Part of: Argentina vs. Austria - More Markets

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

30 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,263,045.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Profitable new whale plus cluster

A 4-day-old repeat large bettor with early profit bought $8k of Argentina -1.5 alongside same-direction cluster flow, making this worth surfacing despite the liquid market.

  • This 4-day-old wallet has already placed 24 flagged large bets and is up $7.8k so far.
  • They bought $8k of Argentina at 32¢, adding to a $13.5k same-direction wave from 3 wallets.
  • Entry at 32¢ implies a roughly 3x payout if Argentina win by 2 or more goals.

$8,000 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 40%

Sharp bettor with 5-wallet flow

Sharp 80% lifetime winner is buying Argentina -1.5 alongside one-sided flow from five wallets, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $116K lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports trader across 154 events with the same 80% hit rate.
  • Five wallets bought Argentina the same way for $40.5K total, with the price up 6 points today.

$2,200 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 81%

5-wallet Argentina push

Surfacing due to coordinated Argentina buying across 5 wallets plus cross-market positioning despite this wallet’s weak historical P&L.

  • Five wallets are all buying Argentina -1.5, totaling $40.5k in the same direction.
  • This wallet is also active across 6 related markets with $47.9k positioned on the event.
  • The market has already moved toward Argentina, up 6 points today and 9.5 points this week.

$4,635 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 53%

75% winner buying spread

Surfaced because this is a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 75% record and $1.68M lifetime profit buying Argentina -1.5 at 38¢.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $1.68M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $7.3M invested across 416 events.
  • Entry at 38¢ implies they see Argentina covering by 2+ as underpriced.

$4,304 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 78%

Profitable new whale buying

A repeat new whale with a huge early profit record bought $65K of Argentina -1.5 amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This new wallet has already made 16 flagged large bets and is up $1.79M so far.
  • They put $65K on Argentina -1.5 at 42¢, adding conviction despite a highly liquid market.
  • Market activity is surging, with volume running 68x above its historical average.

$3,285 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp cluster nailed move

Four wallets, including two highly profitable sharp bettors, collectively took Argentina at an effective ~16¢ before the market moved to 98¢.

  • Two bettors in this cluster win 85%+ of their resolved trades, including one up $59K lifetime.
  • The group put $27K on Argentina covering -1.5, mostly by selling Austria at 84–86¢.
  • They entered around 14–22¢ before Argentina moved all the way to 98¢.

$27,096 on Argentina

89% winner with 21-wallet flow

Elite 89% lifetime winner bought Austria alongside a large 21-wallet same-direction flow and major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $285K lifetime.
  • 21 wallets bought Austria the same way, totaling about $978K in flow.
  • They entered at 62¢ and Austria has already moved to 74¢, confirming strong momentum.

$1,240 on Austria | Wallet win rate: 89%

21-wallet Austria spread cluster

Strong coordinated one-sided flow: 21 wallets, including linked funding, bought Austria on the spread amid a major pre-event volume spike and favorable price move.

  • 21 wallets bought the same side, totaling about $978K on Austria against the spread.
  • This wallet is up $4.2M lifetime and entered at 62¢ before the market moved to 74¢.
  • Volume spiked nearly 89x above normal, suggesting a major wave of pre-game positioning.

$12,350 on Austria | Wallet win rate: 55%

Sharp joins 10-wallet flow

A proven 85% winner is buying Austria alongside a large 10-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $8.4K lifetime.
  • 10 wallets are all buying Austria, totaling $633.7K on the same side.
  • Market volume spiked 97.6x versus normal, supporting the move into Austria at 62¢.

$1,976 on Austria | Wallet win rate: 77%

Repeat new whale plus cluster

Huge repeat new-wallet buy aligns with 6-wallet one-sided flow and a 135x pre-event volume spike on Austria +1.5.

  • A 14-day-old whale bought $536k of Austria at about 61¢ after repeatedly placing large flagged bets.
  • Six wallets are all betting the same way, totaling $623k on this side of the spread.
  • Market volume is running 135x above normal, suggesting a broad rush into the same position.

$535,742 on Austria | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9d36...0e68 Outcome 45008963, $1,158,402 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x24c5...c428 Outcome 45008963, $111,038 (33% win rate)
  3. 0xc430...1ebf Outcome 45008963, $100,000 (100% win rate)
  4. 0x27f7...44b0 Outcome 45008963, $88,260 (88% win rate)
  5. 0xc3c3...eec8 Outcome 45008963, $50,000 (99% win rate)
  6. 0x2e69...858d Outcome 45008963, $50,000 (93% win rate)
  7. 0xf070...ac55 Outcome 45008963, $16,390 (94% win rate)
  8. 0x1a2f...647a Outcome 45008963, $15,349 (65% win rate)
  9. 0xb00d...af5f Outcome 45008963, $15,000 (66% win rate)
  10. 0xc3ed...9f79 Outcome 45008963, $11,290 (39% win rate)

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Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

ResolvedArgentina vs. Austria - More Markets$1,263,045 tracked30 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 22 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Argentina" if Argentina win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Austria". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Argentina
102¢
67¢
32¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

9d ago

$8,000 on Argentina at 32¢

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

9d ago

$2,200 on Argentina at 44¢

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

9d ago

$4,635 on Argentina at 45¢

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

9d ago

$4,304 on Argentina at 38¢

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

9d ago

$3,285 on Argentina at 42¢

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

9d ago

$27,096 on Argentina at 16¢

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

9d ago

$1,240 on Austria at 62¢

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

9d ago

$12,350 on Austria at 62¢

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

9d ago

$1,976 on Austria at 62¢

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

9d ago

$535,742 on Austria at 61¢

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

9d ago

$1,200 on Austria at 60¢

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

9d ago

$1,250 on Argentina at 41¢

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

9d ago

$1,500 on Argentina at 41¢

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

9d ago

$1,500 on Argentina at 41¢

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

9d ago

$65,444 on Argentina at 42¢

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

9d ago

$215,444 on Argentina at 41¢

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

9d ago

$25,727 on Argentina at 41¢

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

9d ago

$150,000 on Argentina at 41¢

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

9d ago

$1,028 on Austria at 60¢

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

9d ago

$43,513 on Austria at 59¢

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

9d ago

$1,091 on Argentina at 40¢

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

9d ago

$2,262 on Argentina at 40¢

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

9d ago

$15,716 on Argentina at 40¢

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

9d ago

$6,100 on Austria at 61¢

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

9d ago

$15,832 on Austria at 61¢

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

9d ago

$1,250 on Austria at 61¢

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

9d ago

$9,801 on Austria at 61¢

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

9d ago

$100,709 on Argentina at 39¢

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

9d ago

$1,052 on Argentina at 38¢

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

10d ago

$1,799 on Argentina at 38¢

Related Theses