Part of: World Cup Group A Winner
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $51,469.
Categories: Sports, world cup, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Group Futures, 2026 FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Repeat new wallet fading favorite
A repeat new-wallet bettor is making another meaningful contrarian sports-futures bet, selling Mexico after a recent price rise while showing early profitable results.
- This new wallet has already placed 6 flagged large bets totaling $19.3K and is slightly profitable so far.
- They are fading Mexico at 62¢ after the market moved up 10 points this week.
- Selling Yes at 62¢ is equivalent to buying No at 38¢.
$3,100 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable high-volume cross-market bettor bought Mexico Yes after a meaningful weekly odds move, making the trade worth following despite modest size.
- This bettor has won 69% of nearly 40,000 resolved bets and is up $368,515 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 555 events, suggesting a repeatable betting approach.
- Mexico has already moved up 10 points this week, and they entered Yes at 63¢.
$2,937 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%
Perfect-record soccer bettor
A highly profitable wallet with a perfect 48-for-48 resolved record bought $9k of Mexico Yes at 58¢.
- This bettor has won 48 of 48 resolved positions and is up $210k lifetime.
- They put $9k on Mexico to win the group at 58¢, adding conviction to an already rising market.
- Mexico’s odds are up 5 points this week, so the sharp buy is aligned with recent momentum.
$9,005 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Perfect-record bettor buys Yes
Surface because a highly profitable wallet with a perfect 48/48 resolved record bought $10k of Mexico Yes despite a relatively liquid market.
- This bettor has won 48 of 48 resolved positions and is up $210k lifetime.
- They put $10k on Yes at 58¢, adding conviction in a market with $145k liquidity.
- Mexico has already moved up 5 points this week, and this sharp wallet is buying into the trend.
$10,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Elite $22.7M bettor fades favorite
Surfacing because a highly proven cross-market bettor with 76% wins and +$22.7M lifetime P&L bought Mexico No at 43¢.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $22.7M lifetime.
- They have traded across 249 events with over $10.7M in cross-market volume.
- Buying No at 43¢ fades the market favorite and implies a meaningful disagreement with current odds.
$4,730 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%
3-wallet funded cluster
A linked-wallet cluster with prior repeated flags is backing Mexico Yes, led by a profitable wallet with a 5-for-5 resolved record.
- Three wallets funded by the same source are tied to this position, with this cluster showing up in prior runs.
- The active bettor is 5-for-5 on resolved markets and up $13,933 so far.
- The $6.6k buy is a sizable bet at 57¢ on a market with only $16.1k traded in the last 24 hours.
$6,603 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial soccer bettor
Sharp, highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Mexico Yes at 56¢, making the wallet track record the main signal despite modest trade size.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $389k lifetime.
- They have traded 65 markets across 44 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
- Entry at 56¢ implies they see Mexico as still underpriced to win the group.
$1,179 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%
Million-dollar serial bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 71% win rate and $1.2M lifetime profit bought $8.4k of Mexico Yes at 55¢.
- This bettor wins 71% of resolved trades and is up about $1.2M lifetime.
- They have traded across 538 markets and 400 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market process.
- The $8.4k buy is large for recent activity and enters at 55¢, implying they see Mexico as undervalued.
$8,360 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%
90% winner buying early
Surfaced via sharp-wallet override: a bettor with a 90% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Mexico Yes despite only a weak new-wallet signal.
- This bettor has won 90% of 115 resolved trades and is up $21,080 lifetime.
- They bought Mexico at 53¢, implying they see value even with the market already slightly favoring Mexico.
- The market is liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, so this looks more like a track-record copy signal than a thin-market move.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%
Profitable serial trader
Profitable high-volume serial trader bought Mexico Yes, with the trade representing a large share of recent activity in a quiet long-dated World Cup market.
- This bettor wins 69% of resolved trades and is up $373k lifetime.
- They have traded 454 events with over $3.0M invested, so this is a proven repeat bettor rather than a one-off wallet.
- The $3.6k buy was about 59% of recent market volume, showing conviction in a relatively quiet market.
$3,554 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%
Top Holders
- 0x37e4...c991 — Outcome 22559223, $64,788 (77% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 22559223, $55,527
- 0x1341...0853 — Outcome 22559223, $47,555 (85% win rate)
- 0x250e...e864 — Outcome 22559223, $2,900 (53% win rate)
- 0x478f...f5d9 — Outcome 22559223, $2,712 (67% win rate)
- 0x4c5e...8819 — Outcome 22559223, $1,872 (75% win rate)
- 0x40ce...bf90 — Outcome 22559223, $1,300 (99% win rate)
- 0x8812...6f3f — Outcome 22559223, $1,020
- 0x3879...d8c3 — Outcome 22559223, $1,000
- 0x56c2...6219 — Outcome 22559223, $1,000
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