Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

This Polymarket asks whether the active-month WTI crude oil futures contract will print a 1-minute candle high of $100 or more at any point before the end of April 2026. It resolves Yes if that price is touched on a qualifying 1-minute high, and No if WTI stays below $100 through the market window. Traders use this market to gauge the odds of a major oil price spike during April 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the final trading day during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day), consistent with CME contract specifications. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

18 smart money signals detected, totaling $59,880.

Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Commodities, Oil

Notable Trades

Sharp oil-event trader

A proven high-win-rate trader with nearly $400k in profit is building a broad cross-market thesis across 11 related oil markets, making this small buy notable despite the market's good liquidity.

  • This bettor wins 85% of their trades and is up about $395k lifetime
  • They have bet $61k across 11 related oil markets in the same event, showing a coordinated thesis rather than a one-off punt
  • They bought Yes at 53¢ while this market has already moved up 12 points in a day, suggesting they still see upside

$1,040 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

85% win-rate event specialist

A highly profitable 85% win-rate trader with nearly $395k in realized P&L is making a fresh cross-market bet across the same crude oil event, which is worth following despite the modest size of this individual fill.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up about $395k lifetime.
  • They have traded 11 markets in this same oil event for $61k total, showing a broad thesis rather than a one-off bet.
  • Bought Yes at 58¢ while this market has already moved up 12.5 points in a day, reinforcing the bullish momentum.

$1,426 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

Pro oil-event sharp

A proven profitable bettor with a 79% win rate is making a fresh cross-market oil-event bet after building a large 6-market thesis, which is worth following despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor wins 79% of their trades and is up about $262k over more than 1,000 resolved bets.
  • They have put $23.5k across 6 related oil markets, which suggests a broader event thesis rather than a one-off punt.
  • They bought Yes at 53¢ while this market has been moving higher, up 10 points in the last day.

$1,182 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

85% winner across 10 markets

A proven high-win-rate trader is expressing a broad thesis across 10 related oil markets, and this trade converts to buying Yes around 45¢.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up about $395k lifetime.
  • They have put $53.8k across 10 related oil markets, which points to a clear event-wide view rather than a one-off bet.
  • This trade sold No at 55¢, which is equivalent to buying Yes at 45¢ while the market sits around 43% Yes.

$1,106 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

86% win-rate event specialist

A highly profitable 86% win-rate trader with deep cross-market commodity/event exposure is adding a directional view here by effectively buying Yes at 40¢.

  • This bettor wins 86% of their resolved trades and is up about $403k lifetime.
  • They have traded 10 markets in this same event for nearly $55k total, which suggests a well-developed thesis rather than a one-off bet.
  • This sale of No at 60¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 40¢, close to the current 38-39¢ market.

$1,803 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

86% win-rate oil bettor

A proven sharp bettor with an 86% win rate and $403k profit is expressing a broad cross-market oil thesis, and this trade converts to buying Yes around 40¢.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up about $403k lifetime.
  • They have built a $52.9k position across 10 related oil markets, which points to a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet.
  • This trade is effectively a buy on Yes at 40¢, while the market now sits around 38¢ to 39¢.

$1,807 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

86% win-rate macro bettor

A highly profitable 86% win-rate trader with broad cross-market commodity positioning bought No at 62¢ in this WTI ladder market, suggesting a researched event-wide view rather than a one-off bet.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up about $403k lifetime.
  • They have bet across 10 related markets in this same WTI event, with more than $52k deployed.
  • Buying No at 62¢ implies they think $100 is still overpriced despite recent price strength.

$1,221 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%

86% win-rate event specialist

A highly profitable 86%-win-rate trader with extensive cross-market event positioning bought No at 59¢ in this WTI price-threshold market, making it a credible thesis worth following.

  • This bettor wins 86% of their trades and is up about $400k lifetime.
  • They have traded 61 related markets across 32 events, suggesting a repeatable event-driven approach.
  • They bought No at 59¢, implying they see sub-42% odds that WTI hits $100 this month.

$1,161 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%

Profitable WTI thesis trader

A profitable cross-market commodities trader with a 71% win rate is building a broad WTI thesis across six related markets during a major volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 71% of their trades and is up $124k across 80 resolved markets
  • They have put $168k across 6 related WTI markets, which points to a coordinated event-wide view
  • Bought No at 62¢ while market volume is running 17.7x above normal, showing active positioning around this setup

$1,282 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%

Profitable oil thesis trader

A profitable 71% win-rate trader is making a fresh cross-market oil thesis bet, buying No on this April WTI $100 market at 62¢ across a broader $161k event-level position.

  • This bettor wins 71% of resolved trades and is up $124k overall
  • They have put $161k across 5 related oil markets, which points to a coordinated event-level view
  • They bought No at 62¢, and the market has already moved slightly their way to 59¢ No equivalent 41¢ Yes

$6,115 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe734...4f0c Yes, $162,016 (43% win rate)
  2. 0x1a29...9b2e No, $59,999 (71% win rate)
  3. 0xff30...4a37 No, $32,500 (62% win rate)
  4. 0x455b...59f2 No, $26,814
  5. 0x64d9...46e6 No, $25,539 (62% win rate)
  6. 0x15fb...252d No, $22,713 (56% win rate)
  7. 0x3589...925f No, $17,778
  8. 0x7a38...d6ab Yes, $15,028 (100% win rate)
  9. 0x1925...4654 Yes, $12,066 (76% win rate)
  10. 0x264c...baca No, $12,000 (64% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 6 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 11 related markets

Covers 7 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 6 related markets

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

6d$59,880 tracked18 signalsFinanceMonthlyHit PriceHide From NewFinance UpdownCommoditiesOil
Yes
70¢
No
31¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the final trading day during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day), consistent with CME contract specifications. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Price History — “Yes
73¢
43¢
12¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

22h ago

$1,040 on Yes at 53¢

53¢70¢17¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

1d ago

$1,426 on Yes at 58¢

58¢70¢12¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

1d ago

$1,182 on Yes at 53¢

53¢70¢17¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

1d ago

$1,106 on Yes at 45¢

45¢70¢25¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

1d ago

$1,803 on Yes at 40¢

40¢70¢30¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

1d ago

$1,807 on Yes at 40¢

40¢70¢30¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

1d ago

$1,221 on No at 62¢

62¢31¢31¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

2d ago

$1,161 on No at 59¢

59¢31¢28¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

4d ago

$1,282 on No at 62¢

62¢31¢31¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

4d ago

$6,115 on No at 62¢

62¢31¢31¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

4d ago

$8,087 on Yes at 38¢

38¢70¢32¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

4d ago

$8,175 on No at 60¢

60¢31¢29¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

4d ago

$1,445 on Yes at 44¢

44¢70¢26¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

5d ago

$3,861 on Yes at 32¢

32¢70¢38¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

6d ago

$6,403 on No at 65¢

65¢31¢34¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

6d ago

$1,772 on No at 54¢

54¢31¢23¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

22h ago

$7,353 on Yes at 60¢

60¢70¢10¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

7d ago

$4,642 on Yes at 49¢

49¢70¢21¢

Related Theses