Part of: Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
This Counter-Strike 2 prediction market covers the BLAST Bounty Qualifier Round of 32 match between Alliance and Wildcard in a best-of-three series. The market resolves to Alliance or Wildcard based on the match winner; live odds and $74,337 in tracked smart-money activity are available on PolySpotter.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 32 match between Alliance and Wildcard in the BLAST Bounty Qualifier, initially scheduled for July 21 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Alliance" if Alliance win the match against Wildcard. This market will resolve to "Wildcard" if Wildcard win the match against Alliance. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $175,288.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor scaling into Alliance
A proven high-volume bettor added heavily to Alliance alongside seven other wallets amid an extreme pre-event volume surge.
- This bettor has won 87% of 23 resolved positions and is up $853,000 lifetime.
- Eight wallets bought Alliance for a combined $82,935, while event volume surged to nearly 1,500 times its historical average.
- The wallet already held Alliance and added another $55,356 at 63¢, signaling continued conviction despite the market falling to 57¢.
$55,356 on Alliance | Wallet win rate: 87%
95% winner adds to Wildcard
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 95% win rate is adding to a substantial Wildcard position amid an extreme volume spike.
- This bettor has won 102 of 107 resolved trades and earned $3.0M in profit.
- They are adding to a $200,000 Wildcard position at 37¢, while the market is currently 42¢.
- Trading volume is running 1,493 times its historical average, reinforcing the significance of the move.
$18,982 on Wildcard | Wallet win rate: 95%
Nine-wallet Alliance conviction cluster
Nine wallets deployed $83.9K on Alliance amid a 1,493x volume spike, including several highly profitable bettors with substantial historical edges.
- Nine wallets committed $83,943 to Alliance, creating a major one-sided position in a market with $87,400 liquidity.
- Several participants have exceptional records, including 87% and 91% win rates with meaningful profits and strong odds-adjusted edges.
- The buying followed a 1,493x historical volume spike, although Alliance has since fallen from 63¢ to 57¢.
$83,943 on Alliance
Sharp esports bettor backs Alliance
A highly profitable, proven bettor with an 80% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $1,181 Alliance purchase in a relatively thin esports market.
- This bettor wins 80% of 1,380 resolved trades and is up $4.24 million lifetime.
- The $1,181 Alliance purchase is meaningful against just $5,072 in 24-hour market volume.
- Entry at 67¢ implies the bettor sees Alliance as a strong favorite despite the market pricing them at 65%.
$1,008 on Alliance | Wallet win rate: 80%
44-0 bettor adds to Alliance
A proven 44-0 esports bettor is adding $2,217 to an existing Alliance position at 63 cents while maintaining a consistent event-level thesis.
- This bettor has won all 44 resolved trades and is up $31,103, with a 22-point edge over average implied odds.
- They are adding $2,217 to an existing Alliance position at 63 cents rather than merely taking profits.
- The wallet has backed three markets in this event with a 100% historical win rate.
$2,217 on Alliance | Wallet win rate: 100%
44-0 sharp scaling into Alliance
A proven 44-0 bettor with $31,103 in profits is adding $5,250 to Alliance across three event markets, making this a credible sharp position despite moderate signal strength.
- This bettor has won all 44 resolved trades and is up $31,103 on $239,368 invested.
- They added roughly $5,250 to Alliance across three related markets, including an existing position.
- The position is meaningful in a relatively quiet market, with one trade representing 57% of 24-hour volume.
$5,250 on Alliance | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp esports bettor backs Alliance
A highly profitable, proven bettor with an 80% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $1,181 Alliance purchase in a relatively thin esports market.
- This bettor wins 80% of 1,380 resolved trades and is up $4.24 million lifetime.
- The $1,181 Alliance purchase is meaningful against just $5,072 in 24-hour market volume.
- Entry at 67¢ implies the bettor sees Alliance as a strong favorite despite the market pricing them at 65%.
$3,000 on Alliance | Wallet win rate: 80%
Sharp esports bettor backs Alliance
A highly profitable, proven bettor with an 80% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $1,181 Alliance purchase in a relatively thin esports market.
- This bettor wins 80% of 1,380 resolved trades and is up $4.24 million lifetime.
- The $1,181 Alliance purchase is meaningful against just $5,072 in 24-hour market volume.
- Entry at 67¢ implies the bettor sees Alliance as a strong favorite despite the market pricing them at 65%.
$2,056 on Alliance | Wallet win rate: 80%
Sharp esports bettor backs Alliance
A highly profitable, proven bettor with an 80% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $1,181 Alliance purchase in a relatively thin esports market.
- This bettor wins 80% of 1,380 resolved trades and is up $4.24 million lifetime.
- The $1,181 Alliance purchase is meaningful against just $5,072 in 24-hour market volume.
- Entry at 67¢ implies the bettor sees Alliance as a strong favorite despite the market pricing them at 65%.
$2,296 on Alliance | Wallet win rate: 80%
Sharp esports bettor backs Alliance
A highly profitable, proven bettor with an 80% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $1,181 Alliance purchase in a relatively thin esports market.
- This bettor wins 80% of 1,380 resolved trades and is up $4.24 million lifetime.
- The $1,181 Alliance purchase is meaningful against just $5,072 in 24-hour market volume.
- Entry at 67¢ implies the bettor sees Alliance as a strong favorite despite the market pricing them at 65%.
$1,181 on Alliance | Wallet win rate: 80%
Top Holders
- 0xcd30...f316 — Wildcard, $200,000 (95% win rate)
- 0x4d4f...e5f3 — Alliance, $129,378 (87% win rate)
- 0x67bb...b6ef — Alliance, $30,000 (61% win rate)
- 0x751b...73fd — Wildcard, $30,000 (53% win rate)
- 0x0a63...fc03 — Alliance, $19,590 (82% win rate)
- 0x8056...b64d — Alliance, $17,936 (49% win rate)
- 0xeac2...dddc — Alliance, $15,757 (70% win rate)
- 0xadfa...324e — Alliance, $15,000 (50% win rate)
- 0x8c0b...7aa5 — Wildcard, $14,173 (56% win rate)
- 0x01e6...e7e0 — Alliance, $13,500 (51% win rate)
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