What is the Mets vs Phillies prediction market about?

This market lets traders predict which team will win the MLB game between the New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies scheduled for July 16 at 7:10 PM ET.

How does the Mets vs Phillies market resolve?

The market resolves to “New York Mets” if the Mets win and “Philadelphia Phillies” if the Phillies win. If the game is canceled with no makeup game or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.

What happens if Mets vs Phillies is postponed?

If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed, and then resolves based on the final winner.

What smart money activity is tracked for this market?

PolySpotter tracks $102,009 in smart money for this market across 2 signals, including recent alerts mentioning Phillies surges and sports whales buying Mets.

When does the Mets vs Phillies prediction market resolve?

The listed resolution date is July 23, 2026 at 23:10 UTC, though the market can resolve after the MLB game is officially completed according to the market rules.

Part of: New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies

This prediction market covers the MLB game between the New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies scheduled for July 16 at 7:10 PM ET. It resolves to the winning team, with live market odds available on the page and $102,009 in tracked smart money across 2 signals. The market is set to resolve by July 23, 2026, or after the game is completed if postponed.

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $614,500.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Linked wallets caught move

Three wallets, including two linked by the same funder, bought nearly $24k of Mets shares before a sharp move from around 59¢ to 89¢.

Three wallets bought the same side for about $24k, with two tied to the same funder.
They entered around 59¢ before Mets odds jumped to 89¢ within minutes.
Two wallets were adding to existing Mets positions, showing continued conviction rather than a one-off bet.

$23,972 on New York Mets

7-wallet one-sided surge

Despite this wallet’s poor long-term record, the 7-wallet one-sided flow totaling nearly $398k plus a 304x pre-event volume spike makes the Phillies buying notable.

Seven wallets are all buying the same side, totaling about $398k in the scan window.
This wallet added $83.6k and now has a $285k position at a 53¢ average entry.
Volume spiked 304x, and the price has already moved from their 52–54¢ entries to 57¢.

$29,912 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 50%

7-wallet one-sided surge

Despite this wallet’s poor long-term record, the 7-wallet one-sided flow totaling nearly $398k plus a 304x pre-event volume spike makes the Phillies buying notable.

Seven wallets are all buying the same side, totaling about $398k in the scan window.
This wallet added $83.6k and now has a $285k position at a 53¢ average entry.
Volume spiked 304x, and the price has already moved from their 52–54¢ entries to 57¢.

$83,612 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 50%

Six-wallet Phillies surge

A large one-sided pregame cluster put nearly $392k on the Phillies amid a major volume spike, though the wallet track records are mixed.

Six wallets put $392k on the same side before first pitch.
The market saw a 405x volume spike versus its usual activity.
Several wallets are adding to existing Phillies positions, including one already holding over $500k.

$392,216 on Philadelphia Phillies

Elite sports bettor on Mets

Proven sports bettor with an 83% long-run win rate and strong profit is buying the Mets at 47¢.

This bettor wins 83% of resolved positions across 547 bets and is up $832K lifetime.
They are buying the Mets at 47¢, despite the market pricing Philadelphia as a slight favorite.
This wallet has traded across 51 events with the same 83% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.

$3,014 on New York Mets | Wallet win rate: 83%

94% sports sharp adding Mets

Proven profitable sports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate is adding a large $46k Mets position amid a major pre-game volume spike.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $621k lifetime.
They are adding $46k to an existing Mets position, bringing total invested on this side to about $113k before this trade.
This wallet has traded 36 sports events and 46 markets with the same 94% win rate.

$14,000 on New York Mets | Wallet win rate: 95%

94% winner adding to Mets

Proven sports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate and $621k profit is adding to a large Mets position that has already moved in their favor.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $621k lifetime.
They are a serial sports trader across 37 events with $1.36M bet and the same 94% win rate.
They already had a $145k Mets position and added $19k more, including $5k at 36¢ before the price moved to 47¢.

$19,000 on New York Mets | Wallet win rate: 95%

94% sports sharp adding Mets

Proven profitable sports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate is adding a large $46k Mets position amid a major pre-game volume spike.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $621k lifetime.
They are adding $46k to an existing Mets position, bringing total invested on this side to about $113k before this trade.
This wallet has traded 36 sports events and 46 markets with the same 94% win rate.

$46,348 on New York Mets | Wallet win rate: 95%

90% sports bettor buying Mets

Strong copy-trade candidate because this wallet has a large, high-edge sports track record and is buying Mets at 45¢.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $234k lifetime.
Their average winning entry is 53¢, but they are buying Mets at 45¢ here.
They are a serial sports trader across 216 events with $409k in tracked volume.

$1,403 on New York Mets | Wallet win rate: 90%

Proven sports sharp

Sharp, high-volume sports bettor with a strong long-term record bought Phillies at 55¢, though the position size is modest in a liquid market.

This bettor wins 76% of resolved bets and is up $674K lifetime.
Their wins come at an average 53¢ entry, suggesting a real edge over market odds.
They are a serial cross-market sports trader with $381K tracked across 219 events.

$1,021 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 91059349, $141,289 (62% win rate)
0x59f4...c1f1 — Outcome 91059349, $30,000 (52% win rate)
0x4572...5e86 — Outcome 91059349, $22,000 (75% win rate)
0x9b12...5ee4 — Outcome 91059349, $20,448
0xfae1...fdc1 — Outcome 91059349, $18,000 (58% win rate)
0xfecb...19ba — Outcome 91059349, $15,682 (63% win rate)
0xd48a...6e90 — Outcome 91059349, $14,157 (68% win rate)
0xb44d...d591 — Outcome 91059349, $13,318
0x224a...a3d5 — Outcome 91059349, $10,478 (62% win rate)
0x9c3c...e8c9 — Outcome 91059349, $9,452 (95% win rate)

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New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies

5dNew York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies$614,500 tracked10 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for July 16 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

NYM

—

41-57

PHI

—

54-44

NYM +153PHI -186O/U 8.5

Price History — “New York Mets”

99¢

70¢

42¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction