Part of: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC end in a draw?
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $115,671.
Categories: Soccer, La Liga, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
92% winner fading draw
Surface because a highly profitable 92% historical winner is on the No side, though the market has moved sharply against the cluster since entry.
- A bettor who has won 92% of 1,194 resolved bets is backing No and is up $108k lifetime.
- Three wallets put $5.6k on the same No side within minutes.
- This is highly contrarian now: No has fallen to about 10¢ after the sharp wallet bought at 90¢.
$5,638 on No
Profitable cross-market bettor
A high-volume profitable soccer bettor is adding a correlated position on the draw after a sharp 17-point move, though the signal is moderate rather than elite.
- This bettor is up $325K lifetime across more than 1,200 resolved markets.
- They have put $18.6K into related markets for this same match, suggesting a broader match thesis.
- The draw price has already moved up 17 points in the last day, matching their direction.
$1,937 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 44%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought the draw at 30%, with a massive 13k-bet history and over $3.1M in lifetime profit.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 13,244 resolved bets, 66% winners, and $3.1M in profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 531 markets and $2.0M of flagged event volume.
- Buying Yes at 30¢ means they are backing the draw at odds that imply roughly a 3.3x payout.
$3,837 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 65%
Profitable serial sports trader
Surfaced because this is a high-volume serial cross-market sports trader with a long profitable record, even though the individual signal and bet size are modest.
- This bettor has a deep track record: 8,573 resolved bets, 58% wins, and about $113K in profit.
- They have traded across 243 events and $784K in similar cross-market activity, suggesting a systematic sports approach.
- This is a modest draw bet at 31¢ in a liquid market, so the edge is more about the trader than market movement.
$1,919 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%
Profitable sharps on draw
Three wallets, including a highly profitable $3.1M lifetime bettor, bought the draw together at about 30¢ despite this being a very liquid soccer market.
- The lead bettor has won 66% of 13,244 resolved bets and is up $3.1M lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the draw within minutes, putting $7.2K on the same 30–31¢ outcome.
- Two of the wallets are serial sports/event traders with hundreds of prior markets traded.
$7,176 on Yes
Profitable soccer event specialist
High-volume pre-event move from a highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 66% record and $2.8M lifetime profit buying No on a liquid soccer draw market.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 12,427 resolved trades, 66% wins, and $2.8M in profit.
- They have traded across 337 events and 528 related markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- Market volume spiked nearly 1,600x before the match, and this wallet put $13.9K on No at 70¢.
$13,897 on No | Wallet win rate: 65%
Profitable serial sports trader
A very experienced cross-market sports trader with $249k profit bought $13k of No amid an extreme pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has traded 599 markets across 466 events and is up about $249k lifetime.
- A $13k buy on No came during a huge pre-game volume surge, with 24h volume around $301k.
- Entry at 70¢ suggests a lower-risk position from a bettor with a long record of profitable sports trading.
$13,046 on No | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable serial traders align
Three wallets put $50.5K on No after a massive pre-event volume spike, including highly experienced profitable soccer/event traders with long histories.
- Two high-volume bettors are backing No, including one up $2.83M lifetime with a 66% record.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $50.5K at 70¢, a concentrated bet against the draw.
- Market volume is up about 900x versus its normal pace, suggesting this match is drawing unusual attention.
$50,519 on No
Profitable serial sports trader
A highly experienced cross-market trader with a 66% win rate and $2.8M profit bought $8.9k of No amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 12,427 resolved bets, a 66% win rate, and $2.8M in profit.
- They bought $8.9k of No at 70¢ as market volume spiked over 5,000x versus its recent average.
- The market is liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, so this looks like a deliberate position rather than a noisy thin-market move.
$8,852 on No | Wallet win rate: 65%
Profitable serial sports trader
A highly experienced and profitable cross-market sports trader bought $8.9k of No during a huge pre-event volume spike, suggesting meaningful directional flow against a draw.
- This bettor has traded 595 markets across 463 events and is up about $248k lifetime.
- They put $8.9k on No, backing the game not to end in a draw at 70¢.
- Market volume spiked over 5,000x versus its usual pace, showing a sudden rush of pre-match interest.
$8,852 on No | Wallet win rate: 55%
Top Holders
- 0x1d63...2e49 — Outcome 26881715, $27,710 (73% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 26881715, $15,768
- 0x39d3...9ef0 — Outcome 26881715, $15,300 (44% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 26881715, $14,088 (55% win rate)
- 0x1137...e601 — Outcome 26881715, $9,976
- 0x5375...aeea — Outcome 53904970, $6,627 (44% win rate)
- 0x3f3a...e8fd — Outcome 26881715, $6,570 (88% win rate)
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — Outcome 26881715, $6,019 (53% win rate)
- 0xe0db...f44e — Outcome 26881715, $6,000 (48% win rate)
- 0x1a9e...a24b — Outcome 53904970, $5,490 (40% win rate)
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