New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs
This Polymarket tracks who will win the April 19 MLB game between the New York Mets and Chicago Cubs. Traders are pricing the odds of a Mets win versus a Cubs win, with the market staying open if the game is postponed and resolving 50-50 if the game is canceled with no make-up or ends in a tie. The listed resolution deadline is April 26, 2026, and PolySpotter is currently tracking $5,678 in smart money activity tied to this market.
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $66,739.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Repeat new-wallet whale
A 2-day-old wallet with $176k in repeated flagged betting just put another $5.7k into the Cubs after a sharp market move and volume surge, suggesting strong conviction worth watching despite no resolved track record yet.
- A 2-day-old wallet has already triggered 24 large-bet alerts totaling $176k, which is unusual for a brand-new account
- This bet bought Chicago Cubs at 81¢ after a 20-point move, showing willingness to size into momentum instead of nibbling
- The market saw a 14x volume spike before game time, suggesting multiple traders are suddenly leaning the same way
$5,678 on Chicago Cubs | Wallet win rate: 50%
New whale ahead of surge
A very new wallet is repeatedly making large bets and just bought the Mets at 72¢ before a sharp move to 86% during a major pregame volume spike.
- This 1.5-day-old wallet has already triggered 3 large-bet alerts, with $28.3k flagged so far
- They bought the Mets at 72¢ and the market is now 86%, a fast 14-point move in their favor
- Market activity jumped 61.9x above normal, suggesting this bettor joined a strong pregame wave
$12,216 on New York Mets | Wallet win rate: 100%
High-volume sports grinder
High-volume serial sports trader with 5,458 resolved bets bought the Mets into a major pregame volume spike, making this a modest but credible follow signal despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor has 5,458 resolved bets, wins 62% of them, and is up nearly $96k overall
- The buy came during a 217x volume surge, suggesting broader money was piling into this game
- They bought the Mets around 73¢, a fairly strong favorite, showing a straightforward directional view rather than a hedge
$2,168 on New York Mets | Wallet win rate: 61%
Proven sharp bought Cubs
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 72% win rate bought the Cubs at 29¢, and the market has already moved up to 36¢.
- This bettor wins 72% of 3,507 resolved trades and is up $2.19M lifetime
- They bought Chicago Cubs at 29¢, and the price has already moved to 36¢
- This wallet has traded 902 markets across 365 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
$1,078 on Chicago Cubs | Wallet win rate: 71%
97% win-rate bettor
A bettor with a 97% win rate and strong historical edge bought the Cubs at 56¢, and the market has already moved up to 60¢.
- This bettor wins 32 of 33 resolved trades and is up $52.8k overall
- They bought Chicago Cubs at 56¢, and the market is already up to 60¢
- This wallet has traded 55 related markets across 50 events, showing a repeatable process
$4,385 on Chicago Cubs | Wallet win rate: 97%
83% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 83% win rate and $1.2M in profit just bought the Mets into a major pregame volume spike.
- This bettor wins 83% of their trades and is up $1.2M across 598 resolved positions
- They trade heavily across 411 markets and 334 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
- They bought the Mets at 43¢ during a 77x surge in market activity, implying they see the price as too low
$7,950 on New York Mets | Wallet win rate: 83%
Linked Cubs buying cluster
Four wallets, including two linked by funding and several with substantial long-run profits, piled into the Cubs at 56-57¢ during a 77x pregame volume spike, signaling coordinated conviction worth watching.
- Four wallets bought the Cubs within seconds, totaling $16.8k, and two wallets share a funder.
- This flow hit during a 77x volume spike, which suggests stronger-than-usual conviction before the game.
- The group includes bettors with real history: one wallet is up $1.31M lifetime, and another has won 62% of 5,456 resolved bets.
$16,810 on Chicago Cubs
95% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 95% win rate is taking a fresh Mets position at 47¢, making this a strong copy-trade despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $154.8k on $346.7k invested
- They have placed $862k across 54 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
- Bought the Mets at 47¢, a cheap entry in a liquid market with a tight 1¢ spread
$1,702 on New York Mets | Wallet win rate: 95%
89% win-rate sports sharp
A very high-performing, high-volume sports trader with an 89% win rate and $2.23M in profit is buying Chicago Cubs at 54¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being fairly liquid.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $2.23M across 1,274 settled positions
- They have placed $3.69M across 623 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
- Bought Chicago Cubs at 54¢, a price that suggests they see the Cubs as better than a coin flip
$4,241 on Chicago Cubs | Wallet win rate: 89%
89% win-rate bettor leads cluster
A highly profitable 89% win-rate bettor led a 3-wallet, one-sided $10.5k move into the Cubs during a major pregame volume spike, making this coordinated sports flow worth following.
- This move was led by a bettor who wins 89% of their trades and is up $2.23M over 1,274 resolved positions.
- Three wallets all piled into the Cubs for $10.5k as market volume jumped 105x above its usual level.
- They bought around 53-54¢, suggesting they see value even after the Cubs moved to a 54% market price.
$10,511 on Chicago Cubs
Top Holders
- 0xabb8...bba3 — Outcome 41148016, $19,652 (49% win rate)
- 0x27f7...44b0 — Outcome 41148016, $18,260 (83% win rate)
- 0x4b65...3a12 — Outcome 41148016, $16,966 (100% win rate)
- 0x38f0...2768 — Outcome 41148016, $14,786 (95% win rate)
- 0x5375...aeea — Outcome 76287206, $12,717 (37% win rate)
- 0xc807...c12b — Outcome 76287206, $12,464 (52% win rate)
- 0x777d...5143 — Outcome 41148016, $9,778 (54% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — Outcome 41148016, $9,028 (50% win rate)
- 0xe401...7b88 — Outcome 41148016, $8,879 (68% win rate)
- 0xd696...8a49 — Outcome 76287206, $7,854 (89% win rate)
