Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesana
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesana
This prediction market covers the Roland Garros ATP match between Matteo Berrettini and Francisco Comesana, scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by June 6, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $11,151 in smart money and 1 signal on this market. Recent alerts point to sharp tennis activity, including clusters backing Berrettini and underdog flow.
23 smart money signals detected, totaling $961,118.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
81% winner flips exposure
Surface because an 81% win-rate, +$600k serial cross-market trader made a large effective Comesana buy alongside one-sided flow, though it also closed a prior Berrettini position.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $600,654 lifetime.
- Three wallets put $13.7k on the same side, with this trader making the largest move at $11.2k.
- Selling Berrettini at 56¢ is equivalent to backing Comesana at 44¢.
$11,151 on Francisco Comesana | Wallet win rate: 81%
92% winner joins one-sided flow
Sharp tennis bettor with a 92% historical win rate bought Francisco Comesana, alongside one-sided flow from six wallets.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $641K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 56 events with the same 92% win rate.
- Six wallets bought Francisco Comesana in the same direction for $45K total.
$5,000 on Francisco Comesana | Wallet win rate: 92%
94% winner joins cluster
A proven profitable tennis bettor bought $10k of Francisco Comesana alongside a six-wallet one-sided flow totaling $45k.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved bets and is up about $201k lifetime.
- Six wallets are all buying Francisco Comesana, totaling $45k on the same side.
- Entry at 52¢ suggests they see value near even odds despite the market pulling back recently.
$10,000 on Francisco Comesana | Wallet win rate: 95%
Three-wallet Berrettini steam
Coordinated Berrettini buying has already moved sharply in the bettor's favor, backed by a high-volume wallet with strong lifetime profit.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $14.4K, and this fill at 51¢ is now around 69¢.
- This bettor is up $613K lifetime across 7,604 resolved trades, despite a modest 53% hit rate.
- The market has already moved 18 points from this entry, so the edge is less attractive above 61¢.
$3,896 on Matteo Berrettini | Wallet win rate: 53%
Sharp cluster backing Berrettini
High-scoring one-sided Berrettini flow from 11 wallets includes multiple profitable, high-volume traders and two strong win-rate wallets.
- 11 wallets put $43k on Berrettini, including several long-running profitable sports traders.
- Two standout wallets are backing this side: one wins 86% of resolved bets, another wins 93%.
- The market is near 50¢ now, below several sharp entries at 57–70¢.
$43,222 on Matteo Berrettini
99% serial sports sharp
Surface because this is a proven sharp wallet with a 99% resolved-bet win record and strong lifetime profit buying Comesana despite the market being highly liquid.
- This bettor has won 277 of 280 resolved bets and is up $207,898 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 83 events with a 99% win record.
- Entry at 72¢ suggests they still see value in Comesana even after heavy market movement.
$2,000 on Francisco Comesana | Wallet win rate: 99%
5-wallet Berrettini buy cluster
High composite alert driven by five-wallet one-sided Berrettini buying plus a repeat new-wallet bettor, though the market has since moved against the trade.
- Five wallets bought the same side, totaling $10.9K on Berrettini.
- This new wallet has now been flagged twice, with $4K in large bets despite no resolved history.
- The bettor entered at 37¢, while the market is now 28¢, so the same side is currently cheaper but moving against them.
$3,000 on Matteo Berrettini | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial sports bettor with 162 resolved markets is fading Berrettini, though the stake is modest and the market is very liquid.
- This bettor has won 63% of 162 resolved markets and is up $20.6K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader, with $302K tracked across 38 events.
- Selling Berrettini at 55¢ is equivalent to buying Comesana at 45¢, and Comesana is now cheaper around 40¢.
$1,478 on Francisco Comesana | Wallet win rate: 63%
Serial sports winner backs underdog
A high-volume sports bettor with a 72% win rate and positive lifetime P&L is backing Comesana alongside one-sided cluster flow.
- This bettor has won 72% of 481 resolved trades and is up about $23.9k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 76 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting process.
- Three wallets are all buying Francisco Comesana, totaling about $4.6k in same-direction flow.
$1,761 on Francisco Comesana | Wallet win rate: 72%
Sharp bettor flips sides
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with an 88% resolved win rate is effectively moving off Berrettini and into Comesana, alongside same-direction flow from 3 wallets.
- This bettor has won 88% of 179 resolved trades across 103 events.
- They sold Berrettini at 58¢, effectively backing Comesana at 42¢.
- Three wallets are moving the same way on Comesana, totaling about $4.6k.
$1,289 on Francisco Comesana | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0x1925...4654 — Outcome 58736321, $441,748 (45% win rate)
- 0x37e4...c991 — Outcome 58736321, $175,000 (76% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 58736321, $174,073 (60% win rate)
- 0xcd65...ee96 — Outcome 58736321, $102,943 (93% win rate)
- 0x1136...0c2e — Outcome 58736321, $56,849 (50% win rate)
- 0x4be1...aa70 — Outcome 58736321, $53,082 (92% win rate)
- 0x84cb...28ad — Outcome 58736321, $51,986 (99% win rate)
- 0xc3ac...b964 — Outcome 58736321, $50,000 (60% win rate)
- 0xf68a...5b1b — Outcome 58736321, $38,742 (51% win rate)
- 0x363c...4463 — Outcome 58736321, $26,098 (40% win rate)
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