Part of: Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Shelton

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Shelton

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $183,010.

Notable Trades

Elite bettors backing Shelton

Highly profitable bettors positioned for Ben Shelton, with a large Damm exit preceding a 48-point Shelton repricing and a direct Shelton buy at 71 cents.

A bettor with a 96% win rate and $6.0M in profits sold $47,287 of Damm at 75 cents before the market moved sharply toward Shelton.
Three wallets deployed $52,631 toward Shelton, while Shelton's implied probability surged roughly 48 percentage points.
The activity includes serial cross-market traders with 80%–96% win rates across hundreds of events.

$52,631 on Ben Shelton

Linked cluster backs Martin Damm

A linked five-wallet tennis cluster made a large, coordinated Martin Damm position, including an unusually sharp 81% bettor, though the market has since moved sharply against the entries.

Five wallets, including two linked by a funder, put $14,655 behind Martin Damm.
One bettor has won 81% of 525 resolved bets with $40,797 profit, while another has an 80% win rate and $183,840 profit.
The position is high-conviction but has already moved sharply against entries of roughly 65–77%, with Damm now near 30%.

$14,655 on Martin Damm

96% win-rate serial bettor backs Shelton

A highly profitable serial trader made $63.8K of binary-equivalent positioning away from Martin Damm while three wallets bought Ben Shelton amid a 52.6x volume surge.

This bettor has won 96% of 164 resolved positions and earned $5.93M in profit.
The wallet sold $63.8K of Martin Damm exposure, equivalent to buying Ben Shelton, alongside two other wallets totaling nearly $67K on Shelton.
Trading volume was 52.6 times its historical average, with Martin Damm's price moving more than 50% during the activity.

$63,798 on Ben Shelton | Wallet win rate: 96%

Sharp bettor joins Shelton cluster

A highly profitable sharp bettor sold Martin Damm at 75¢ while three wallets coordinated on Ben Shelton amid a 52.6x volume spike and major price move.

This bettor wins 82% of 292 positions, is up $126,154, and has beaten implied odds by 36%.
Three wallets bought Ben Shelton for a combined $66,950 as volume surged 52.6 times above normal.
The trade converts to buying Ben Shelton at 25¢, while the wallet was already building a Shelton position from 21¢.

$2,146 on Ben Shelton | Wallet win rate: 84%

96% winner makes $16.5K Shelton bet

A highly profitable serial trader with a 96% win rate made a concentrated $16.5K bearish bet on Martin Damm amid a major volume spike.

This bettor wins 96% of 164 resolved positions and is up $5.9 million lifetime.
The $16,511 trade effectively backs Ben Shelton at 74%, despite Shelton currently pricing near 54%.
The market saw a 19.7x historical volume spike, adding weight to the directional move.

$16,511 on Ben Shelton | Wallet win rate: 96%

Proven sharp backing Shelton

A highly profitable serial bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $4,262 bet on Ben Shelton amid a 153x volume spike.

This bettor wins 84% of 150 resolved positions and is up $4.3 million lifetime.
The $4,262 Ben Shelton bet was placed during a 153x historical volume spike.
Shelton was bought at 77¢, broadly matching the current 76% market probability.

$4,870 on Ben Shelton | Wallet win rate: 85%

Serial sharp backing Shelton

A highly experienced serial cross-market bettor with 79% wins and a substantial positive edge made a fresh $3,000 bet on Ben Shelton.

This bettor has won 79% of 1,028 resolved trades and earned $575,193 in profit.
The wallet has traded across 233 events, suggesting broad and repeatable market expertise.
A fresh $3,000 position was placed on Ben Shelton at 75%, slightly below the current 78% price.

$3,000 on Ben Shelton | Wallet win rate: 80%

Proven sharp backing Shelton

A highly profitable serial bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $4,262 bet on Ben Shelton amid a 153x volume spike.

This bettor wins 84% of 150 resolved positions and is up $4.3 million lifetime.
The $4,262 Ben Shelton bet was placed during a 153x historical volume spike.
Shelton was bought at 77¢, broadly matching the current 76% market probability.

$4,262 on Ben Shelton | Wallet win rate: 85%

Sharp bettor scaling into Shelton

A highly profitable bettor with a 92% win rate and 31-point edge added $11,135 to an existing Ben Shelton position during an extreme volume surge.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $28,331 on $168,839 invested.
They added $11,135 to an existing Ben Shelton position, signaling increased conviction despite the price moving down to 74%.
Trading volume was 616.7 times its historical average, suggesting unusually strong interest around this match.

$11,135 on Ben Shelton | Wallet win rate: 94%

New profitable wallet scaling into Shelton

A profitable nine-day-old wallet is repeatedly scaling into Ben Shelton with a $10,000 addition, though its track record is limited and the market price has since fallen.

This nine-day-old bettor has won all 3 resolved trades and is up $3,952 overall.
The wallet has already invested $13,263 in Ben Shelton and added another $10,000, showing concentrated conviction.
The position was bought at 75¢, but Shelton now trades near 72¢, so the short track record warrants caution.

$10,000 on Ben Shelton | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 75228770, $85,170 (63% win rate)
0xc463...9a2f — Outcome 75228770, $9,981 (55% win rate)
0x545d...c122 — Outcome 75228770, $6,382 (61% win rate)
0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 75228770, $4,550 (72% win rate)
0xa22b...3525 — Outcome 75228770, $3,704 (65% win rate)
0x1b8f...cca7 — Outcome 75228770, $3,406 (65% win rate)
0x8c3a...eb16 — Outcome 75228770, $3,335 (28% win rate)
0x9c76...c926 — Outcome 75228770, $3,167 (91% win rate)
0x3fa2...cf15 — Outcome 75228770, $3,054 (81% win rate)
0x54ba...04e4 — Outcome 75228770, $2,722 (79% win rate)

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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Shelton

ResolvedMubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Shelton$183,010 tracked10 signalsSportsGamesTennis

This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Damm and Ben Shelton in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin Damm' if Martin Damm advances against Ben Shelton. This market will resolve to 'Ben Shelton' if Ben Shelton advances against Martin Damm. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.