Part of: Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Botic van de Zandschulp
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Botic van de Zandschulp
This Polymarket prediction market covers who will advance in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia match between Karen Khachanov and Botic van de Zandschulp, originally scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 17, 2026, and PolySpotter is tracking $1,502 in smart money across 1 signal so far. Recent alerts point to notable whale activity and one-sided movement toward Botic van de Zandschulp, including a coordinated Botic move and underdog push.
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $67,213.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Serial cross-market momentum bettor
Serial cross-market tennis bettor bought Khachanov amid a large pre-match volume spike and 32-point price move, though their lifetime P&L is negative.
- This bettor has traded 196 events and wins 66% of resolved bets, showing broad market experience despite negative lifetime profit.
- Khachanov has surged 32 percentage points with a 16.6x volume spike, suggesting strong one-way pre-match momentum.
- Entry at 86¢ is near the current market, so the trade is more of a momentum follow than a deep-value bet.
$1,502 on Karen Khachanov | Wallet win rate: 67%
One-sided underdog push
Three wallets pushed the underdog side during a sharp pre-match move, including a highly profitable high-volume bettor buying Botic despite current odds retracing.
- Three wallets put $5.5K on the Botic side in the same window.
- One bettor is up $1.94M lifetime across $168M traded.
- Botic was bought as high as 34¢, while the market now offers around 12¢ after the move retraced.
$5,539 on Botic van de Zandschulp
92% serial tennis sharp
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 92% record bought Khachanov amid one-sided cluster flow, a major volume spike, and a sharp price move.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.24M lifetime.
- Five wallets bought the same side for $27.9K total as Khachanov’s price jumped 36 points.
- Entry at 82¢ beat the current 88¢ price, suggesting the sharp got in before the move.
$3,400 on Karen Khachanov | Wallet win rate: 92%
New whale caught move
Brand-new wallet put $14.7K on Khachanov at 51-53¢ just before a major market move to 82¢, with a strong volume spike and price impact supporting the signal.
- A brand-new wallet put $14.7K on Khachanov at 51–53¢ before the market jumped to 82¢.
- The market saw a 40.9x volume spike, suggesting this was part of a broader pre-match repricing.
- Entry around 52¢ implies the bettor found a major mispricing before odds moved 30 points.
$14,729 on Karen Khachanov | Wallet win rate: 100%
New whale joins one-sided flow
Three wallets put nearly $19.3K on Khachanov amid a major pre-event volume spike, with one brand-new wallet responsible for a large repeat-sized position.
- Three wallets all bought Khachanov, totaling $19.3K in the same direction.
- A brand-new wallet placed the largest bet, buying $14.7K within minutes of appearing.
- Volume spiked 30x above normal, suggesting this match is drawing sudden concentrated attention.
$19,294 on Karen Khachanov
Sharp flipped to Botic
Sharp tennis bettor with a 92% resolved win rate bought Botic at 50¢ after closing the opposite side, despite the market moving against Botic.
- This bettor has won 11 of 12 resolved bets and is up $9.3K on $33.9K invested.
- They flipped sides, closing a Karen position before buying $1.2K of Botic at 50¢.
- Entry at 50¢ is now below market at 46¢, so this is a cheaper follow than the trader’s entry.
$1,200 on Botic van de Zandschulp | Wallet win rate: 88%
73% winner fading move
A proven serial cross-market sports trader with a 73% resolved win rate faded Botic after a sharp move, effectively backing Khachanov at 33¢.
- This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up about $13K over 173 resolved bets.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 47 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting process.
- Selling Botic at 67¢ effectively backs Khachanov at 33¢ after a rapid 20-point Botic price move.
$1,324 on Karen Khachanov | Wallet win rate: 74%
Proven sharp fading move
Despite a low alert score, this is a proven profitable tennis bettor fading the recent Botic move by effectively buying Khachanov at 21¢.
- This bettor has won 83% of 1,330 resolved trades and is up about $420K lifetime.
- They are fading Botic after a fast 20-point move, effectively buying Khachanov at 21¢.
- Entry at 21¢ offers roughly a 4.8x payout if Khachanov advances.
$1,844 on Karen Khachanov | Wallet win rate: 83%
Profitable sharp fading favorite
A highly profitable 83% win-rate wallet joined a small cluster buying Khachanov after a sharp market move, though the price has moved against them since entry.
- The strongest wallet in this cluster wins 83% of resolved bets and is up about $420K lifetime.
- Three wallets put $5.2K on Khachanov, including a sell of Botic that converts to the same side.
- They entered around 21–25¢ while Khachanov is now 16¢, so this is a cheaper follow than their entry but still against current momentum.
$5,169 on Karen Khachanov
Coordinated Botic move
Three wallets pushed the same Botic side for $7.1k during a sharp pre-match move, with two large bettors showing substantial lifetime profits despite neutral win rates.
- Three wallets all bought the same side, putting $7.1k behind Botic in one burst.
- The move came with a 20.5-point price swing in under 3 minutes, suggesting strong short-term conviction.
- Two participating wallets are up about $430k combined lifetime across heavy trading volume.
$7,144 on Botic van de Zandschulp
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 41714385, $48,054 (73% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 41714385, $21,519 (55% win rate)
- 0x10ff...5088 — Outcome 41714385, $20,897 (55% win rate)
- 0xf56b...ac88 — Outcome 41714385, $3,326 (50% win rate)
- 0xe911...3d4e — Outcome 41714385, $3,134 (69% win rate)
- 0x1da3...2f94 — Outcome 41714385, $2,832 (86% win rate)
- 0x4379...2e16 — Outcome 41714385, $2,493 (69% win rate)
- 0x0cef...fa91 — Outcome 41714385, $2,000 (66% win rate)
- 0x1624...bf63 — Outcome 41714385, $1,775
- 0x059d...10e3 — Outcome 41714385, $1,701
