Part of: Panama vs. Croatia

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

50 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,587,191.

Categories: Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp wallet with 20-wallet flow

High-conviction Croatia Yes buy backed by a 90% historical winner, 20-wallet same-side flow, and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 27 of 30 resolved positions, a strong track record despite modest lifetime losses.
  • 20 wallets bought the same side for $227K, showing broad one-way conviction on Croatia.
  • Market volume spiked 23.7x before the game, and this wallet entered at 60¢ while the market is now 56¢.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

Sharp 84% winner joins No cluster

A proven 84% winner sold Croatia Yes, aligning with a 12-wallet $107k one-sided move into No amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved bets and is up $83k lifetime across $3.2M traded.
  • 12 wallets are all betting the same way, totaling $107k on No.
  • They effectively entered No at 36¢, while the market is now around 42¢.

$17,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%

79% sharp sports trader

Sharp 79% lifetime wallet bought Croatia Yes at 84¢ ahead of a major volume spike and price move to 92¢.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $38,260 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 28 events with the same 79% win rate.
  • Bought Croatia at 84¢ before odds moved to 92¢ amid a 41x volume spike.

$1,680 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

19-wallet No surge

Strong one-sided No flow from 19 wallets plus a major pre-event volume spike makes this worth surfacing despite this wallet lacking a proven track record.

  • 19 wallets are all betting the same way, with $73K flowing into No.
  • The market has already moved 14 points toward No over the past day, matching the one-sided buying.
  • This trade sells Yes at 52¢, which is equivalent to buying No at 48¢.

$3,501 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

New wallet backs favorite

Brand-new wallet put $15.2k on Croatia Yes amid a 50x pre-event volume spike, though it lacks a proven track record.

  • A wallet less than 3 hours old put $15.2k on Croatia at 66¢.
  • The market saw a 50x volume spike, suggesting broader pre-game money is arriving.
  • Croatia is up 3 points with a tight 65/66 book, giving the move some market confirmation.

$16,150 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%

Elite bettor exits No

Elite 96% winner sold out of No at a 52¢ equivalent Yes price before Croatia surged to 84%, backed by huge volume and price momentum.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $1.23M lifetime.
  • They sold No at 48¢, equivalent to buying Croatia Yes at 52¢ before it jumped to 84¢.
  • Volume spiked 122x and the No price collapsed 32 points, confirming strong market momentum.

$6,167 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%

Perfect-record sports whale

Elite 23-for-23 sports wallet made a $91k Croatia Yes buy alongside heavy one-sided flow and a major volume spike, despite the market trading slightly below entry now.

  • This bettor has won 23 of 23 resolved positions and is up about $894k lifetime.
  • They put $91k on Yes at 60¢, and 20 wallets have collectively bought the same side for $227k.
  • This wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 41 events with a perfect recorded track record.

$44,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp bettor with 21-wallet flow

Sharp profitable wallet bought Croatia Yes at 51¢ alongside a large 21-wallet one-sided move that pushed the market sharply higher.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $94.8K lifetime.
  • 21 wallets bought the same side for $412.7K, with linked funding behind part of the flow.
  • The entry was 51¢ before the market jumped to 82%, backed by a 90x volume spike.

$1,300 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%

Sharp bettor joins Yes surge

Sharp 84% winner bought Croatia Yes before a major one-sided surge involving 21 wallets and a 32-point price move.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $20.5K lifetime.
  • 21 wallets bought the same side for $412.7K, with some linked funding.
  • They entered at 51¢ before the market moved to 82¢ on a 90x volume spike.

$1,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%

Perfect-record sports whale

Elite 23-for-23 sports wallet made a $91k Croatia Yes buy alongside heavy one-sided flow and a major volume spike, despite the market trading slightly below entry now.

  • This bettor has won 23 of 23 resolved positions and is up about $894k lifetime.
  • They put $91k on Yes at 60¢, and 20 wallets have collectively bought the same side for $227k.
  • This wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 41 events with a perfect recorded track record.

$46,400 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 25317780, $444,834
  2. 0x9ee8...89de Outcome 25317780, $361,230 (73% win rate)
  3. 0xb45a...192c Outcome 25317780, $299,999 (47% win rate)
  4. 0xc660...bd28 Outcome 25317780, $174,658 (72% win rate)
  5. 0x8b5a...00f2 Outcome 25317780, $149,998 (51% win rate)
  6. 0x7a88...41cc Outcome 25317780, $60,006 (63% win rate)
  7. 0xc3c3...eec8 Outcome 25317780, $60,000 (99% win rate)
  8. 0x613b...823a Outcome 25317780, $54,603 (58% win rate)
  9. 0x0a63...fc03 Outcome 25317780, $48,217 (81% win rate)
  10. 0x23d8...0288 Outcome 25317780, $47,000 (86% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Switzerland-Bosnia match happens

Covers 3 related markets

Norway wins 2-1

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

ResolvedPanama vs. Croatia$1,587,191 tracked50 signalsSoccerFIFA World CupGamesSports

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 23, 2026 If Croatia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “Yes
85¢
73¢
61¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

7d ago

$2,000 on Yes at 60¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

7d ago

$17,000 on No at 36¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

7d ago

$1,680 on Yes at 84¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

7d ago

$3,501 on No at 48¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$16,150 on Yes at 66¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$6,167 on Yes at 52¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$44,000 on Yes at 60¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$1,300 on Yes at 51¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$1,200 on Yes at 51¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$46,400 on Yes at 60¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$1,591 on No at 50¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$2,507 on No at 50¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$1,552 on No at 47¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$100,000 on Yes at 51¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$1,039 on Yes at 51¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$2,293 on Yes at 54¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$3,603 on No at 48¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$3,600 on Yes at 66¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$1,115 on No at 43¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$3,100 on Yes at 54¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

7d ago

$57,503 on No at 13¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$91,169 on Yes at 60¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$3,635 on Yes at 60¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$12,823 on No at 36¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$1,030 on No at 34¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$3,600 on No at 36¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$1,845 on Yes at 69¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$2,200 on Yes at 69¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$3,960 on Yes at 66¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$3,397 on No at 32¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$1,336 on No at 31¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$1,206 on No at 33¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$1,909 on Yes at 68¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$3,181 on Yes at 68¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$80,000 on Yes at 68¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$5,050 on No at 33¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$1,500 on Yes at 66¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$6,785 on No at 34¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$2,010 on Yes at 67¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$727,486 on No at 51¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$1,036 on Yes at 67¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$1,382 on Yes at 67¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$1,188 on No at 34¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$99,000 on Yes at 66¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$1,320 on Yes at 66¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$15,180 on Yes at 66¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$1,500 on Yes at 66¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

8d ago

$172,696 on Yes at 69¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

9d ago

$7,467 on Yes at 64¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

9d ago

$15,000 on Yes at 64¢

Related Theses