Part of: Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians

Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $79,245.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Linked Guardians cluster with sharp bettor

Five linked wallets, including a highly profitable 94% winner, bought Cleveland at a weighted average near 54% despite the market moving to 34%, making this a notable but contested contrarian position.

  • Five wallets tied to two funders bought Cleveland for $15,397, including one bettor with a 94% win rate across 2,120 resolved bets.
  • The group entered near 54% on average, but Cleveland has since fallen to about 34%, creating a sharp contrarian setup rather than confirmed momentum.
  • A larger seven-wallet group bought Kansas City for $56,748, so the signal is strongly contested and should be sized cautiously.

$15,397 on Cleveland Guardians

Seven-wallet Royals buying cluster

Seven wallets bought Kansas City at least 11 points below current odds amid a 158.7x volume spike and a 22-point daily price rise.

  • Seven wallets bought Kansas City for a combined $56,748, showing strong one-sided conviction.
  • The market surged 22 percentage points in a day while volume reached 158.7 times its historical average.
  • This trade entered at 55¢, versus current odds near 66¢; the wallet is highly profitable overall but has a roughly market-rate 54% win rate.

$5,398 on Kansas City Royals | Wallet win rate: 55%

Seven-wallet Royals buying surge

Seven wallets bought Kansas City in a major one-sided flow during a 158.7x volume spike, while this highly experienced bettor entered at a sharp 42% price that has since risen to 66%.

  • Seven wallets bought the Royals for a combined $56,748, signaling strong coordinated conviction.
  • The market saw a 158.7x historical volume spike and Royals odds rose 22 percentage points to 66%.
  • This bettor has 7,285 resolved trades and is up $5.64 million, though the current price is well above the 42¢ entry.

$2,100 on Kansas City Royals | Wallet win rate: 66%

Sharp bettor leads Royals buying cluster

A highly profitable bettor added to a Royals position at 46¢ amid a seven-wallet coordinated move and a massive volume spike.

  • This bettor has won all 83 resolved trades and is up $140,606, with a meaningful edge over their 57¢ average winning entry price.
  • Seven wallets bought the Royals for $56,748 combined, while market volume surged to 158.7 times its historical average.
  • The bettor bought at 46¢, but the market has already risen to 66¢, so chasing above 56¢ offers less attractive value.

$5,000 on Kansas City Royals | Wallet win rate: 100%

Six-wallet Royals conviction cluster

Six wallets deployed $51,350 on Kansas City, including several highly profitable bettors, during an extreme pre-event volume spike despite the price later falling to 40%.

  • Six wallets bought Kansas City for a combined $51,350, creating a strong one-sided signal during a 27,318x historical volume spike.
  • Several participants have exceptional records, including 79% wins over 192 bets and 90% over 111 bets, with substantial profits.
  • Five wallets were adding to existing Kansas City positions, suggesting increased conviction rather than isolated new exposure.

$51,350 on Kansas City Royals

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 77985554, $106,933 (65% win rate)
  2. 0x16bb...8492 Outcome 77985554, $53,405 (94% win rate)
  3. 0x161a...4103 Outcome 77985554, $4,679 (95% win rate)
  4. 0xd48a...6e90 Outcome 77985554, $3,214 (70% win rate)
  5. 0x22da...2866 Outcome 77985554, $2,681 (58% win rate)
  6. 0x32b4...8b21 Outcome 77985554, $2,109 (58% win rate)
  7. 0x240a...814c Outcome 77985554, $1,135 (90% win rate)
  8. 0x6a03...92d3 Outcome 77985554, $1,054 (97% win rate)
  9. 0x519d...37a1 Outcome 77985554, $1,000
  10. 0xc7e5...2d3a Outcome 77985554, $750 (82% win rate)

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Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians

ResolvedKansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians$79,245 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for August 28 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

KC
3
61-75
Final
CLE
0
68-67
KC +120CLE -129O/U 7.5
Venue
Progressive Field, Cleveland
Attendance
31,941
Price History — “Kansas City Royals
96¢
68¢
40¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians

13d ago

$15,397 on Cleveland Guardians at 54¢

Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians

13d ago

$5,398 on Kansas City Royals at 55¢

Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians

13d ago

$2,100 on Kansas City Royals at 42¢

Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians

13d ago

$5,000 on Kansas City Royals at 46¢

Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians

13d ago

$51,350 on Kansas City Royals at 46¢

Related Theses