Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Arthur Fils
Roland Garros ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Arthur Fils
This Polymarket tracks who will advance in the Roland Garros ATP match between Stan Wawrinka and Arthur Fils, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. It resolves to the player who wins and advances, with final resolution expected by May 31, 2026 if the match is completed within the rules. PolySpotter is tracking $1,618 in smart money across 1 signal, with recent alerts showing strong backing for Arthur Fils from high-performing tennis bettors.
This market refers to the tennis match between Stan Wawrinka and Arthur Fils in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stan Wawrinka' if Stan Wawrinka advances against Arthur Fils. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fils' if Arthur Fils advances against Stan Wawrinka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $28,711.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
96% winner backs Fils
Sharp tennis bettor with a 96% record and strong lifetime profit bought Arthur Fils at 51¢.
- This bettor has won 48 of 50 resolved bets and is up $55k lifetime.
- Their past wins came at average 57¢ odds, suggesting real edge rather than just backing heavy favorites.
- Entry at 51¢ is near even money, implying they see Arthur Fils as mispriced.
$1,618 on Arthur Fils | Wallet win rate: 96%
96% winner backs Fils
High-score tennis alert driven by a 96% winning sharp wallet buying Arthur Fils at roughly even money, with three wallets pushing the same side during a major volume spike.
- A bettor who wins 96% of tracked bets and is up $55K bought Arthur Fils at 51¢.
- Three wallets put $13.2K on the same side, including a $9.3K equivalent buy via selling Wawrinka.
- Volume is running 26.9x above normal, and the market has swung sharply before the match.
$13,194 on Arthur Fils
New whale nailed spike
A 1-day-old wallet appears to have bought Wawrinka around 15¢ with large size and sold into a 49¢ spike, alongside a 69x volume surge and major price impact.
- This 1-day-old wallet built a large Wawrinka position around 15¢ and sold into a 49¢ spike.
- The market saw a 69x volume surge and a 35-point move around these trades.
- Latest action was selling Wawrinka, equivalent to backing Arthur Fils at 51¢, but the market has already moved far above that.
$11,734 on Arthur Fils
Proven tennis bettor backing favorite
Sharp sports wallet with a 79% historical win rate and positive lifetime P&L is backing Arthur Fils despite the alert being a single modest win-rate signal.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved bets and is up $24.4K lifetime.
- They have beaten average market odds by about 20 points across 118 resolved trades.
- Entry at 82¢ is a high-confidence favorite bet rather than a long-shot punt.
$2,164 on Arthur Fils | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0x73af...b880 — Stan Wawrinka, $32,744 (63% win rate)
- 0x710c...78ea — Arthur Fils, $22,852 (91% win rate)
- 0x5d76...9168 — Stan Wawrinka, $18,101 (48% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — Arthur Fils, $11,897 (55% win rate)
- 0x1eaf...9bf0 — Arthur Fils, $11,822 (63% win rate)
- 0x2ee3...3a0a — Arthur Fils, $7,700 (75% win rate)
- 0xf67c...44ad — Stan Wawrinka, $7,141 (86% win rate)
- 0x23ee...5345 — Stan Wawrinka, $7,140 (86% win rate)
- 0xf5fe...e23d — Stan Wawrinka, $6,837 (50% win rate)
- 0xdc0c...218a — Stan Wawrinka, $6,000 (91% win rate)
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