on Under at 89¢

Related Theses