Part of: Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand Final match between Vitality and MOUZ in the ESL Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality wins 2 or more maps than MOUZ in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "MOUZ". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. If the match begins and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match will count as completed. In that case, any remaining maps required to decide the match, including a map in progress or not yet started, will be counted as won by the winning team. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $34,459.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Three-wallet MOUZ cluster of proven bettors

Three profitable bettors collectively added $12.5K to MOUZ, with two showing strong long-term records and a sharp volume spike backing the position.

  • Three wallets added $12,537 to MOUZ, and the market saw a 32.7× volume spike.
  • Two bettors have 77% and 81% win rates across hundreds of resolved bets, with substantial lifetime profits.
  • All three were already holding MOUZ and added more despite the price falling to about 41¢.

$12,537 on MOUZ

Three profitable wallets adding Vitality

Three profitable wallets added nearly $19,000 to Vitality amid a 49.5x volume spike, with established track records supporting the coordinated position.

  • Three wallets bought $18,922 of Vitality, adding to positions they already held.
  • The group includes a bettor with 245 wins in 374 resolved trades and another up $327,601 lifetime.
  • Trading volume ran 49.5 times its historical average; entries were at 46¢, while current odds are 40%.

$18,922 on Vitality

96% winner backs Vitality

A highly profitable bettor with 166 resolved positions and a 96% win rate has placed $3,000 on Vitality, supported by extensive cross-market activity.

  • This bettor has won 159 of 166 resolved positions and is up $543,986.
  • They placed $3,000 on Vitality at 49¢; the market is now 46¢.
  • This is a serial cross-market trader active across 256 events and 289 markets.

$3,000 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

  1. 0x89eb...cff9 — MOUZ, $8,480 (82% win rate)
  2. 0x997c...51f3 — MOUZ, $8,005 (72% win rate)
  3. 0x1e52...eb43 — MOUZ, $7,506 (77% win rate)
  4. 0xfe78...0319 — MOUZ, $4,121 (64% win rate)
  5. 0xdb83...1e50 — MOUZ, $2,993 (65% win rate)
  6. 0x8adb...e4f6 — MOUZ, $2,222 (80% win rate)
  7. 0x89e8...cce1 — MOUZ, $1,140
  8. 0xabf5...cfeb — MOUZ, $1,000 (70% win rate)
  9. 0xc34b...9296 — MOUZ, $581 (96% win rate)
  10. 0xa521...d609 — MOUZ, $570 (85% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs$34,459 tracked3 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Vitality
100¢
MOUZ
0¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand Final match between Vitality and MOUZ in the ESL Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality wins 2 or more maps than MOUZ in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "MOUZ". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. If the match begins and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match will count as completed. In that case, any remaining maps required to decide the match, including a map in progress or not yet started, will be counted as won by the winning team. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)

2026-10-11 15:29 UTC

$12,537 on MOUZ at 56¢

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)

2026-10-11 15:11 UTC

$18,922 on Vitality at 46¢

46¢→100¢↑54¢

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)

2026-10-11 05:23 UTC

$3,000 on Vitality at 49¢

49¢→100¢↑51¢

Related Theses