Part of: United States vs. Senegal

Will United States win on 2026-05-31?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 31, 2026 If United States wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,706.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Fifa Friendly

Notable Trades

New wallet riding breakout

A 3-day-old profitable wallet bought Yes into a fast 36-point move, alongside a 20.8x pre-event volume spike.

  • A 3-day-old wallet with early profit is already sizing into its 5th position.
  • The market saw a 20.8x volume spike and Yes jumped 36 points in under 2 minutes.
  • Entry at 85¢ is aggressive, suggesting strong confidence despite the already-large move.

$1,700 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%

Profitable serial trader

A profitable high-volume cross-market trader bought Yes just before a sharp 36-point move from 51¢ to 86¢, though the current price is already well above the suggested chase range.

  • This bettor has traded 1,705 resolved markets and is up $75,216 lifetime.
  • They bought Yes at 51¢ just before the market surged to 86¢ in under two minutes.
  • The move has already run far past entry, so the signal is strongest if the price pulls back.

$1,128 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 56%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Sharp, profitable serial cross-market bettor bought No against the market move, making this worth surfacing despite the position currently trading lower.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved bets and is up about $49.8K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 45 events with the same 79% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • They bought No at 47¢ while the market is now 33¢, so the same side may be available cheaper than their entry.

$1,652 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

77% serial sports bettor

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 77% record and positive lifetime P&L bought No despite the market currently favoring Yes.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $27,453 lifetime.
  • They have traded across 49 events and 54 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports approach.
  • They bought No at 46¢ while the market now shows 33¢, so the current price is cheaper than their entry.

$2,989 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%

91% winner cross-market bet

Sharp profitable sports bettor with a 91% resolved win record is buying Yes while also positioning across three related event markets.

  • This bettor has won 10 of 11 resolved trades and is up about $20.7K lifetime.
  • They have put $10.5K across three markets in the same event, suggesting a broader thesis.
  • The market has already moved sharply toward Yes, up about 30 points over the past day.

$1,049 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

91% winner exits No

Sharp 91% win-rate wallet is exiting No exposure, equivalent to backing Yes at 72¢, alongside strong Yes momentum and cross-market positioning.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $20.7K lifetime.
  • They have traded 3 markets in this same event with about $10K, suggesting a broader game thesis.
  • Selling No at 28¢ is equivalent to backing Yes at 72¢ after a sharp move toward Yes.

$1,701 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

Proven sports sharp buying Yes

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 76% long-run win rate and +$60k P&L bought Yes despite a major recent price move upward.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $60,435 lifetime.
  • They have traded across 54 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • They bought Yes at 65¢ after the market moved up 26.5 points in a day, backing the momentum.

$1,349 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

Profitable serial sports trader

A profitable, highly active cross-market trader bought United States Yes at 38¢ on a relatively quiet sports market.

  • This bettor has won 60% of 462 resolved bets and is up about $45.8K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with activity across 68 events and $190K tracked in similar positioning.
  • The $1.1K buy is meaningful for a market with only about $7.5K traded in the last 24 hours.

$1,140 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5375...aeea Yes, $20,087 (45% win rate)
  2. 0xfa20...fd0d Yes, $16,551
  3. 0xa902...d159 Yes, $12,749 (81% win rate)
  4. 0xdee3...6fe5 Yes, $9,929 (60% win rate)
  5. 0x4fbb...666d Yes, $6,629
  6. 0x39f6...abe1 No, $6,523 (77% win rate)
  7. 0x1b47...d814 No, $6,486 (48% win rate)
  8. 0xe911...3d4e No, $6,302 (65% win rate)
  9. 0x0346...52a5 No, $5,826 (53% win rate)
  10. 0x204f...5e14 No, $5,310 (54% win rate)

Related Theses

FC Dallas won't win

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Man City win comfortably

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Nashville SC won't win

Covers 1 related market

Both teams score in Kansas City

Covers 1 related market

United States wins May 31

Covers 1 related market

San Diego Vancouver goal fest

Covers 1 related market

Montevideo City Torque won't win

Covers 1 related market

Nashville NYCFC tops three goals

Covers 1 related market

Sporting KC Red Bulls goalfest

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Tottenham will win today

Covers 1 related market

Will United States win on 2026-05-31?

ResolvedUnited States vs. Senegal$12,706 tracked8 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFifa Friendly
Yes
100¢
No
0¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 31, 2026 If United States wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “Yes
102¢
64¢
26¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will United States win on 2026-05-31?

2h ago

$1,700 on Yes at 85¢

85¢100¢15¢

Will United States win on 2026-05-31?

2h ago

$1,128 on Yes at 51¢

51¢100¢49¢

Will United States win on 2026-05-31?

2h ago

$1,652 on No at 47¢

47¢0¢47¢

Will United States win on 2026-05-31?

2h ago

$2,989 on No at 46¢

46¢0¢46¢

Will United States win on 2026-05-31?

2h ago

$1,049 on Yes at 71¢

71¢100¢29¢

Will United States win on 2026-05-31?

3h ago

$1,701 on Yes at 72¢

72¢100¢28¢

Will United States win on 2026-05-31?

3h ago

$1,349 on Yes at 65¢

65¢100¢35¢

Will United States win on 2026-05-31?

14h ago

$1,140 on Yes at 38¢

38¢100¢62¢

Related Theses