Part of: Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?
30 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,568,499.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Premier League, EPL
Notable Trades
93% winner buying favorite
Surfacing because a highly profitable sharp bettor with a 93% resolved win rate bought Newcastle Yes despite already-high odds.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $795K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with 71 events and $916K tracked across related markets.
- Entry at 90¢ is expensive, but this wallet’s track record suggests confidence even near favorite prices.
$5,105 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%
79% win-rate serial trader
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 79% record and positive lifetime P&L bought Newcastle Yes into strong same-day momentum.
- This bettor has won 79 of 100 resolved bets and is up $34.6K lifetime.
- They have traded across 47 events with the same 79% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Bought Yes at 89¢ as the market moved up 46 points today.
$6,145 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
Sharp bettor buying favorite
Sharp-wallet override: despite a weak alert score, this wallet has an 88% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L while buying $6.1k of Newcastle Yes at 90¢.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $15.5k lifetime.
- They bought $6.1k of Yes at 90¢, backing Newcastle even after a big price move.
- The market is highly liquid, so this is less about size and more about the wallet’s strong track record.
$6,082 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%
98% serial sports bettor
Surface because a highly experienced serial cross-market bettor with a 98% resolved win rate bought Yes as the market surged sharply upward.
- This bettor has won 98% of 878 resolved bets and is up $14K lifetime.
- They have traded across 147 events and $3.1M of related markets, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
- Newcastle Yes has jumped 46 points today, and this buy at 89¢ follows strong market momentum.
$1,335 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%
Profitable contrarian sports trader
A highly profitable, very active cross-market sports trader is taking the contrarian No side after a major Newcastle price surge.
- This bettor is up $227k across nearly 1,400 resolved trades.
- They are fading a big move: Newcastle Yes jumped 43 points in the past day.
- Selling Yes at 84¢ is equivalent to buying No at 16¢, a high-upside contrarian entry.
$5,469 on No | Wallet win rate: 56%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Surfacing because a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a massive resolved sample is buying Newcastle Yes despite the market being very liquid.
- This bettor has won 72% of 6,355 resolved bets and is up $9.6M lifetime.
- They are a major serial cross-market trader, with nearly $15M deployed across 1,982 markets.
- Entry at 46¢ implies they see Newcastle as underpriced versus the current market.
$3,377 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%
4-day whale backs Yes
A 4-day-old repeat whale put $512k on Newcastle Yes amid a 30.9x pre-event volume spike, making this a high-conviction sports position despite no resolved track record yet.
- A brand-new wallet put $512k on Yes across 6 buys at 47¢.
- This wallet has already triggered 31 large-bet alerts totaling $2.18M in just 4 days.
- Market volume is running 30.9x above normal, suggesting other traders are also piling in before the match.
$512,300 on Yes
New whale pre-game Yes
A 4-day-old wallet made a $1.3M pre-game Yes bet, part of $1.66M in repeated large bets, alongside a 128x volume spike.
- A 4-day-old wallet put $1.3M on Yes in a tight pre-game market.
- This wallet has now triggered 25 large-bet alerts totaling $1.66M.
- Market volume spiked 128x versus normal, suggesting heavy late positioning.
$1,302,728 on Yes
Proven 79% sports bettor
Surface: a highly proven serial sports bettor with 79% wins and +$428k lifetime P&L bought Newcastle Yes amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $428k lifetime.
- They have traded 722 markets across 696 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Bought Newcastle at 47¢ while market volume spiked 128x above its historical pace.
$5,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
4-day whale buys $732K
A 4-day-old repeat whale bought $731K of Newcastle Yes into a 56x pre-event volume spike, suggesting strong fresh conviction despite no resolved track record yet.
- A brand-new wallet put $731K on Yes at 47¢ across five buys minutes before the listed start time.
- This same new wallet has now been flagged 20 times, with about $926K in large bets total.
- Market activity is surging at 56x normal volume, and this trade is larger than the visible liquidity.
$731,678 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0xbddf...c684 — Outcome 96813116, $442,713 (94% win rate)
- 0xce9d...f402 — Outcome 96813116, $407,575 (78% win rate)
- 0xfbf3...b218 — Outcome 96813116, $380,699 (43% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 96813116, $270,676 (56% win rate)
- 0xa79e...1fb0 — Outcome 96813116, $269,949 (100% win rate)
- 0x9b1e...82c9 — Outcome 96813116, $185,185 (49% win rate)
- 0x2d7b...e2ce — Outcome 96813116, $180,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x39d3...9ef0 — Outcome 96813116, $151,260 (44% win rate)
- 0xc41d...74fd — Outcome 96813116, $124,050 (95% win rate)
- 0x62ca...1760 — Outcome 96813116, $105,000 (96% win rate)
Related Theses
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